2025 Indonesia Hydrogenated Oils (HS 151620) Export: Surge & Slump

Key Takeaways

Hydrogenated vegetable oils, classified under HS Code 151620 (Vegetable fats and oils and their fractions; partly or wholly hydrogenated, inter-esterified, re-esterified or elaidinised, whether or not refined, but not further prepared), exhibited strong mid-year growth followed by a Q4 contraction from January to October 2025.

• Market Pulse: Exports surged 19% above January levels by September, driven by pre-duty rush shipments, before a 9% October pullback as inventory drawdowns took effect.
• Structural Shift: Indonesia Hydrogenated vegetable oils Export reliance on China (64.63% of value) creates vulnerability, with bulk shipments (71.67% weight share) indicating price-sensitive demand over premium margins.
• Product Logic: HS Code 151620 trade data reveals a split between high-volume, low-cost bulk oils (sub-codes like 15162046 at $0.95/kg) and niche, higher-value variants (up to $4.01/kg) for specialized applications.

This overview covers the period from January to October 2025 and is based on verified customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Hydrogenated Vegetable Oils (HS Code 151620) Key Metrics Trend

Market Trend Summary

The Indonesia Hydrogenated vegetable oils export trend from January to October 2025 showed a clear pattern of mid-year expansion followed by a Q4 contraction. After a sharp February decline (-27% value, -30% weight), exports climbed steadily through Q2 and Q3, peaking at $240.76 million in September. The overall trajectory reflects strong recovery momentum, with September volumes 19% above the January baseline despite October's 9% pullback.

Drivers & Industry Context

The mid-year surge aligns with Indonesia's July 2025 export duty increase on crude palm oil derivatives, which accelerated shipments ahead of policy implementation [ytrade.com]. This pushed refiners to maximize volumes before higher costs took effect, explaining the 22% month-on-month jump in July. Sustained demand from China (63-74% of volumes) and premium markets like the US ($1.95/kg) supported the hs code 151620 value, though October's decline suggests inventory drawdowns after pre-duty rush shipments. Global biofuel and food processing demand remained structural supports, with trade tensions EU countervailing duties creating ongoing headwinds.

Table: Indonesia Hydrogenated Vegetable Oils Export Trend (Source: yTrade)

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Indonesia HS Code 151620 Export Breakdown

Market Composition & Top Categories

According to yTrade data, Indonesia's HS Code 151620 export market from January to October 2025 is dominated by sub-code 15162046, which accounts for 22.4% of total export value and 27.3% of total weight shipped. Two other major categories, 15162034 and 15162047, hold nearly matching value shares of 18.9% and 18.3% respectively. The remaining sub-codes consist of specialized, higher-unit-price variants that collectively form a long tail in this Indonesia HS Code 151620 Export profile.

Value Chain & Strategic Insights

The HS Code 151620 breakdown reveals a bifurcated market structure, with unit prices ranging from $0.95 to $4.01 per kilogram. This wide spread indicates both a high-volume, price-sensitive commodity trade for bulk hydrogenated oils and a smaller, quality-driven segment for specialized fractions. The trade structure is fundamentally commodity-driven, where scale and cost efficiency dominate, though niche opportunities exist in higher-value product forms for specific industrial or food applications.

Check Detailed HS Code 151620 Breakdown

Indonesia Hydrogenated Vegetable Oils Destination Countries

Geographic Concentration & Market Risk

China dominates Indonesia's hydrogenated vegetable oils export destinations, capturing 64.63% of total value from Jan to Oct 2025. This overwhelming 1.27 billion USD trade volume creates significant supply chain dependency for Indonesian exporters. Such extreme concentration in a single market represents a critical vulnerability to any demand shifts or trade policy changes from China.

Purchasing Behavior & Demand Segmentation

China's weight ratio (71.67%) exceeds its value ratio (64.63%), indicating this trade partner for Hydrogenated vegetable oils operates on volume-driven economics rather than premium pricing. The relatively low frequency ratio (34.71%) compared to weight confirms bulk industrial shipments rather than fragmented retail distribution. This profile reveals a market offering volume scale through price-sensitive bulk processing, not margin potential through premium product demand.

