Indonesia Petroleum Gas HS2711 Export Data 2025 October Overview

Indonesia Petroleum Gas (HS 2711) 2025 October Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia’s Petroleum Gas exports under HS Code 2711 in October 2025 reveal a highly concentrated market, with Singapore dominating 35% of shipments by weight and value, serving as a regional hub for Asian buyers like Japan and China. The trade remains stable, reflecting standard bulk commodity pricing, but regulatory shifts and domestic demand reviews could impact future volumes. This analysis, covering October 2025, is based on verified Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Petroleum Gas (HS 2711) 2025 October Export Background

Indonesia's Petroleum Gas (HS Code 2711: Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons) fuels global industries like power generation and petrochemicals, driving steady demand. As of October 2025, the country is balancing domestic needs with exports, prioritizing gas for local sectors under new policies like GR 8/2025, which mandates partial retention of export proceeds [Orrick]. With LNG export uncertainty beyond Q1 2025 [S&P Global], Indonesia remains a key supplier while tightening control to meet growing home demand.

Indonesia Petroleum Gas (HS 2711) 2025 October Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

In October 2025, Indonesia's Petroleum Gas Export (HS Code 2711) experienced a sharp rebound in unit price to 0.51 USD/kg from September's low of 0.36, but this was overshadowed by a significant drop in export volume and value, with volume falling 48% month-over-month to 878.67 million kg and value decreasing 26% to 450.71 million USD.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The monthly data shows high volatility, with unit price recovering in October after a steep decline in September, while volume and value plummeted. This pattern suggests industry-specific dynamics, such as seasonal demand cycles or domestic stock adjustments, where exports may be curtailed to prioritize internal consumption during periods of heightened local need or inventory build-up. The overall trend indicates a tightening export market, with fluctuations driven more by supply-side constraints than external price shocks.

External Context and Outlook

The decline in exports aligns with Indonesia's policy shift to prioritize domestic gas demand, as the government reviews export plans and implements regulations requiring partial retention of export proceeds [spglobal.com] (orrick.com). Efforts to reduce LNG imports and ensure sufficient stocks for year-end holidays (antaranews.com) further support this outlook, suggesting continued constraints on Indonesia Petroleum Gas Export volumes in the near term.

Indonesia Petroleum Gas (HS 2711) 2025 October Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

Indonesia's Petroleum Gas Export in October 2025 under HS Code 2711 is overwhelmingly dominated by liquefied natural gas (LNG), specifically the sub-code for "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons; liquefied, natural gas". This single product accounts for nearly two-thirds of both export value and weight, with a unit price of $0.52 per kilogram. Three minor sub-codes with negligible trade volumes but significantly higher unit prices—ranging from $0.82 to $1.94 per kilogram—represent isolated specialty or niche transactions and are excluded from the main structural analysis.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The remaining non-anomalous trade consists of two clear product forms. Bulk LNG and its gaseous counterpart form the core commodity trade, both priced near $0.50 per kilogram, confirming this as a market for fungible bulk energy commodities linked to global indices. A small volume of liquefied ethylene, propylene, and butylene trades at a slightly higher $0.56 per kilogram, indicating a modest premium for these specific petrochemical feedstocks. The structural data confirms that Indonesia's HS Code 2711 exports are primarily homogeneous bulk commodities, not differentiated manufactured goods.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

This concentration on a bulk commodity limits pricing power for Indonesian exporters, as prices are set by international markets. The government's focus on reviewing domestic natural gas demand [S&P Global Commodity Insights] introduces regulatory uncertainty for future export volumes. The strategic imperative is ensuring reliable, large-scale production to compete on cost, as the product mix offers little opportunity for premium value extraction through product differentiation.

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Indonesia Petroleum Gas (HS 2711) 2025 October Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Indonesia Petroleum Gas Export 2025 October shows strong concentration in SINGAPORE, which leads with 35.89% of weight and 35.24% of value under HS Code 2711. The close match between value and weight ratios suggests standard commodity pricing, with Singapore likely serving as a key hub for regional distribution or re-export due to its strategic location and existing trade infrastructure. This pattern indicates stable, bulk shipments typical for energy commodities like petroleum gas.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The export partners form two main clusters: first, Asian nations like JAPAN, CHINA MAINLAND, SOUTH KOREA, and THAILAND, which together account for over 80% of weight, driven by regional energy demand and geographic proximity reducing shipping costs. Second, minor players like SPAIN represent distant markets with sporadic trade, possibly due to specific contracts or spot purchases. The dominance of Asian buyers aligns with Indonesia's focus on nearby markets to optimize logistics and meet rising regional needs, as hinted by domestic demand reviews affecting export volumes [SP Global].

