Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil HS151329 Export Data 2025 February Overview

Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS 151329) 2025 February Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia's palm kernel oil exports (HS Code 151329) in February 2025 were dominated by China, which accounted for 32% of volume and value, signaling a bulk commodity-grade product priced around $1.75/kg. The market is highly concentrated, with China, the Netherlands, and the U.S. forming key processing hubs, while regional buyers like Russia and Egypt drive niche demand. Export risks are rising due to Indonesia’s policy shifts, including higher levies, urging buyers to diversify sourcing. This analysis, based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database, covers February 2025 for actionable insights.

Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS 151329) 2025 February Export Background

Indonesia Palm kernel oil (HS Code 151329) refers to refined or fractionated vegetable oils from palm kernels, widely used in food, cosmetics, and biofuels due to their stability and versatility. Global demand remains strong, driven by industries needing sustainable alternatives. In 2025, Indonesia's export policies tightened, with May's levy hikes [FAS USDA] and July's temporary duty increases [Global Trade Alert] affecting palm-derived products. As the world's top palm kernel oil exporter, Indonesia's 2025 February shipments faced pricing pressures amid regulatory shifts, balancing domestic biodiesel goals (B50) and international market demands.

Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS 151329) 2025 February Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

In February 2025, Indonesia's exports of Palm kernel oil under HS Code 151329 reached a value of 167.76 million USD with a volume of 94.84 million kg, marking a strong performance early in the year.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The month-over-month comparison shows a significant increase from January, with value rising by 19.8% and volume by 23.0%. This growth aligns with seasonal production cycles in the palm oil sector, where first-quarter outputs typically surge due to peak harvest periods, driving higher export availability and demand for derivative products like kernel oil.

External Context and Outlook

Recent policy shifts, such as the restrictions on palm waste exports implemented in January 2025 [GAPKI], have already tightened supply chains, potentially supporting February's elevated figures. Looking ahead, anticipated measures like the export levy increase in May 2025 (USDA) and potential crude palm oil regulations for biodiesel blending could further influence export dynamics under HS Code 151329, introducing volatility in the latter half of 2025.

Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS 151329) 2025 February Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In February 2025, Indonesia's export of palm kernel oil under HS Code 151329 was heavily concentrated in sub-code 15132995, which represented refined palm kernel oil and accounted for over two-thirds of the total export value and weight at a unit price of 1.79 USD per kilogram. Two minor sub-codes with unit prices of 0.53 USD per kilogram were isolated as anomalies due to their negligible volume and value shares.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The remaining sub-codes form three distinct price tiers: a premium grade at 1.99 USD per kilogram (HS 15132991), a standard grade at 1.79 USD per kilogram (HS 15132995), and an economy grade at 1.61 USD per kilogram (HS 15132994). This price variation indicates a market for differentiated, value-added products rather than uniform bulk commodities, with grades likely reflecting differences in refinement or quality.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

Producers can leverage quality differentiation for pricing power, but increased export levies in 2025 [USDA] may pressure margins. Focusing on higher-value grades is essential for maintaining competitiveness in Indonesia Palm kernel oil HS Code 151329 Export 2025 February.

Check Detailed HS 151329 Breakdown

Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS 151329) 2025 February Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

In February 2025, Indonesia's palm kernel oil exports under HS Code 151329 were highly concentrated, with China Mainland dominating the market, accounting for 32.04% of weight and 31.29% of value. The slight disparity where value ratio is lower than weight ratio suggests a commodity-grade product with a lower unit price, estimated around 1.75 USD/kg, indicating bulk, raw material exports rather than high-value processed goods.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The top importers form two main clusters: first, China, Netherlands, United States, and Malaysia, which are major processing or re-export hubs due to their large industrial capacities and strategic trade positions. Second, countries like Russia, Egypt, and Saudi Arabia represent regional markets, likely importing for direct consumption or niche uses, driven by geographic proximity and specific demand in food or biofuel sectors.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

For buyers, this concentration in a few key markets, combined with Indonesia's recent export policy changes such as increased levies [USDA] and potential regulations for biodiesel (USDA), heightens supply chain risks. To mitigate, diversify sourcing to include secondary suppliers like Malaysia or Thailand, and closely monitor Indonesian policy shifts that could affect costs and availability.

Get Complete Partner Countries Profile

Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS 151329) 2025 February Export: Action Plan for Palm Kernel Oil Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Palm kernel oil Export 2025 February under HS Code 151329 shows a commodity market with three clear price tiers. Prices are driven by product quality and refinement level. Premium grades command higher prices. Geopolitical factors like Indonesia's increased export levies also impact costs. The supply chain is highly concentrated. It relies on a few large buyers and key destinations like China. This creates vulnerability to demand shifts or policy changes. Supply security is the main risk for importers.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Palm kernel oil Market Execution

• Track HS Code 151329 sub-code shipments weekly. This identifies real-time demand shifts between economy, standard, and premium grades to optimize pricing.
• Map all high-frequency buyers by order size and destination. It helps predict order cycles and secure long-term contracts to stabilize revenue.
• Monitor policy updates from Indonesian authorities and major ports. This allows quick cost adjustments for new levies or regulations affecting Palm kernel oil exports.
• Develop alternative suppliers in Malaysia or Thailand for key markets. It reduces supply chain risk if Indonesian exports face disruptions or cost increases.
• Analyze unit price gaps between top importers like China and niche markets. This reveals opportunities to shift sales to higher-value segments for better margins.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Palm kernel oil Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Palm kernel oil Export 2025 February?

The strong performance is driven by seasonal production cycles, with a 19.8% value and 23.0% volume increase from January 2025. Recent export restrictions on palm waste tightened supply chains, further supporting February’s elevated figures.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Palm kernel oil Export 2025 February?

China dominates, accounting for 32.04% of weight and 31.29% of value. Other key importers include the Netherlands, the United States, and Malaysia, forming major processing or re-export hubs.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Palm kernel oil Export 2025 February partner countries?

Price differences stem from product grades: refined palm kernel oil (1.79 USD/kg) is the standard, while premium (1.99 USD/kg) and economy (1.61 USD/kg) grades cater to differentiated markets.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Palm kernel oil export market?

Exporters must prioritize relationships with high-value, high-frequency buyers (96% of trade) while diversifying into smaller, frequent purchasers to mitigate reliance on dominant clients.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Palm kernel oil export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers face supply chain risks due to heavy concentration in Indonesia. Diversifying sourcing to secondary suppliers like Malaysia or Thailand is advised to offset policy-driven volatility.

Q6. How is Palm kernel oil typically used in this trade flow?

It is primarily exported as refined bulk material for food or biofuel sectors, with differentiated grades serving niche markets or industrial processing.