Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil HS151329 Export Data 2025 Q1 Overview
Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS 151329) 2025 Q1 Export: Key Takeaways
Indonesia’s Palm Kernel Oil (HS Code 151329) exports in Q1 2025 reveal a commodity-grade product with stable pricing, dominated by China, which accounts for 22.29% of total value. The market is highly concentrated, with major buyers like Brazil and the U.S. driving industrial demand, while regional hubs like the Netherlands facilitate redistribution. Exporters must navigate rising Indonesian export levies, prioritizing high-volume contracts to offset costs. This analysis, covering 2025 Q1, is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database.
Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS 151329) 2025 Q1 Export Background
Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS Code 151329), a refined vegetable oil used in food, cosmetics, and biofuels, sees steady global demand due to its versatility. In 2025 Q1, Indonesia's export policies for palm products shifted, with higher levies on crude palm oil and adjusted benchmark prices [FAS USDA], indirectly impacting palm kernel oil exports. As the world's top palm producer, Indonesia remains critical for HS Code 151329 trade, balancing domestic biodiesel needs with international market competitiveness.
Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS 151329) 2025 Q1 Export: Trend Summary
Key Observations
Indonesia's Palm Kernel Oil HS Code 151329 Export in 2025 Q1 reached 591.8 million USD in value and 331.93 million kg in volume, marking a robust start to the year with strong export momentum.
Price and Volume Dynamics
The monthly trend within Q1 shows a steady increase, with value rising from 140.08 million USD in January to 283.96 million in March, and volume growing from 77.12 million kg to 159.97 million. This progression aligns with typical seasonal stock cycles in palm oil derivatives, where Q1 often sees heightened export activity as processors clear inventories post-harvest and ahead of peak demand periods, rather than significant price shifts driving the volume surge.
External Context and Outlook
Indonesia's broader palm sector policies, including export levy increases announced in May 2025 [FAS USDA], likely influenced exporter behavior in Q1, with anticipatory shipments to mitigate future cost impacts. Global price volatility in related oils, such as the noted drop in coconut oil exports by June (YTrade), may further affect Palm Kernel Oil demand dynamics, underscoring a cautious outlook amid evolving trade regulations.
Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS 151329) 2025 Q1 Export: HS Code Breakdown
Product Specialization and Concentration
In Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil HS Code 151329 Export 2025 Q1, the market is heavily dominated by sub-code 15132995, which accounts for over two-thirds of both export value and weight. This product, described as vegetable oils from palm kernel or babassu that are not crude but may be refined without chemical modification, has a unit price of 1.77 USD per kilogram. The presence of a significantly higher-priced variant at 2.02 USD per kilogram in sub-code 15132991 indicates specialization in quality or processing, while an anomaly in sub-code 15132913 with negligible volume is isolated from the main analysis.
Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis
The non-anomalous sub-codes can be grouped into two clear categories based on unit price: a higher-grade segment represented by 15132991 at 2.02 USD per kilogram, and a standard-grade segment including 15132995 at 1.77 USD per kilogram and 15132994 at 1.66 USD per kilogram, with minor contributions from others like 15132911. This structure suggests a trade in differentiated goods with varying quality levels, rather than a fungible bulk commodity, as price disparities reflect differences in refinement or specific fractions.
Strategic Implication and Pricing Power
For Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil HS Code 151329 Export 2025 Q1, the differentiated product grades imply that exporters with higher-quality offerings may have some pricing power, but broader market dynamics are influenced by Indonesia's increased export levies on palm products, which raise costs and could compress margins [USDA]. Exporters should focus on maintaining quality distinctions to mitigate price pressure from policy changes.
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Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS 151329) 2025 Q1 Export: Market Concentration
Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role
Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil HS Code 151329 Export 2025 Q1 shows a highly concentrated market, with CHINA MAINLAND as the dominant buyer holding 22.29% of total value against 22.91% of weight, indicating a commodity product with stable unit pricing around 1.74 USD/kg.
Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes
Two clear clusters emerge: major agricultural and processing economies like BRAZIL and UNITED STATES, which likely use the oil for further industrial processing or biofuel blending, and regional trade hubs like NETHERLANDS and MALAYSIA that serve as redistribution points for European and Southeast Asian markets. A third cluster includes smaller-volume buyers like EGYPT and SOUTH AFRICA, reflecting localized demand for food or cosmetic manufacturing inputs.
Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications
Exporters must factor in Indonesia's 2025 export levy increases [USDA] and temporary benchmark price adjustments (USDA), which raise costs and may shift buyer interest to alternative suppliers. Prioritizing contracts with high-volume partners like China and Brazil can offset margin pressure, while monitoring policy changes will be essential for pricing agility.
| Country | Value | Quantity | Frequency | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHINA MAINLAND | 131.94M | 74.40M | 67.00 | 76.03M |
| UNITED STATES | 107.06M | 58.82M | 47.00 | 58.82M |
| BRAZIL | 97.59M | 55.22M | 69.00 | 55.22M |
| NETHERLANDS | 60.28M | 32.99M | 24.00 | 32.99M |
| RUSSIA | 47.40M | 24.66M | 23.00 | 24.66M |
| MALAYSIA | ****** | ****** | ****** | ****** |
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Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS 151329) 2025 Q1 Export: Action Plan for Palm Kernel Oil Market Expansion
Strategic Supply Chain Overview
Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil Export 2025 Q1 under HS Code 151329 operates as a commodity market with clear price drivers. Unit prices are primarily set by product quality grade, ranging from standard to premium refining levels. Geopolitical policy shifts, specifically Indonesia's increased export levies, directly elevate costs and compress margins. The supply chain implication is a heightened focus on supply security and cost-efficient processing. High buyer concentration demands operational excellence in serving core clients to maintain revenue stability.
Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Palm Kernel Oil Market Execution
- Prioritize contracts with high-volume, frequent buyers like China and Brazil. This secures stable revenue and offsets margin pressure from rising export costs.
- Segment product offerings by quality grade using HS Code sub-category data. This allows premium pricing for higher-refined oils and maximizes value extraction.
- Monitor Indonesian export levy changes and global palm price benchmarks weekly. This enables rapid price adjustments and protects against sudden cost increases.
- Diversify into secondary buyer clusters with tailored volume offers. This reduces over-reliance on dominant partners and captures niche market opportunities.
- Optimize logistics for high-volume shipments to major processing hubs. This lowers per-unit transport costs and improves competitiveness against alternative suppliers.
Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil Export Data
Frequently Asked Questions
Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil Export 2025 Q1?
The Q1 surge in export value (591.8M USD) and volume (331.93M kg) reflects seasonal stock cycles and anticipatory shipments ahead of Indonesia's 2025 palm export levy hikes, which raised costs.
Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil Export 2025 Q1?
China dominates with 22.29% of export value, followed by Brazil and the U.S., which likely process the oil industrially, and trade hubs like the Netherlands and Malaysia for redistribution.
Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil Export 2025 Q1 partner countries?
Price disparities stem from product grades: high-grade sub-code 15132991 (2.02 USD/kg) versus standard-grade 15132995 (1.77 USD/kg), reflecting refinement or quality differences.
Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Palm Kernel Oil export market?
Exporters must prioritize high-value frequent buyers (87.88% of trade) and secure contracts with major partners like China to offset margin pressure from levy hikes.
Q5. What does this Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?
Buyers face stable pricing (1.74 USD/kg in China) but should monitor Indonesia’s policy shifts, which may disrupt supply or incentivize alternative sourcing.
Q6. How is Palm Kernel Oil typically used in this trade flow?
The oil is primarily used for industrial processing (e.g., biofuels) or as an input for food/cosmetic manufacturing, with regional hubs redistributing to secondary markets.
Detailed Monthly Report
Indonesia HS151329 Export Snapshot 2025 JAN
Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil HS151329 Export Data 2025 October Overview
Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS Code 151329) exports in October 2025 saw Brazil as top importer (27% share), with stable demand from China and the U.S., per yTrade data.
Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil HS151329 Export Data 2025 Q2 Overview
Indonesia's Palm Kernel Oil (HS Code 151329) exports to China dominated Q2 2025 with 31.59% volume share, amid buyer concentration risks and levy hikes, per yTrade data.
