Indonesia Coal HS2701 Export Data 2025 March Overview

Indonesia Coal (HS 2701) 2025 March Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia's coal exports under HS Code 2701 in March 2025 reveal a market dominated by bulk, lower-grade shipments to high-volume buyers like INDIA, which accounted for 28.78% of weight but just 22.58% of value, signaling price-sensitive demand. Geographic concentration risks are evident, with INDIA, CHINA, and VIETNAM absorbing over 65% of volume, while higher-value markets like JAPAN paid premiums for quality. Export declines of 20-30 million tons loom in 2025, urging diversification and supply chain flexibility. This analysis, covering March 2025, is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Coal (HS 2701) 2025 March Export Background

Indonesia’s coal exports (HS Code 2701: Coal; briquettes and similar solid fuels made from coal) remain vital for power generation and industrial use, sustaining global demand despite energy transition pressures. In 2025, Indonesia faces a projected 20–30 million ton export decline [ytrade], while finalizing export duties and signaling a potential 2026 levy [Petromindo]. As a top global supplier, Indonesia balances domestic needs and export revenue, with key markets like India and China driving its coal trade. March 2025 saw no new restrictions, keeping coal exempt from broader export curbs [Antara News].

Indonesia Coal (HS 2701) 2025 March Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

In March 2025, Indonesia's coal export unit price dropped sharply to $0.06 per kg, down 14.3% from February, highlighting increased market pressure despite stable export volumes.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The month-over-month comparison for HS Code 2701 shows export volume holding steady at around 30.7 billion kg in March, but the value fell to $1.97 billion due to the price decline. This pattern aligns with typical coal industry cycles where price softness often precedes inventory adjustments or demand shifts, rather than supply disruptions. The consistency in volume suggests that the price drop is more driven by external market forces than internal supply changes for Indonesia Coal Export.

External Context and Outlook

External factors, including the finalized export duty formula [Antara News] and signals of a potential levy in 2026 (Petromindo), have injected uncertainty, likely contributing to the price weakness. Coupled with a projected 20-30 million ton decline in global demand for 2025 (ytrade.com), Indonesia's coal exports face headwinds from energy transition trends and market contractions. The outlook remains cautious as policy developments and shrinking international appetite could sustain pressure on HS Code 2701 flows.

Indonesia Coal (HS 2701) 2025 March Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In March 2025, Indonesia's coal exports under HS Code 2701 are dominated by lower-grade coal, specifically sub-code 27011900 for coal other than anthracite and bituminous, which holds 78% of the export value and 85% of the weight. This product has a low unit price of 0.06 USD per kilogram, indicating a focus on high-volume, low-value exports. A separate sub-code for manufactured briquettes (27012000) shows an extreme price anomaly at 248.41 USD per kilogram, but it is isolated from the main analysis due to its minimal share.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The remaining sub-codes fall into clear quality-based categories: bituminous coal (27011290 and 27011210) with unit prices of 0.09 to 0.10 USD per kilogram, and anthracite coal (27011100) at 0.11 USD per kilogram. This grading system, with prices rising for higher-quality types, confirms that Indonesia Coal Export 2025 March for HS Code 2701 operates as a trade in fungible bulk commodities, where prices are tied to standard quality indices rather than value-added processing.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

For market players, the heavy reliance on lower-grade coal in HS Code 2701 limits pricing power, as high volume and low value make exports vulnerable to global demand shifts and policy changes. [ytrade.com] reports a projected decline in coal export volumes for 2025, reinforcing the need for diversification into higher-grade products to mitigate risks from potential export levies (Petromindo) and market contractions.

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Indonesia Coal (HS 2701) 2025 March Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

In March 2025, Indonesia's coal exports under HS Code 2701 showed strong geographic concentration, with INDIA dominating as the top destination, accounting for 28.78% of the weight but only 22.58% of the value. This disparity suggests INDIA is primarily purchasing lower-grade coal in bulk, leading to a lower unit price estimated around $0.050 per kg, compared to other markets. The focus on weight over value highlights the commodity nature of coal, where volume drives trade patterns for Indonesia Coal Export 2025 March.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The partner countries form two main clusters: first, high-volume buyers like INDIA, CHINA MAINLAND, VIETNAM, and PHILIPPINES, which together represent over 65% of the weight, likely due to their high energy needs and cost-effective bulk purchasing for power plants. Second, higher-value importers such as JAPAN and SOUTH KOREA, with value ratios exceeding their weight shares, indicate a preference for higher-quality coal, possibly for industrial use, resulting in unit prices around $0.114 per kg. A third cluster includes countries like MALAYSIA and BANGLADESH, with moderate shares, reflecting regional trade ties and diversified demand.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

For market players, the heavy reliance on a few high-volume buyers like INDIA poses risks, especially with projected export declines of 20-30 million tons in 2025 [yTrade]. Diversifying into higher-value markets such as JAPAN could mitigate price pressures, while preparing for potential policy changes like export duties signaled for 2026 (Antara News) is crucial. Supply chains should adapt to possible volume reductions and shifting global demand away from coal, ensuring flexibility in logistics and contract negotiations for Indonesia Coal Export 2025 March.

