Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil HS151329 Export Data 2025 August Overview

Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS 151329) 2025 August Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia’s Palm Kernel Oil (HS Code 151329) exports in August 2025 reveal a bulk commodity trade dominated by China, which accounts for nearly 30% of volume but shows slight value-to-weight deficits, confirming its price-driven nature. The market is highly concentrated, with China, the U.S., and the Netherlands absorbing over 65% of shipments, while Brazil stands out as a secondary buyer willing to pay for higher-grade products. This analysis, based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database, highlights the need for exporters to diversify beyond major markets to mitigate risks tied to policy shifts and levy changes.

Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS 151329) 2025 August Export Background

Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS Code 151329)—vegetable oil from palm kernels, refined but not chemically modified—is vital for food, cosmetics, and biofuels, driving steady global demand. In 2025, Indonesia's export policies, including levy hikes and benchmark price adjustments [FAS USDA], have shaped trade dynamics, balancing domestic biofuel mandates and export competitiveness. As a top producer, Indonesia's August 2025 exports of HS 151329 remain critical amid shifting regulations and global market pressures.

Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS 151329) 2025 August Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

In August 2025, Indonesia's Palm Kernel Oil exports under HS Code 151329 surged to $358.92 million in value and 188.12 million kg in volume, representing a sharp monthly increase and highlighting robust performance amid policy shifts.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The August 2025 data shows a significant month-over-month rise, with value increasing by 36.8% and volume by 18.7% compared to July. This spike aligns with typical palm industry cycles, where mid-year periods often see heightened export activity due to seasonal harvesting peaks and stock replenishment for derivative products like palm kernel oil. The unit price also climbed to approximately 1.908 USD/kg in August, up 15.2% from July, indicating cost pressures that began influencing the market post-policy adjustments.

External Context and Outlook

The volatility in August 2025 can be directly attributed to Indonesia's regulatory changes, including the export levy hike in May 2025 [FAS USDA] and temporary export duty increases in July (Global Trade Alert), which raised benchmark prices and encouraged accelerated shipments ahead of further adjustments. Looking forward, continued policy tweaks and global biofuel demand, particularly from key markets, will likely sustain fluctuations in Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil HS Code 151329 Export 2025 August trends, requiring close monitoring of government announcements and international trade flows.

Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS 151329) 2025 August Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In August 2025, Indonesia's Palm Kernel Oil exports under HS Code 151329 are heavily concentrated in sub-code 15132995, which holds a 69% value share and describes refined palm kernel oil not chemically modified. With a unit price of 1.92 USD per kilogram, this sub-code's dominance is evident, while a minor anomaly, sub-code 15132996, is isolated due to its negligible volume and incomplete pricing data, representing less than 1% of transactions.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The non-anomalous sub-codes can be grouped into three distinct grades based on unit price: a higher-grade option at 2.09 USD per kilogram (15132991), a standard grade at 1.92 USD per kilogram (15132995), and a lower-grade variant at 1.74 USD per kilogram (15132994). Despite identical product descriptions, the price variations suggest differentiation in quality or refinement level, indicating that Indonesia's Palm Kernel Oil trade under HS Code 151329 involves differentiated manufactured goods rather than fungible bulk commodities.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

For exporters, the grade differentiation offers some pricing power through premium products, but overall margins are pressured by Indonesia's increased export levies in 2025 [FAS USDA], which elevate costs. Strategic focus should prioritize higher-value grades to mitigate levy impacts and maintain competitiveness in global markets for Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil HS Code 151329 Export 2025 August.

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Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS 151329) 2025 August Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Indonesia's Palm Kernel Oil HS Code 151329 Export 2025 August shows a highly concentrated market, with China Mainland as the clear dominant buyer. China accounts for 29.69% of the total weight but only 29.39% of the total value, a slight value-to-weight deficit that confirms this is a bulk commodity trade where price is driven by volume rather than premium product attributes.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The importers form three clear groups. The first cluster includes China, the United States, and the Netherlands, which together take over 65% of the volume; these are large-scale consumers buying in bulk for further processing. The second cluster is Brazil, which has a higher value ratio (13.01%) than its weight ratio (12.89%), suggesting it may import slightly higher-grade or specialized product forms. The remaining countries, including Russia, Sri Lanka, and the Philippines, represent smaller, fragmented markets likely sourcing for specific regional or niche manufacturing needs.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

Exporters must focus on managing costs from Indonesia's changing export levies [USDA] and temporary benchmark price adjustments (Global Trade Alert). The high reliance on a few major markets creates vulnerability; diversifying into secondary markets like Brazil, which shows a willingness to pay for value, can mitigate risk. Supply chains need flexibility to adapt to sudden policy shifts that affect export pricing and timing.

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Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS 151329) 2025 August Export: Action Plan for Palm Kernel Oil Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia's Palm Kernel Oil Export 2025 August under HS Code 151329 operates as a bulk commodity trade with slight manufactured-grade differentiation. Core price drivers are Indonesia's export levy changes, bulk volume demand from major partners like China, and minor premium potential from higher-grade sub-codes. Supply chains face cost pressure from policy shifts and reliance on few large buyers, requiring flexible logistics and value-focused production to balance commodity scale with niche opportunities.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Palm Kernel Oil Market Execution

• Prioritize production of higher-grade sub-codes (e.g., 15132991) to capture premium pricing. Why: This directly counters levy-driven cost increases and improves margin stability in a bulk-dominated market.
• Secure long-term contracts with high-frequency bulk buyers (89% of value) to ensure revenue stability. Why: This locks in volume and reduces vulnerability to spot market price fluctuations.
• Diversify export destinations using trade data to target partners like Brazil with higher value-to-weight ratios. Why: It reduces over-reliance on China and spreads policy risk across multiple markets.
• Monitor real-time policy alerts (e.g., USDA reports) on levy changes and adjust pricing strategies within 48 hours. Why: Swift adaptation prevents cost surprises and maintains export competitiveness.
• Analyze buyer purchase cycles to optimize inventory levels and avoid overstock of lower-grade variants. Why: This minimizes storage costs and aligns production with actual demand patterns.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil Export 2025 August?

The surge in August 2025 exports (+36.8% value, +18.7% volume) stems from Indonesia's export levy hikes and seasonal demand, with buyers accelerating shipments ahead of further policy adjustments.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil Export 2025 August?

China dominates (29.7% of volume), followed by the U.S. and Netherlands (collectively 65% volume share), while Brazil shows a higher value-to-weight ratio for premium grades.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil Export 2025 August partner countries?

Price gaps reflect grade differentiation: higher-grade refined oil (2.09 USD/kg, sub-code 15132991) vs. standard (1.92 USD/kg) and lower-grade (1.74 USD/kg) variants under HS Code 151329.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Palm Kernel Oil export market?

Prioritize contracts with dominant bulk buyers (89% of trade value) and diversify into markets like Brazil, which pays premiums, to offset levy-driven cost pressures.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Major buyers (e.g., China) benefit from stable bulk supply, while niche markets face reliance on Indonesia’s policy-driven price volatility and limited high-grade availability.

Q6. How is Palm Kernel Oil typically used in this trade flow?

Exports are primarily refined, non-chemically modified oil for industrial processing (e.g., food manufacturing, biofuels), traded as differentiated grades rather than uniform bulk commodities.