Indonesia Coal HS2701 Export Data 2025 June Overview

Indonesia Coal (HS 2701) 2025 June Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia’s coal exports under HS Code 2701 in June 2025 reveal a high-volume, price-sensitive market dominated by India, which accounted for 26.5% of shipments but paid lower unit prices, signaling demand for lower-grade coal. The market is bifurcated, with bulk buyers like India and China prioritizing affordability, while Japan and South Korea pay premiums for higher-quality coal. This analysis, based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database, highlights Indonesia’s strategic challenge: balancing volume-driven and high-value buyers amid shifting demand and regulatory pressures.

Indonesia Coal (HS 2701) 2025 June Export Background

Indonesia's coal exports (HS Code 2701: Coal; briquettes and similar solid fuels) power industries like electricity and steel, keeping global demand steady despite energy shifts. In 2025, Indonesia scrapped fixed coal pricing rules after buyer pushback [Discovery Alert], aiming to revive exports amid a projected 20-30M ton decline [yTrade]. As a top supplier to India, China, and Japan, Indonesia's June 2025 coal trade reflects balancing market competitiveness with energy transition pressures.

Indonesia Coal (HS 2701) 2025 June Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

Indonesia's coal exports under HS Code 2701 experienced a sharp contraction in June 2025, with export value plummeting to $1.71 billion, down 18.2% month-over-month, and volume dropping to 27.77 billion kg, a 17.4% decrease from May.

Price and Volume Dynamics

Coal export volumes typically show resilience due to steady industrial and power demand across key markets like India and China, but the June slump indicates a significant disruption beyond seasonal patterns. Unit prices remained stable at $0.06/kg, suggesting that the value decline was driven solely by reduced shipment volumes rather than price erosion, pointing to potential inventory adjustments or demand hesitancy ahead of regulatory changes. This aligns with the broader trend of declining exports, as Indonesia faced pushback on its pricing policies earlier in the year.

External Context and Outlook

The downturn is directly tied to regulatory uncertainty, as Indonesia's March 2025 coal pricing rules [Discovery Alert] sparked buyer resistance and contributed to a projected 20-30 million ton export decline for 2025 (ytrade.com). With the government finalizing export duties and navigating a coal phase-out roadmap, near-term volatility may persist, but the reversal of pricing rules in August (Discovery Alert) could eventually support market stability.

Indonesia Coal (HS 2701) 2025 June Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

Indonesia's coal export under HS Code 2701 in June 2025 is highly concentrated in lower-grade coal, with the sub-code for coal other than anthracite and bituminous dominating the market. This product accounts for over 80% of the export weight and value, with a unit price of 0.06 USD per kilogram, indicating a focus on bulk, low-value shipments. The two bituminous coal sub-codes show slightly higher unit prices at 0.08 and 0.10 USD per kilogram, but no extreme price anomalies are present to isolate from the main analysis.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The export structure groups into two main categories based on coal grade: lower-grade coal (non-anthracite and non-bituminous) and bituminous coal. The lower-grade coal represents the bulk of exports, while bituminous varieties command modest price premiums. This setup confirms that Indonesia's coal export is a fungible bulk commodity trade, closely tied to global price indices rather than differentiated products, with all shipments being raw, unagglomerated coal.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

For market players, the commodity nature of Indonesia's coal export limits pricing power, as volumes are high but unit prices are low. Strategic focus should remain on cost efficiency and volume management, especially with regulatory changes like the scrapping of pricing rules in August 2025, which aimed to restore competitiveness after export declines [Discovery Alert]. This aligns with reports of falling export revenues and the need to adapt to shifting demand.

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Indonesia Coal (HS 2701) 2025 June Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Indonesia's coal export in June 2025, under HS Code 2701, was highly concentrated, with India as the dominant importer by both volume and value. India accounted for 26.51% of the weight but only 20.55% of the value, indicating a lower unit price of around $0.048 per kg, which suggests imports of lower-grade coal for bulk energy needs. This disparity highlights India's role as a high-volume, cost-sensitive market for Indonesian coal.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

Two main clusters emerge: first, India, China Mainland, and Philippines import large volumes at lower unit values, likely due to high energy demand and preference for affordable coal. Second, Japan, South Korea, and China Taiwan show higher value per unit, possibly seeking higher-grade coal for efficiency or environmental standards. These patterns reflect regional energy policies and economic priorities.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

For Indonesia, the geographic spread calls for strategies to maintain market share amid pricing pressures, as regulatory changes like scrapping fixed pricing rules [Discovery Alert] may require more flexible export approaches. Focusing on high-value markets while ensuring competitive pricing for bulk buyers can help navigate declining demand and policy shifts.

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Indonesia Coal (HS 2701) 2025 June Export: Buyer Cluster

Buyer Market Concentration and Dominance

In June 2025, Indonesia's coal export market for HS Code 2701 shows strong concentration among four segments of buyers. The dominant group consists of buyers who make frequent, high-value purchases, representing 82.14% of the total export value. This segment also accounts for 69.31% of shipment frequency and 82.01% of quantity, indicating that Indonesia's coal exports in this period rely heavily on regular, large-volume transactions from a core set of partners.

