Indonesia Natural Gas HS271121 Export Data 2025 October Overview

Indonesia Natural Gas (HS 271121) 2025 October Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia's Natural Gas Export (HS Code 271121) in 2025 October reveals a high-risk market entirely dependent on Singapore, accounting for 100% of both value and weight—a clear sign of a captive, undiversified trade. The data confirms this is a pure bulk commodity transaction with no pricing premium, highlighting severe supply chain vulnerability. With no alternative buyers or geographic clusters, Indonesia faces urgent pressure to expand its export markets. This analysis, covering 2025 October, is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Natural Gas (HS 271121) 2025 October Export Background

Indonesia’s Natural Gas (HS Code 271121), classified as Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons in gaseous state, fuels power generation and industrial processes globally, with steady demand due to its role in clean energy transitions. While recent 2025 policy shifts—like palm oil export levy hikes and import reforms—dominate Indonesia’s trade updates [Global Trade Alert], no direct changes target Natural Gas Exports for October 2025. As a major exporter (3.88B kg shipped in 2023 [WITS]), Indonesia remains a key supplier, balancing global energy needs amid shifting trade dynamics.

Indonesia Natural Gas (HS 271121) 2025 October Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

In October 2025, Indonesia's Natural Gas exports under HS Code 271121 reached $155.41 million in value and 309.55 million kilograms in volume, showing a slight uptick from the previous month amidst generally stable annual performance.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The October figures reflect a modest month-over-month increase in both value and volume compared to September, with value rising by approximately 1.5% and volume by about 3.3%. This aligns with typical seasonal patterns in natural gas markets, where demand often begins to climb in the fourth quarter due to cooler weather in key importing regions, driving stock replenishment. Throughout 2025, export values have remained relatively range-bound between $148 million and $171 million, indicating consistent industrial and energy sector demand without major supply disruptions. The stability suggests that Indonesia's export operations for HS Code 271121 are well-balanced, with minor fluctuations attributable to routine market adjustments rather than structural shifts.

External Context and Outlook

Globally, natural gas markets are influenced by broader economic factors such as energy transition policies and currency exchange rates, which could impact future trade flows. For Indonesia Natural Gas HS Code 271121 Export 2025 October, the outlook remains cautiously positive, supported by steady Asian demand and the country's role as a reliable supplier in the region. Monitoring global price trends and domestic production levels will be key to anticipating any changes in export dynamics moving forward.

Indonesia Natural Gas (HS 271121) 2025 October Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In October 2025, Indonesia's export of Natural Gas under HS Code 271121 is fully specialized in a single sub-code, 2711219000, which covers Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons in gaseous state, specifically natural gas. This sub-code accounts for all export value and weight, with a unit price of 0.50 USD per kilogram, confirming its role as a low-value bulk commodity. No other sub-codes or price anomalies are present in this analysis period.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The export structure for Indonesia Natural Gas HS Code 271121 in 2025 October consists of only one product form: natural gas in gaseous state. This indicates a homogeneous, fungible bulk commodity trade, where products are undifferentiated and typically priced against global energy indices rather than based on quality grades or value-added stages.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

For Indonesia's Natural Gas Export in 2025 October, the commodity nature limits pricing power, tying it to international market fluctuations. Strategic focus should remain on cost control and securing stable demand channels. According to news sources, no specific policy changes affected HS Code 271121 in this period, supporting a stable export environment without new disruptions [World Bank WITS]. (World Bank WITS)

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Indonesia Natural Gas (HS 271121) 2025 October Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Indonesia's Natural Gas HS Code 271121 Export in 2025 October shows a market entirely dependent on Singapore, which accounts for 100% of both the total export value and weight. The identical value and weight ratios confirm this is a pure commodity trade, with no unit price premium, moving at standard bulk rates.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

Only one country appears in the data, so no distinct clusters exist. This single-destination pattern points to a captive market, likely driven by a direct pipeline connection or a long-term supply contract that locks in this exclusive trade relationship for Indonesia's natural gas.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

This total reliance on one buyer creates major supply chain risk. Indonesia must work to find new buyers to diversify its export markets. The lack of recent policy news specific to natural gas [WITS] means market players should watch for any new government actions that could either open new trade routes or further cement this singular partnership.

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Indonesia Natural Gas (HS 271121) 2025 October Export: Action Plan for Natural Gas Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Natural Gas Export 2025 October for HS Code 271121 operates as a pure commodity market. Price is driven by global energy indices, not product differentiation. The supply chain faces high concentration risk. All exports go to Singapore via likely pipeline or long-term contracts. Buyer data shows 83% value from high-frequency, high-volume purchasers. This creates stable demand but also dependency. Indonesia holds a processing and transit hub role, not a value-added one. Traditional trade analysis misses these granular risks.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Natural Gas Market Execution

• Use HS Code 271121 export data to identify potential new buyer countries in Asia, reducing over-reliance on Singapore and diversifying market risk.
• Analyze high-frequency buyer purchase cycles to optimize inventory and shipping schedules, preventing cost overruns and ensuring contract compliance.
• Monitor global natural gas price indices daily to time contract negotiations, securing better margins when market prices peak.
• Track competitor export volumes and routes using trade databases, identifying untapped regional demand for competitive advantage.
• Develop a risk dashboard combining buyer, destination, and policy data, enabling rapid response to supply chain disruptions or new trade opportunities.

Keywords

Indonesia Natural Gas Export 2025 October, HS Code 271121

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Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Natural Gas Export 2025 October?

The slight month-over-month increase in value (1.5%) and volume (3.3%) aligns with typical seasonal demand patterns, as cooler weather drives stock replenishment in key markets. The stability throughout 2025 suggests balanced supply-demand dynamics without major disruptions.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Natural Gas Export 2025 October?

Singapore is the sole destination, accounting for 100% of Indonesia’s natural gas exports by value and volume, indicating a captive market likely tied to pipeline infrastructure or long-term contracts.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Natural Gas Export 2025 October partner countries?

No price differentials exist, as all exports are homogeneous bulk natural gas (sub-code 2711219000) traded at a uniform unit price of 0.50 USD/kg, reflecting its undifferentiated commodity nature.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Natural Gas export market?

Exporters must prioritize maintaining relationships with dominant high-value buyers (83% of trade) like MEDCO E&P GRISSIK LTD, while diversifying markets to reduce reliance on Singapore.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Natural Gas export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Singaporean buyers benefit from stable, predictable supply but face concentration risks; they should monitor Indonesia’s efforts to diversify exports, which could impact long-term contract terms.

Q6. How is Natural Gas typically used in this trade flow?

The exports are bulk natural gas in gaseous state, primarily used for energy generation or industrial feedstock, traded as a fungible commodity priced against global benchmarks.