Indonesia Palm Oil HS1511 Export Data 2025 February Overview

Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 1511) 2025 February Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia Palm Oil Export 2025 February under HS Code 1511 shows strong geographic concentration, with Pakistan dominating at 16.74% of total weight, followed by regional clusters in South and East Asia. The uniform value-to-weight ratio confirms consistent product grade, averaging $1.08/kg. Buyers face supply chain risks as Indonesia’s policy shifts, including a 10% crude palm oil export levy, may tighten global supply. This analysis covers February 2025 and is based on processed Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 1511) 2025 February Export Background

Indonesia Palm Oil Export (HS Code 1511) covers palm oil and its fractions, refined or unrefined, a staple for food, biofuels, and cosmetics due to its versatility and cost efficiency. Global demand remains strong, driven by rising biodiesel needs and food industry reliance. In 2025, Indonesia—the world’s top exporter—adjusted policies like raising export levies to 10% for crude palm oil in May [FAS USDA] and planning a B50 biodiesel mandate, tightening domestic supply and reshaping trade flows. These moves highlight Indonesia’s balancing act between export revenue and domestic energy goals.

Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 1511) 2025 February Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

Indonesia's Palm Oil Export (HS Code 1511) in February 2025 saw a sharp 54.9% month-over-month volume surge to 1.89 billion kg, driving export value up by 48.9% to $2.07 billion, despite a marginal 2.65% dip in unit prices to $1.10/kg.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The QoQ volume spike is atypical for February, which often aligns with slower post-harvest cycles in palm oil production, suggesting accelerated stock releases or anticipatory shipping. This divergence from seasonal norms likely reflects exporters capitalizing on stable pricing to meet global demand before potential policy-induced constraints, as Indonesia's domestic biodiesel programs (e.g., B40/B50 mandates) typically ramp up later in the year, pressuring export availability.

External Context and Outlook

External factors, including Indonesia's raised export levies in May 2025 [FAS USDA], prompted forward-looking shipments to avoid higher costs, while the looming B50 mandate (FAS USDA) threatens to tighten supplies. Outlook remains volatile, with policy shifts likely to sustain export fluctuations through 2025.

Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 1511) 2025 February Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

The Indonesia Palm Oil Export under HS Code 1511 in February 2025 is dominated by sub-code 15119037, which accounts for over half of the export value. This product, described as refined palm oil and its fractions other than crude, has a unit price of 1.09 USD per kilogram, placing it in the mid-range compared to other sub-codes and indicating it is the standard export grade. No extreme price anomalies are present in this analysis.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The export structure groups into bulk refined palm oil with unit prices from 1.07 to 1.10 USD/kg, specialty refined grades with prices up to 1.27 USD/kg, and crude palm oil at 1.13 USD/kg. The close price range across these categories shows that Indonesia's palm oil exports are primarily fungible bulk commodities, with minimal differentiation beyond basic processing stages.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

For exporters and buyers, the commodity nature means pricing power is influenced by global market forces. However, Indonesia's policy changes, such as increased export levies and biodiesel mandates noted in recent reports [USDA Report], may reduce export volumes and strengthen domestic control over supply, potentially impacting future pricing strategies.

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Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 1511) 2025 February Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Indonesia Palm Oil Export 2025 February shows strong concentration, with PAKISTAN as the dominant importer at 16.74% of total weight. The close match between value ratio and weight ratio across all top countries, like PAKISTAN's 16.48% value to 16.74% weight, indicates uniform product grade for this commodity under HS Code 1511, meaning consistent pricing around $1.08 USD per kilogram based on average value and weight.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The top importers form two clear clusters: a South Asian group with PAKISTAN, INDIA, and BANGLADESH taking over 40% of weight, likely due to regional demand and shipping efficiency, and an East Asian group including CHINA MAINLAND and MALAYSIA with about 17% combined, driven by industrial processing needs. A smaller cluster with the UNITED STATES and MIDDLE EAST nations like SAUDI ARABIA reflects diverse global demand for cooking oil and biofuels.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

Market players should prepare for supply shifts due to Indonesia's policy changes, such as raised export levies to 10% for crude palm oil in May 2025 [USDA] and potential domestic biofuel mandates (USDA). This could tighten global supply, so importers like PAKISTAN and INDIA may need to secure long-term contracts or diversify sources to avoid price spikes under HS Code 1511.

