Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil HS151329 Export Data 2025 October Overview

Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS 151329) 2025 October Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia's Palm Kernel Oil exports (HS Code 151329) in October 2025 show stable mid-to-high grade shipments, with Brazil dominating as the top importer at 27% of volume and value, reflecting consistent demand and pricing. The market remains concentrated among key buyers like China and the U.S., signaling reliance on bulk industrial and food sector demand. Exporters should focus on cost efficiency amid Indonesia’s rising export levies while leveraging existing high-volume clusters for risk mitigation. This analysis, covering October 2025, is based on verified Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS 151329) 2025 October Export Background

Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS Code 151329) is a key vegetable oil used in food processing, cosmetics, and biofuels, with stable global demand due to its versatility. In 2025, Indonesia adjusted export levies and benchmark prices for palm products, including HS 151329, to balance domestic biodiesel mandates and export competitiveness [FAS USDA]. As a top exporter, Indonesia’s October 2025 trade flows reflect these policy shifts, making it a critical player in the global palm kernel oil market.

Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS 151329) 2025 October Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil HS Code 151329 Export 2025 October declined sharply to USD 160.41 million in value and 79.49 million kg in volume, marking the lowest monthly performance since the start of the year and reflecting a significant contraction from peak levels seen in mid-2025.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The October figures represent a steep sequential drop from August’s high of USD 358.92 million and 188.12 million kg, continuing a downward trend that began in September. This slump aligns with typical post-harvest and inventory adjustment cycles in palm derivatives, where mid-year processing peaks are often followed by a Q4 slowdown as mills reduce output and exporters clear stocks ahead of year-end. The YoY comparison—though full-year data remains incomplete—highlights a volatile year influenced by both seasonal patterns and policy shifts.

External Context and Outlook

This contraction was heavily influenced by Indonesia’s aggressive export policy adjustments throughout 2025. The government raised export levies in May [USDA GAIN] and increased duties on crude palm oil in July (Global Trade Alert), aimed at prioritizing domestic biodiesel feedstock under the B40 mandate. These measures suppressed export competitiveness and diverted supplies locally, exacerbating the typical Q4 seasonal decline. With temporary benchmark price revisions continuing into November (Global Trade Alert), the outlook remains constrained by policy-driven market distortion rather than fundamental demand cycles.

Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS 151329) 2025 October Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In October 2025, Indonesia's export of Palm Kernel Oil under HS Code 151329 is highly concentrated, with sub-code 1513299500 dominating at 68.2% of the weight share. This variant, described as refined palm kernel or babassu oil, has a unit price of 1.98 USD per kilogram. The slight price differences, such as 1513299100 at 2.20 USD/kg, show no extreme anomalies but indicate minor grade variations within the market.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The other sub-codes fall into two groups based on unit price: a higher-priced category including 1513299100 at 2.20 USD/kg, and a standard-priced category like 1513299400 at 1.97 USD/kg. With identical product descriptions and closely aligned prices, this structure points to a trade in fungible bulk commodities, where products are largely undifferentiated and likely linked to common market benchmarks.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

Exporters face limited pricing power due to the commodity nature of Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil HS Code 151329, pushing a strategic focus on volume efficiency and cost control. Policy shifts, such as Indonesia's increase in export levies for palm products [USDA], may elevate costs and require careful compliance to protect margins in the 2025 October export landscape.

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Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS 151329) 2025 October Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

In October 2025, BRAZIL is the dominant importer of Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil HS Code 151329 Export, accounting for over 27% of both weight and value, with a slight value premium indicating a consistent, mid-to-high grade commodity shipment. The value ratio (27.48) marginally exceeds the weight ratio (27.29), suggesting stable unit pricing around 2.03 USD/kg without significant quality variations across key markets.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The importers form three clear clusters: first, high-volume buyers like BRAZIL, CHINA MAINLAND, and UNITED STATES, driven by bulk demand for food and industrial uses; second, medium-volume players such as RUSSIA and SOUTH AFRICA, likely sourcing for regional distribution or specific product blends; third, smaller importers including ITALY and JAPAN, reflecting niche or specialty market needs.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

Exporters should prioritize cost management and regulatory compliance, as Indonesia's recent export levy hikes [USDA] and benchmark price adjustments (USDA) may squeeze margins. Diversifying within existing high-volume clusters can mitigate risk, while monitoring policy changes for timely price revisions.

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Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS 151329) 2025 October Export: Action Plan for Palm Kernel Oil Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil Export 2025 October under HS Code 151329 operates as a bulk commodity market. Price is driven by global benchmark indices and Indonesia's export levy policies. Minor price differences reflect standard grade variations, not product differentiation. The supply chain implication is a focus on volume efficiency and supply security to high-volume processing hubs like Brazil and China. Heavy buyer concentration creates revenue vulnerability to demand shifts from major clients.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Palm Kernel Oil Market Execution

• Monitor Indonesia's export levy changes monthly using trade policy alerts. Adjust contract prices immediately to protect margins from rising costs.
• Analyze shipment frequency data for top buyers like Brazil. Predict their inventory cycles to optimize production scheduling and avoid overstock.
• Track unit prices across all HS Code 151329 sub-codes. Identify any emerging premium segments to capture slight value opportunities.
• Develop secondary buyer targets within existing high-volume clusters (e.g., Russia, South Africa). Diversify accounts to reduce dependency on single large buyers.
• Use real-time trade data to verify compliance with destination country regulations. Prevent shipment delays or rejections that disrupt cash flow.

Core Market Positioning

Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil Export 2025 October for HS Code 151329 requires disciplined execution. Prioritize cost control and supply reliability. Strengthen relationships with dominant buyers while building a broader client base. Adapt quickly to policy changes to maintain competitiveness in this commodity sector.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil Export 2025 October?

The sharp decline in October 2025 exports to USD 160.41 million reflects seasonal post-harvest slowdowns and policy shifts, including Indonesia's raised export levies prioritizing domestic biodiesel feedstock under the B40 mandate.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil Export 2025 October?

BRAZIL dominates with 27% of weight and value, followed by CHINA MAINLAND and the UNITED STATES, forming a high-volume cluster for bulk industrial and food demand.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil Export 2025 October partner countries?

Minor price variations (e.g., 1.97–2.20 USD/kg) stem from sub-code grades like 1513299100 (refined oil at 2.20 USD/kg), though most trade involves fungible bulk commodities with aligned benchmarks.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Palm Kernel Oil export market?

Exporters must prioritize cost control and compliance with levy hikes while securing contracts with dominant high-volume buyers (78.49% of value) to mitigate reliance on a concentrated client base.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers in key markets like Brazil benefit from stable mid-grade pricing (~2.03 USD/kg), but should monitor Indonesia’s policy shifts for potential supply or cost fluctuations.

Q6. How is Palm Kernel Oil typically used in this trade flow?

The product is traded as a bulk commodity for food manufacturing and industrial applications, with refined variants like HS 1513299500 (68.2% share) serving standardized global demand.