Strategic Buyer Clusters and Trade Role

The other buyer segments play smaller but distinct roles. Buyers with high value but low frequency contribute 11.06% of value, likely representing large, infrequent purchases such as spot deals or project-based needs. Those with low value but high frequency make up only 2.45% of value, suggesting smaller, routine buyers like local traders or minor consumers. The segment with low value and low frequency accounts for 4.36% of value, consisting of occasional, small-scale buyers who may be testing the market or handling niche demands.

Sales Strategy and Vulnerability

For Indonesian coal exporters, the strategy should prioritize nurturing relationships with the dominant high-value, high-frequency buyers to maintain stability. However, over-reliance on this segment poses a risk if demand shifts or regulations change. As noted in Discovery Alert, Indonesia scrapped coal pricing rules in 2025 after buyer pushback, which could lead to increased price volatility and require more flexible sales approaches. Exporters should also explore diversifying into other buyer segments to mitigate exposure to market downturns, especially with reported declines in coal export volumes and values (yTrade).

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Indonesia Coal (HS 2701) 2025 June Export: Action Plan for Coal Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Coal Export 2025 June under HS Code 2701 operates as a bulk commodity trade. Price is driven by coal grade and global demand indices. Lower-grade coal dominates volume but yields lower unit prices. High-value markets like Japan pay premiums for better grades. Supply chain implications focus on volume security and cost-efficient logistics. Over-reliance on high-frequency buyers and concentrated geographies like India creates vulnerability to demand shifts.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Coal Market Execution

• Use HS Code 2701 shipment data to identify new buyers in high-value regions. This diversifies revenue away from bulk-dependent markets.
• Analyze buyer frequency patterns to forecast demand cycles. This prevents inventory overstock and aligns production with order timing.
• Track real-time global coal price indices to adjust export pricing dynamically. This maximizes margin during market volatility.
• Optimize shipping routes using geographic trade data for cost reduction. This cuts logistics expenses for bulk shipments.
• Monitor regulatory alerts like pricing rule changes to adapt sales strategies quickly. This avoids compliance risks and capitalizes on new opportunities.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Coal Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Coal Export 2025 June?

Indonesia's coal exports fell sharply in June 2025, with an 18.2% drop in value and 17.4% in volume, driven by regulatory uncertainty and buyer resistance to pricing rules. The decline reflects inventory adjustments ahead of policy shifts, as unit prices remained stable at $0.06/kg.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Coal Export 2025 June?

India is the dominant importer, accounting for 26.51% of volume but only 20.55% of value, followed by China Mainland and the Philippines. Japan, South Korea, and China Taiwan import higher-value coal at premium prices.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Coal Export 2025 June partner countries?

Lower-grade coal (non-anthracite/non-bituminous) dominates exports at $0.06/kg, while bituminous coal commands slightly higher prices ($0.08–$0.10/kg). India’s lower unit price ($0.048/kg) reflects its bulk purchases of low-grade coal.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Coal export market?

Exporters should prioritize high-value, high-frequency buyers (82.14% of export value) while diversifying to mitigate over-reliance on a few partners. Cost efficiency and flexible pricing are critical amid regulatory changes.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Coal export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers in India and similar markets benefit from stable, low-cost coal supplies, while higher-value markets (Japan, South Korea) secure premium grades. However, regulatory shifts may introduce price volatility.

Q6. How is Coal typically used in this trade flow?

Indonesia’s coal exports are primarily raw, unagglomerated bulk shipments for power generation and industrial use, with lower-grade coal fueling energy demand in cost-sensitive markets like India and China.

Q7. What is yTrade?

yTrade is a global trade data platform that provides SaaS and API access to provide accurate, structured, and searchable import-export trade data for international business decisions. It enables users to access verified shipment records, analyse buyer and supplier activity, review company trade overviews, assess compliance risks, and monitor real market demand — all from a single, scalable system.

Q8. How can yTrade benefit my business?

yTrade helps businesses:

• Identify active and verified buyers through global import data
• Discover reliable suppliers with real shipment history
• Monitor competitor previous trade activity
• Reduce sourcing and compliance risk with worldwide export data
• Support data-driven sales, procurement, and market expansion decisions
• Save time by replacing manual research with structured trade data analysis

Q9. What features does yTrade offer?

yTrade provides practical, trade-focused tools including:

• Global shipment search by HS code, product, company name, port, or country
• Detailed company trade profiles with ownership and relationship mapping
• Buyer and supplier discovery with real transaction trade records
• Basic compliance with background checks and sanctions risk screening
• Competitor's shipment tracking and selling/buying behaviour analysis
• Trade Trends to identify market demand and trade flow monitoring
• Big-Data Search engine with percised filters to generate accurate data reports
• Global Trade Data API access for Internal Softwares like CRM, ERP, and SaaS integration All data is structured, verified, and cleaned to ensure consistency and reliability.