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

For market players, Indonesia's export concentration in Asia implies reliance on regional stability, but new regulations like proceeds retention rules [Orrick] could increase operational costs. Suppliers should diversify buyers or lock in long-term contracts to mitigate risks from domestic policy shifts that may reduce export availability. The trade framework with the US (White House) offers potential for expansion, but current data shows minimal engagement, suggesting a need for strategic patience and adaptation to regulatory changes.

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Indonesia Petroleum Gas (HS 2711) 2025 October Export: Buyer Cluster

Buyer Market Concentration and Dominance

For Indonesia Petroleum Gas Export in October 2025 under HS Code 2711, the buyer market is heavily concentrated, with four segments of buyers. The dominant segment, making up 79.52% of export value, consists of buyers who purchase large volumes frequently, such as major energy firms like PETROCHINA INTERNATIONAL JABUNG LTD. This high value share indicates that the market relies heavily on a few key players for most revenue, with typical transactions being high in value but moderate in frequency due to the commodity nature of petroleum gas.

Strategic Buyer Clusters and Trade Role

The other buyer segments play smaller but distinct roles. Buyers with high value but low frequency, like PT PERTAMINA PERSERO, contribute 13.74% of value and likely represent occasional large-scale purchases, possibly for strategic reserves or peak demand. Those with low value but high frequency, such as FEDEX EXPRESS INTERNATIONAL, account for only 0.96% of value but are frequent, suggesting small, routine orders for testing or distribution. Finally, buyers with low value and low frequency, including SGS INDONESIA, make up 5.79% of value and may involve infrequent, smaller transactions for specialized or ancillary needs.

Sales Strategy and Vulnerability

For exporters in Indonesia, the strategy should focus on maintaining strong ties with the dominant high-value frequent buyers to secure steady revenue, while exploring opportunities in the high-value low-frequency segment to diversify. The heavy reliance on a few buyers poses a risk if domestic demand increases, as Indonesia is reviewing LNG exports beyond Q1 2025 due to rising internal needs [S&P Global]. Sales models should prioritize long-term contracts to mitigate volatility, supported by compliance with local regulations like partial retention of export proceeds (Orrick).

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Indonesia Petroleum Gas (HS 2711) 2025 October Export: Action Plan for Petroleum Gas Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Petroleum Gas Export 2025 October under HS Code 2711 is a bulk commodity trade. Prices are set by global energy indices, not product differentiation. The market relies heavily on a few Asian buyers like Singapore, Japan, and China. This creates supply chain risk from Indonesia’s domestic demand reviews and regulatory changes. Exporters lack pricing power and face volume uncertainty.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Petroleum Gas Market Execution

• Use buyer frequency data to lock in long-term contracts with high-value partners like PETROCHINA. This secures stable revenue despite potential export volume cuts from domestic policy shifts.
• Analyze trade partner clusters to diversify beyond dominant Asian markets. This reduces reliance on regional demand and mitigates geopolitical or regulatory risks in one area.
• Monitor regulatory updates from sources like S&P Global for early warning on domestic demand changes. This allows proactive adjustment of export volumes and avoids compliance issues.
• Leverage HS Code sub-data to track niche product premiums like liquefied ethylene. This identifies rare opportunities for higher margins within the bulk commodity structure.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Petroleum Gas Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Petroleum Gas Export 2025 October?

The sharp rebound in unit price to $0.51/kg in October 2025 was overshadowed by a 48% drop in export volume, likely due to Indonesia prioritizing domestic gas demand and regulatory reviews of export policies.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Petroleum Gas Export 2025 October?

Singapore dominates with 35.24% of export value, followed by Asian markets like Japan, China, South Korea, and Thailand, which collectively account for over 80% of trade volume.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Petroleum Gas Export 2025 October partner countries?

Bulk LNG trades at a standard $0.50/kg, while niche products like liquefied ethylene/propylene command a slight premium ($0.56/kg), reflecting their petrochemical feedstock role.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Petroleum Gas export market?

Exporters must secure long-term contracts with dominant high-value buyers (e.g., PETROCHINA) while diversifying into occasional large-scale purchasers to mitigate reliance on a few key players.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Petroleum Gas export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Asian buyers benefit from stable bulk shipments, but regulatory uncertainty in Indonesia may tighten supply, urging them to lock in contracts or explore alternative sources.

Q6. How is Petroleum Gas typically used in this trade flow?

Over 90% of exports are bulk LNG for energy commodities, with minor volumes of petrochemical feedstocks like ethylene/propylene for industrial processes.

Q7. What is yTrade?

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