Indonesia Petroleum Gas HS2711 Export Data 2025 May Overview

Indonesia Petroleum Gas (HS 2711) 2025 May Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia’s Petroleum Gas Export 2025 May (HS Code 2711) is heavily concentrated in Asia, with Japan commanding a 28.12% value share, signaling premium demand, while the top four markets—Japan, Singapore, South Korea, and China—account for over 95% of trade, creating regional supply chain risks. Domestic policy shifts and export restrictions may tighten supply beyond Q1 2025, urging buyers to secure long-term contracts. This analysis, covering May 2025, is based on verified Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Petroleum Gas (HS 2711) 2025 May Export Background

Indonesia Petroleum Gas (HS Code 2711: Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons) fuels industries like power generation and petrochemicals, with steady global demand due to its clean-burning properties. As of May 2025, Indonesia’s export policy remains uncertain beyond Q1, as the government reviews domestic needs [SP Global], prioritizing local supply over exports. The country’s strategic role in Asia’s LNG trade is underscored by major projects like Bontang and Tangguh, though new rules now require partial retention of export proceeds in local banks [Orrick].

Indonesia Petroleum Gas (HS 2711) 2025 May Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

In May 2025, Indonesia's Petroleum Gas exports experienced a notable drop in unit price to 0.50 USD/kg, the lowest level year-to-date, while export volume surged to 1.27 billion units, indicating a shift toward higher volume at lower prices.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The unit price for HS Code 2711 fell by 7.4% month-over-month from April's 0.54 USD/kg, contrasting with a 6.7% volume increase. Quarter-over-quarter, the average price for Q2 (April-May) dipped slightly compared to Q1, driven by increased export volumes that may reflect typical industry stock clearance cycles ahead of potential policy constraints. This volume-led growth suggests exporters are prioritizing shipment quantities amid price softening, aligning with seasonal adjustments in gas supply chains.

External Context and Outlook

The price volatility and volume spike are directly influenced by Indonesia's ongoing review of LNG export policies, as the government prioritizes domestic demand and uncertainties persist for post-Q1 2025 shipments [SP Global]. New export proceed retention rules (Orrick) and efforts to forego LNG imports (Agadir) add pressure, likely sustaining lower prices and fluctuating volumes for Indonesia Petroleum Gas Export through mid-2025.

Indonesia Petroleum Gas (HS 2711) 2025 May Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In May 2025, Indonesia's Petroleum Gas exports under HS Code 2711 are overwhelmingly dominated by liquefied natural gas, specifically the sub-code for Petroleum gases liquefied, natural gas. This product accounts for nearly 75% of the export value and over 75% of the weight, with a unit price of 0.50 USD per kilogram. Two minor sub-codes for other liquefied and gaseous hydrocarbons show extreme price anomalies with unit prices up to 0.96 USD per kilogram, but their volumes are negligible and isolated from the main analysis.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The non-anomalous exports split into two clear categories based on form: liquefied natural gas and gaseous natural gas. Liquefied natural gas has a lower unit price of 0.50 USD per kilogram and makes up the bulk of trade, while gaseous natural gas has a slightly higher unit price of 0.53 USD per kilogram but a smaller share. This structure indicates a trade in fungible bulk commodities, where products are standardized and likely linked to global energy indices, with price differences driven primarily by physical form rather than quality or processing stage.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

For Indonesia Petroleum Gas Export 2025 May, the commodity nature of HS Code 2711 products means limited pricing power, as values are tied to international market fluctuations. [S&P Global] reports that Indonesia is reviewing domestic demand, which could constrain export volumes and shift focus towards securing stable contracts. Market players should prioritize cost efficiency and monitor policy changes for strategic adjustments.

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Indonesia Petroleum Gas (HS 2711) 2025 May Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Indonesia Petroleum Gas Export 2025 May under HS Code 2711 is highly concentrated in Asia, with Japan as the dominant importer, holding a 28.12% value share against a 25.06% weight share, indicating a higher unit price and potential premium market for this commodity. The top four countries—Japan, Singapore, South Korea, and China—collectively represent over 95% of both value and weight, underscoring strong regional dependence.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The East Asian cluster (Japan, Singapore, South Korea, China) dominates due to geographic proximity and high energy demand in industrialized economies. Mexico forms a secondary cluster with moderate weight but low value share, possibly due to different pricing or contract terms. Small, sporadic imports to Timor-Leste and Germany suggest niche or trial shipments, likely driven by specific short-term needs.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

Supply chain risks may increase as Indonesia reviews domestic gas demand, potentially limiting exports beyond Q1 2025 [S&P Global]. New financial rules requiring partial retention of export proceeds (Orrick) add compliance burdens. Market players should secure long-term contracts and monitor policy shifts to ensure stable supply for key Asian markets.

