Indonesia Hydrogenated Vegetable Oils HS151620 Export Data 2025 October Overview

Indonesia Hydrogenated Vegetable Oils (HS 151620) 2025 October Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia’s Hydrogenated vegetable oils (HS Code 151620) Export in 2025 October reveals a bulk commodity market with tight pricing, dominated by China Mainland, which accounts for 75% of volume but slightly lower per-kg costs. The buyer base is highly concentrated, posing market risk, while demand splits between Southeast Asian processors and developing African/Middle Eastern end-users, offering supply chain resilience. This analysis, covering October 2025, is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Hydrogenated Vegetable Oils (HS 151620) 2025 October Export Background

Indonesia's hydrogenated vegetable oils (HS Code 151620), covering vegetable fats and oils partly or wholly hydrogenated, are vital for food processing, cosmetics, and biofuels due to their stability and versatility. Global demand remains strong, driven by industrial needs and consumer goods. In 2025, Indonesia raised palm oil export levies [FAS USDA] and adjusted tariffs [Global Trade Alert], shaping October 2025 export dynamics. As the world's top palm oil producer, Indonesia's policies directly impact hydrogenated oil trade flows, making it a key player in global markets.

Indonesia Hydrogenated Vegetable Oils (HS 151620) 2025 October Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

In October 2025, Indonesia's exports of Hydrogenated vegetable oils under HS Code 151620 recorded a value of 218.55 million USD and a volume of 184.51 million kg, showing a pullback from the peak in September.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The monthly trend for Indonesia Hydrogenated vegetable oils HS Code 151620 Export in 2025 saw a steady climb from January, peaking in September at 240.76 million USD, before declining in October. This pattern aligns with typical seasonal cycles in palm oil derivatives, where mid-year harvests often boost export availability, followed by a tapering as stocks normalize. The month-over-month decrease in October reflects this natural ebb in supply momentum rather than a structural shift.

External Context and Outlook

The export levies increased by Indonesia in May and July 2025 [USDA] and Global Trade Alert likely contributed to higher export costs, potentially dampening volumes later in the year. Looking ahead, continued policy adjustments could influence Indonesia Hydrogenated vegetable oils HS Code 151620 Export trends into 2026, amid global demand fluctuations.

Indonesia Hydrogenated Vegetable Oils (HS 151620) 2025 October Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In October 2025, Indonesia's export of Hydrogenated vegetable oils under HS Code 151620 is dominated by sub-code 1516204600, which focuses on bulk vegetable fats and oils with a unit price of 1.01 USD per kilogram, capturing over 26% of the export value and 31% of the weight. An extreme price anomaly exists in sub-code 1516202300, with a unit price of 3.84 USD per kilogram, isolated from the main analysis due to its minimal market share.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The remaining sub-codes fall into two groups: bulk hydrogenated oils with unit prices around 1 USD per kilogram, such as 1516205400 and 1516203400, and higher-grade oils with prices near 1.8-1.9 USD per kilogram, including 1516204700 and 1516203500. This setup points to a trade in fungible bulk commodities, where products are largely undifferentiated and likely tied to market indices, with slight variations based on processing level.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

The heavy reliance on bulk exports limits pricing power for Indonesian suppliers, making them vulnerable to cost pressures. Recent increases in export levies on palm products [Global Trade Alert] could further squeeze margins, urging a strategic shift toward cost efficiency or developing higher-value product lines to enhance competitiveness.

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Indonesia Hydrogenated Vegetable Oils (HS 151620) 2025 October Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Indonesia's Hydrogenated vegetable oils HS Code 151620 Export in 2025 October shows heavy reliance on one buyer. China Mainland dominates, taking 75% of the weight but only 74% of the value. This small gap means the product sold to China costs slightly less per kilogram than the overall average, confirming its nature as a bulk commodity where price differences are narrow.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The importers form two clear groups. The first includes major Southeast Asian producers like Malaysia and Thailand, which likely import for further processing into finished goods. The second cluster consists of developing markets in Africa (Algeria, Nigeria, South Africa) and the Middle East (UAE, Turkey), which are probably end-users importing for direct consumption in their food industries, drawn by the product's affordability and Indonesia's competitive pricing.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

For sellers, this geographic spread offers stability; losing one market won't collapse trade. However, Indonesia's recent increase in palm export levies [USDA] means exporters must factor these higher costs into their pricing to maintain margins across all these destinations. Buyers should expect these taxes to be reflected in slightly higher contract prices moving forward.

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Indonesia Hydrogenated Vegetable Oils (HS 151620) 2025 October Export: Action Plan for Hydrogenated Vegetable Oils Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Hydrogenated vegetable oils Export 2025 October under HS Code 151620 operates as a bulk commodity trade. Price is driven by global vegetable oil indices and Indonesian export levies. Supply chains focus on high-volume, low-margin shipments to major buyers in China and processing hubs in Southeast Asia. This creates vulnerability to demand shifts from core partners and policy changes.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Hydrogenated vegetable oils Market Execution

• Track bulk buyer order frequency to anticipate demand cycles and optimize production scheduling, preventing costly inventory gaps or overstock.
• Analyze sub-code price premiums for products like 1516204700 to shift sales toward higher-value grades, protecting margins against rising export levies.
• Diversify buyer geography using trade data to target developing markets in Africa and the Middle East, reducing over-reliance on any single region.
• Monitor Indonesian levy announcements monthly to adjust pricing strategies immediately, ensuring all new costs are passed through to maintain profitability.

Forward-Looking Risk and Data Strategy

The top risk remains dependence on a few bulk buyers. Any demand drop from China would directly hurt exports. Use real-time trade data to track buyer order patterns. This allows quick shifts in sales focus if key partners reduce orders. Data beats guesswork in commodity markets.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Hydrogenated vegetable oils Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Hydrogenated vegetable oils Export 2025 October?

The October 2025 decline follows a seasonal peak in September, typical for palm oil derivatives post-harvest. Higher export levies since mid-2025 also contributed to reduced volumes by raising costs.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Hydrogenated vegetable oils Export 2025 October?

China dominates with 75% of the volume, followed by Southeast Asian processors (Malaysia, Thailand) and developing markets in Africa/Middle East (Algeria, Nigeria, UAE).

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Hydrogenated vegetable oils Export 2025 October partner countries?

Prices vary by product grade: bulk oils (e.g., sub-code 1516204600) average 1 USD/kg, while higher-grade oils (e.g., 1516204700) reach 1.8-1.9 USD/kg. China’s slightly lower price reflects its bulk purchases.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Hydrogenated vegetable oils export market?

Exporters must prioritize relationships with dominant high-volume buyers (71.7% of value) and absorb higher levy costs to maintain margins across price-sensitive markets.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Hydrogenated vegetable oils export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers face stable supply chains but should expect slight price hikes due to Indonesian export levies. Bulk purchasers like China retain negotiating power, while niche buyers have minimal market influence.

Q6. How is Hydrogenated vegetable oils typically used in this trade flow?

The product is primarily a fungible bulk commodity, with bulk grades used for industrial food processing and higher grades likely for refined consumer goods.