Table: Indonesia Hydrogenated Vegetable Oils (HS Code 151620) Top Destination Countries (Source: yTrade)

Get Indonesia Hydrogenated Vegetable Oils (HS Code 151620) Complete Destination Countries Profile

Indonesia Hydrogenated Vegetable Oils Buyer Companies Analysis

Buyer Concentration & Market Structure

According to yTrade data, the Indonesia Hydrogenated vegetable oils export market from January to October 2025 is overwhelmingly dominated by high-value, high-frequency buyers, who account for 94.24% of the total value share. This segment, represented by companies like VANDELIS BV and SINOCHEM HEBEI CORPORATION, indicates a stable, contract-based supply chain typical of loyal repeat customers such as manufacturers or large retailers. The concentration highlights the critical role of these Indonesia Hydrogenated vegetable oils buyers in driving export volumes.

Purchasing Behavior & Sales Strategy

The dominance of key accounts with consistent purchasing patterns suggests a sales strategy focused on maintaining long-term relationships and ensuring supply chain reliability for HS Code 151620 buyer trends. However, the high value share concentration poses a risk if any major buyer shifts demand; sellers should prioritize contract renewals and explore digital channels to attract smaller, fragmented buyers for diversification. Monitoring export surges, as noted in [ytrade.com], can help align with peak demand periods to optimize sales efforts.

Table: Indonesia Hydrogenated Vegetable Oils (HS Code 151620) Top Buyers List (Source: yTrade)

Check Full Indonesia Hydrogenated Vegetable Oils Buyers list

Action Plan for Hydrogenated Vegetable Oils Market Operation and Expansion

• Diversify buyer portfolios: Reduce dependency on China by targeting fragmented buyers in premium markets like the US ($1.95/kg) to mitigate geopolitical and demand risks.
• Lock in long-term contracts: Secure commitments with high-value repeat buyers (e.g., VANDELIS BV) to stabilize revenue, given their 94.24% value share dominance.
• Optimize logistics for bulk shipments: Negotiate freight rates for sub-codes like 15162034 and 15162047 (18.9% and 18.3% value share) to protect margins in the volume-driven segment.
• Monitor policy shifts: Track Indonesia’s export duty changes and EU countervailing duties to anticipate demand surges or contractions, as seen in July 2025’s 22% monthly spike.
• Segment product offerings: Capitalize on the $4.01/kg niche variants by branding technical specifications for industrial buyers, offsetting commodity price pressures.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Hydrogenated vegetable oils HS Code 151620 Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Hydrogenated vegetable oils Export in 2025?

The mid-year surge in exports was driven by Indonesia's July 2025 export duty increase on crude palm oil derivatives, prompting refiners to maximize shipments before higher costs took effect. The subsequent Q4 decline suggests inventory drawdowns after the pre-duty rush.

Q2. Who are the main destination countries of Indonesia Hydrogenated vegetable oils (HS Code 151620) in 2025?

China dominates as the primary destination, accounting for 64.63% of Indonesia's export value. The US and other markets represent smaller but higher-value segments, with the US fetching $1.95/kg.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across destination countries of Indonesia Hydrogenated vegetable oils Export in 2025?

Price differences stem from the bifurcated market structure, where bulk commodity-grade oils (e.g., sub-code 15162046) trade at lower prices ($0.95/kg), while specialized variants (e.g., sub-code 15162047) command premiums up to $4.01/kg.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Hydrogenated vegetable oils export market?

Exporters should prioritize contract renewals with high-value buyers like VANDELIS BV and SINOCHEM HEBEI CORPORATION, who drive 94.24% of trade value, while diversifying into niche markets to mitigate over-reliance on China.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Hydrogenated vegetable oils export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Chinese buyers benefit from volume-driven bulk pricing, while premium markets like the US access higher-value product forms. However, all buyers face supply chain risks due to Indonesia's concentrated export structure.

Q6. How is Hydrogenated vegetable oils typically used in this trade flow?

The commodity-grade bulk shipments likely serve industrial food processing or biofuel production, while specialized fractions cater to premium food applications requiring specific oil properties.

Detailed Monthly and Quarterly Report

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