Indonesia Petroleum Gas HS2711 Export Data 2025 March Overview

Indonesia Petroleum Gas (HS 2711) 2025 March Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia’s Petroleum Gas exports under HS Code 2711 in March 2025 reveal a highly concentrated buyer landscape, with Japan, Singapore, and China Mainland accounting for 84% of total volume, signaling strong reliance on established Asian markets. Japan stands out as the premium buyer, paying above-average prices, while regulatory shifts—like mandatory 30% export earnings retention—add cash flow risks. This analysis, covering March 2025, is based on verified Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Petroleum Gas (HS 2711) 2025 March Export Background

Indonesia's Petroleum Gas exports (HS Code 2711: Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons) fuel global industries like power generation and manufacturing, ensuring steady demand. As of early 2025, the country has only permitted exports through March while reviewing domestic needs, signaling tighter future volumes [SP Global]. With new rules requiring partial retention of export earnings, Indonesia balances energy security and trade, reinforcing its role as a key LNG supplier amid shifting priorities.

Indonesia Petroleum Gas (HS 2711) 2025 March Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

March 2025 marked a peak in unit prices for Indonesia Petroleum Gas Export under HS Code 2711, reaching 0.54 USD/kg, a 3.85% increase from February, driven by heightened export activity ahead of potential policy shifts.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The sequential growth in both volume (up 3.36% MoM to 1.23B units) and value (up 7.73% MoM to $670.58M) throughout Q1 reflects typical industry stock cycles, where exporters accelerate shipments before seasonal domestic demand reviews or regulatory changes. This pattern suggests a strategic push to maximize exports while conditions remain favorable, though the price rise indicates tightening supply dynamics.

External Context and Outlook

Policy uncertainties, such as Indonesia's review of domestic gas demand [SP Global] and new export proceeds retention rules [Orrick], explain the volatility, with exports likely constrained post-Q1. The outlook remains cautious as the government prioritizes domestic energy security, potentially reducing future export volumes.

Indonesia Petroleum Gas (HS 2711) 2025 March Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In March 2025, Indonesia's Petroleum Gas exports under HS Code 2711 are dominated by liquefied natural gas, specifically the sub-code for Petroleum gases liquefied, natural gas. This product accounts for 74% of the export value and 78% of the weight, with a unit price of 0.52 USD per kilogram, indicating a high degree of specialization in this form. The analysis for March 2025 isolates minor sub-codes with negligible shares as anomalies, focusing on the main export drivers for Indonesia Petroleum Gas Export 2025 March.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The non-anomalous sub-codes can be grouped into two categories based on form: liquefied natural gas and gaseous natural gas. The liquefied form has a lower unit price of 0.52 USD per kilogram, while the gaseous form commands a slightly higher price of 0.63 USD per kilogram, suggesting differences in handling or market demand. This structure points to a trade in fungible bulk commodities, typically linked to global indices, with minimal value-add differentiation beyond physical state.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

The high concentration in liquefied natural gas implies that Indonesia has substantial export volume but limited pricing power, as prices are likely tied to commodity indices. Strategic focus should be on managing domestic demand and export regulations, as indicated by news of Indonesia reviewing LNG exports beyond Q1 2025 to prioritize domestic needs [S&P Global Commodity Insights]. This reinforces the need for exporters under HS Code 2711 to align with government policies balancing energy security and export revenues.

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Indonesia Petroleum Gas (HS 2711) 2025 March Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Indonesia Petroleum Gas Export 2025 March shows strong reliance on three key buyers, with Japan, Singapore, and China Mainland collectively taking over 84% of total export weight under HS Code 2711. Japan leads with 30.38% of volume and 32.92% of value, indicating it pays a slightly higher unit price of approximately 0.58 USD/kg compared to the average, positioning it as a premium market for Indonesian LNG.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

Two clear clusters emerge: the major Northeast Asian importers (Japan, South Korea, China) and Southeast Asian partners (Singapore, Thailand). Japan, Singapore, and China form the core demand group, reflecting established LNG trade routes and infrastructure. South Korea operates at a lower frequency but significant volume, suggesting contracted shipments. Thailand and Timor-Leste represent minor, likely spot-based or regional supply arrangements, with Timor-Leste's tiny volume indicating a possible non-commercial or emergency shipment.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

Exporters must anticipate continued volume allocation to priority Asian markets, but with increased regulatory oversight. New rules require retaining 30% of export earnings in domestic banks for three months [Orrick], which may affect cash flow. Future exports beyond Q1 2025 face uncertainty as the government prioritizes domestic demand [SP Global]. Suppliers should secure term contracts with key partners like Japan and Singapore while preparing for potential quarterly volume reviews.

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Indonesia Petroleum Gas (HS 2711) 2025 March Export: Action Plan for Petroleum Gas Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Petroleum Gas Export 2025 March under HS Code 2711 operates as a bulk commodity market. Core price drivers are global LNG indices and geopolitical factors, not product differentiation. Supply faces high concentration risk from dominant buyers in Japan, China, and Singapore. New Indonesian rules mandating 30% export earnings retention domestically for three months strain cash flow. Government reviews of domestic demand may further restrict export volumes beyond Q1 2025. This creates a volatile, policy-sensitive trade environment.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Petroleum Gas Market Execution

• Secure multi-quarter contracts with key Asian buyers. Use trade data to identify high-volume partners like Japan and lock in stable volumes. This mitigates revenue disruption from potential government export cuts.
• Monitor Indonesian regulatory updates weekly. Track policy shifts on domestic gas allocation and banking rules. Early awareness allows swift adjustment to shipment schedules and financial planning.
• Diversify buyer engagement within the region. Analyze transaction data to identify secondary partners in Southeast Asia. Reducing reliance on top three buyers decreases vulnerability to demand shocks.
• Optimize cash flow management under new retention rules. Model earnings timelines with the mandatory 30% domestic hold. This prevents liquidity shortfalls during the three-month retention period.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Petroleum Gas Export 2025 March?

March 2025 saw a 3.85% monthly price increase to 0.54 USD/kg, driven by accelerated exports ahead of potential policy shifts, including Indonesia's review of domestic gas demand and new export earnings retention rules.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Petroleum Gas Export 2025 March?

Japan, Singapore, and China Mainland dominate, absorbing 84% of export volume. Japan leads with 30.38% of volume and 32.92% of value, paying a premium unit price of 0.58 USD/kg.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Petroleum Gas Export 2025 March partner countries?

Prices vary by product form: liquefied natural gas averages 0.52 USD/kg, while gaseous natural gas commands 0.63 USD/kg. Japan’s higher price reflects its premium market position for Indonesian LNG.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Petroleum Gas export market?

Exporters must prioritize contracts with high-value buyers (handling 95.91% of export value) and align with regulatory pressures, including potential quarterly volume reviews and domestic demand prioritization.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Petroleum Gas export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers in Japan, Singapore, and China face reliance on Indonesian LNG but should anticipate supply volatility due to Indonesia’s domestic policy reviews and export earnings retention rules.

Q6. How is Petroleum Gas typically used in this trade flow?

The trade primarily involves bulk liquefied natural gas (74% of export value), a fungible commodity linked to global indices and used for energy generation or industrial feedstock.