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Indonesia Coal (HS 2701) 2025 March Export: Buyer Cluster

Buyer Market Concentration and Dominance

In March 2025, the Indonesia Coal Export market under HS Code 2701 is heavily concentrated, with one segment of buyers dominating trade. Buyers who purchase large volumes frequently account for 82.49% of the total export value, making them the core of the market. This high-value, high-frequency group drives the majority of transactions, indicating a market reliant on steady, bulk shipments from key partners.

Strategic Buyer Clusters and Trade Role

The other three segments play supporting roles. Buyers with high value but low frequency, like those making occasional large orders, contribute 10.49% of value and may represent strategic or project-based demand. Those with low value but high frequency, accounting for 2.88% of value, likely include smaller, regular buyers such as regional distributors. Finally, buyers with low value and low frequency, at 4.14% of value, are likely sporadic or niche market participants with minimal impact.

Sales Strategy and Vulnerability

For Indonesian coal exporters, the strategy should prioritize maintaining relationships with the dominant high-value, high-frequency buyers to ensure stable revenue. However, risks arise from potential policy changes, such as the finalized export duty formula [Antara News] and a signaled levy in 2026 (Petromindo), which could increase costs and affect competitiveness. Diversifying slightly into other segments could mitigate vulnerability to demand shifts, but the focus must remain on the core buyers to navigate the projected export decline mentioned in news reports.

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Indonesia Coal (HS 2701) 2025 March Export: Action Plan for Coal Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia's coal exports under HS Code 2701 operate as a high-volume, low-value commodity trade. The core price driver is global demand for lower-grade coal, with unit prices tied directly to quality grades. Bulk buyers from India and China dominate purchases, creating heavy reliance on a few high-volume partners. This concentration increases vulnerability to policy shifts like export levies and global demand contractions. The supply chain must prioritize cost-efficient bulk logistics and secure long-term contracts with key buyers to maintain market share amid projected export declines for Indonesia Coal Export 2025 March.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Coal Market Execution

• Analyze buyer purchase cycles using trade data to align production with high-frequency order patterns. This prevents inventory overstock and ensures timely fulfillment for core clients.
• Diversify export destinations by targeting higher-value markets like Japan and South Korea identified in trade data. This reduces dependency on bulk buyers and improves average unit prices.
• Monitor policy announcements from sources like Antara News and Petromindo to anticipate cost changes from duties. This allows proactive contract renegotiation and cost pass-through planning.
• Optimize logistics for bulk shipments by negotiating volume-based freight rates with carriers. This protects margins despite low per-unit value in HS Code 2701 exports.
• Develop a flexible supply chain capable of scaling volume up or down by 20-30%. This prepares for potential export declines reported for Indonesia Coal Export 2025 March.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Coal Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Coal Export 2025 March?

The unit price dropped 14.3% to $0.06 per kg in March 2025 due to market pressures, while export volumes remained stable at 30.7 billion kg. This reflects global demand shifts and policy uncertainties, including upcoming export duties and a projected 20-30 million ton decline in coal demand.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Coal Export 2025 March?

India dominates with 28.78% of export weight, followed by China, Vietnam, and the Philippines, which collectively account for over 65% of volume. Japan and South Korea represent higher-value markets, paying premium prices for quality coal.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Coal Export 2025 March partner countries?

Lower-grade coal (sub-code 27011900) makes up 78% of exports at $0.06/kg, targeting bulk buyers like India. Higher-quality bituminous ($0.09–0.10/kg) and anthracite ($0.11/kg) attract premium markets like Japan, where unit prices reach $0.114/kg.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Coal export market?

Exporters must prioritize relationships with high-value, high-frequency buyers (82.49% of trade value) while diversifying into premium markets like Japan to offset risks from India’s bulk-driven, low-margin demand and potential policy changes.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Coal export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Bulk buyers (e.g., India) benefit from stable, low-cost supply but face vulnerability to price fluctuations. Premium buyers (e.g., Japan) secure higher-grade coal at consistent premiums, though overall market volatility may impact long-term contracts.

Q6. How is Coal typically used in this trade flow?

Indonesia’s exports under HS Code 2701 are primarily fungible bulk commodities, with lower-grade coal (85% of volume) used for power generation and higher-grade types (e.g., anthracite) serving industrial applications.

Q7. What is yTrade?

yTrade is a global trade data platform that provides SaaS and API access to provide accurate, structured, and searchable import-export trade data for international business decisions. It enables users to access verified shipment records, analyse buyer and supplier activity, review company trade overviews, assess compliance risks, and monitor real market demand — all from a single, scalable system.

Q8. How can yTrade benefit my business?

yTrade helps businesses:

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Q9. What features does yTrade offer?

yTrade provides practical, trade-focused tools including:

• Global shipment search by HS code, product, company name, port, or country
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