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Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 1511) 2025 February Export: Buyer Cluster

Buyer Market Concentration and Dominance

In February 2025, Indonesia Palm Oil Export under HS Code 1511 shows a highly concentrated buyer market, with four segments of buyers. The dominant group consists of buyers who place frequent, high-value orders, representing 80.38% of the total export value. This cluster drives the majority of trade, with a median market characterized by regular, bulk transactions that define the export flow for this commodity.

Strategic Buyer Clusters and Trade Role

The other buyer segments play distinct roles. Buyers with high value but low frequency likely handle large, infrequent bulk orders, possibly for specific industrial or refining needs. Those with low value and high frequency are probably smaller, regular purchasers, such as local distributors or niche market players. The low value, low frequency group may include occasional or new market entrants, testing small volumes without significant impact.

Sales Strategy and Vulnerability

For exporters in Indonesia, the strategy should focus on nurturing relationships with the dominant high-value, frequent buyers to ensure stable revenue. However, heavy reliance on this group poses a risk if policy changes disrupt exports, such as the raised levies and potential domestic mandates noted in recent news [USDA]. Opportunities lie in diversifying into other clusters or adapting to domestic biodiesel demand shifts (USDA). The sales model should emphasize bulk, contract-based approaches to align with commodity trade norms.

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Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 1511) 2025 February Export: Action Plan for Palm Oil Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Palm Oil Export 2025 February under HS Code 1511 operates as a bulk commodity market. Price is driven by global supply-demand balance and Indonesian policy shifts, not product differentiation. All major grades trade within a narrow band around $1.08-$1.10/kg. The recent USDA report confirms policy risk is the primary driver. Indonesia's plan to raise export levies and boost domestic biodiesel use will tighten global supply. This creates significant supply chain implications. Importers face potential price spikes and supply insecurity. Indonesia strengthens its role as a global processing hub but reduces export volumes.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Palm Oil Market Execution

• Secure long-term contracts with top-value, high-frequency buyers now. Use buyer cluster data to identify these key partners. This locks in volume and price before policy changes reduce available supply.
• Diversify your buyer portfolio using trade data on low-frequency, high-value clusters. Target buyers in regions like the US or Middle East. This reduces over-reliance on any single market segment and builds resilience.
• Monitor real-time shipping data for shipments to Pakistan, India, and Bangladesh. These top destinations will compete fiercely for reduced supply. This allows you to anticipate logistics bottlenecks and price pressures.
• Model different policy scenarios using the latest levy and mandate announcements. Update your pricing weekly. This prepares your sales strategy for sudden cost increases and supply shortages.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Palm Oil Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Palm Oil Export 2025 February?

The sharp 54.9% month-over-month volume surge to 1.89 billion kg reflects anticipatory shipping ahead of Indonesia's raised export levies and potential domestic biodiesel mandates, which threaten to tighten global supply later in 2025.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Palm Oil Export 2025 February?

Pakistan dominates with 16.74% of total weight, followed by India and Bangladesh, forming a South Asian cluster that accounts for over 40% of exports. China and Malaysia represent a secondary East Asian demand hub.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Palm Oil Export 2025 February partner countries?

Prices are uniform at ~$1.08/kg globally, as exports are primarily bulk refined palm oil (HS Code 15119037), with minimal differentiation beyond basic processing grades. Specialty grades (up to $1.27/kg) are negligible in volume.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Palm Oil export market?

Exporters must prioritize contracts with high-value, frequent buyers (80.38% of trade) while diversifying to mitigate risks from policy shifts like higher levies and domestic biodiesel mandates.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Palm Oil export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers in key markets like Pakistan and India face supply volatility due to Indonesia’s policy changes. Securing long-term contracts or diversifying sources is critical to avoid price spikes.

Q6. How is Palm Oil typically used in this trade flow?

Exports under HS Code 1511 are primarily fungible bulk commodities for industrial cooking oil and biofuel feedstock, with minimal value-chain specialization beyond refined or crude grades.

Q7. What is yTrade?

yTrade is a global trade data platform that provides SaaS and API access to provide accurate, structured, and searchable import-export trade data for international business decisions. It enables users to access verified shipment records, analyse buyer and supplier activity, review company trade overviews, assess compliance risks, and monitor real market demand — all from a single, scalable system.

Q8. How can yTrade benefit my business?

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Q9. What features does yTrade offer?

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