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Indonesia Petroleum Gas (HS 2711) 2025 May Export: Buyer Cluster

Buyer Market Concentration and Dominance

In May 2025, the Indonesia Petroleum Gas Export market for HS Code 2711 is heavily concentrated, with one group of buyers dominating the trade. This segment, characterized by large and frequent purchases, represents 95.93% of the total export value and 75% of the order frequency. The median market behavior shows high value transactions occurring regularly, indicating a reliance on a few major players among the four segments of buyers.

Strategic Buyer Clusters and Trade Role

The only other active segment consists of buyers with smaller value but high frequency orders, contributing 4.07% of value and 25% of frequency. These buyers likely engage in regular, lower-volume transactions, possibly for domestic distribution or spot market needs in petroleum gas. The remaining two segments show no activity, suggesting no presence of infrequent or low-value buyers in this period.

Sales Strategy and Vulnerability

Exporters in Indonesia should prioritize securing long-term contracts with the dominant bulk buyers to maintain stability. However, risks arise from Indonesia's ongoing review of domestic gas demand, which could restrict exports beyond the first quarter of 2025 [S&P Global]. New rules requiring partial retention of export proceeds add compliance burdens (S&P Global). The sales model must adapt to policy shifts while ensuring reliable supply to key partners.

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Indonesia Petroleum Gas (HS 2711) 2025 May Export: Action Plan for Petroleum Gas Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Petroleum Gas Export 2025 May under HS Code 2711 operates as a bulk commodity market. Core price drivers are global energy index fluctuations and product form (liquefied vs. gaseous), not quality differentiation. Supply chain implications center on supply security risks. Indonesia's domestic demand review may constrain volumes beyond Q1 2025. Heavy reliance on Asian buyers creates concentration vulnerability. New financial compliance rules add operational burdens.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Petroleum Gas Market Execution

• Secure multi-year contracts with dominant bulk buyers in Japan and South Korea. This ensures volume stability amid potential export restrictions.
• Monitor Indonesian energy policy updates weekly using regulatory tracking tools. Early awareness prevents supply chain disruptions from domestic demand shifts.
• Diversify export destinations by targeting emerging Asian markets with small existing orders. This reduces over-reliance on top four importers.
• Automate compliance checks for new export proceeds retention rules. This avoids financial penalties and maintains transaction fluidity.
• Analyze spot market pricing trends monthly against long-term contract rates. This optimizes contract renewal timing for maximum value capture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Petroleum Gas Export 2025 May?

The unit price dropped 7.4% month-over-month to 0.50 USD/kg, while export volume surged 6.7%, reflecting a shift toward higher volume at lower prices. This aligns with Indonesia's review of LNG export policies and potential domestic demand constraints.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Petroleum Gas Export 2025 May?

Japan (28.12% value share), Singapore, South Korea, and China dominate, collectively representing over 95% of trade. Mexico and niche markets like Timor-Leste show minimal activity.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Petroleum Gas Export 2025 May partner countries?

Price differences stem from product form: liquefied natural gas trades at 0.50 USD/kg (75% of volume), while gaseous natural gas commands 0.53 USD/kg. Japan’s higher unit price suggests premium market positioning.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Petroleum Gas export market?

Prioritize long-term contracts with dominant bulk buyers (95.93% of value) and monitor policy shifts, as domestic demand reviews may constrain future export volumes.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Petroleum Gas export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Asian buyers face reliance on concentrated supply, with potential volatility due to Indonesia’s policy uncertainty. Smaller buyers may benefit from niche opportunities but lack bargaining power.

Q6. How is Petroleum Gas typically used in this trade flow?

Liquefied natural gas (75% of exports) serves as a fungible bulk commodity, likely tied to global energy indices and used for industrial or power generation needs in partner countries.

Q7. What is yTrade?

yTrade is a global trade data platform that provides SaaS and API access to provide accurate, structured, and searchable import-export trade data for international business decisions. It enables users to access verified shipment records, analyse buyer and supplier activity, review company trade overviews, assess compliance risks, and monitor real market demand — all from a single, scalable system.

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