2025 Chile Fresh Cherries (HS 080929) Export: Market Collapse

Key Takeaways

Fresh Cherries, classified under HS Code 080929 (Cherries, fresh, other than sour cherries (Prunus cerasus)), exhibited extreme seasonality from January to September 2025.

• Market Pulse: Chile Fresh Cherries Export volumes collapsed 96% after January, with nearly all trade concentrated in Q1 to meet China’s Lunar New Year demand.
• Structural Shift: Chile’s export reliance on China (87.22% of value) creates high risk, with minimal diversification to secondary markets like the U.S. (4.75%).
• Product Logic: HS Code 080929 trade data reveals a stark quality divide, with the dominant category priced at $0.80/kg versus $0.02/kg for minor grades.

This overview covers the period from January to September 2025 and is based on verified customs data from the yTrade database.

Chile Fresh Cherries (HS Code 080929) Key Metrics Trend

Market Trend Summary

The Chile Fresh Cherries Export trend for 2025 displays extreme seasonality, with nearly all annual volume concentrated in the first quarter. Exports opened at 1.06 billion kg in January before collapsing 96% by March to just 9.49 million kg. Activity remained negligible through September, with monthly weights fluctuating between 3,550 kg and 370,260 kg from April onward. This trajectory reflects the commodity’s tight harvest window and reliance on peak demand periods.

Drivers & Industry Context

The collapse after January aligns with the end of Chile’s harvest cycle targeting China’s Lunar New Year, which accounted for 92.74% of July shipments despite the off-season [yTrade]. The high value derived from HS Code 080929 in early 2025 stems from preferential access: the China-Chile FTA ensures duty-free entry [USDA], while the EU-Chile agreement facilitated a May diversion to Italy [yTrade]. The near-zero summer volumes confirm this is a Q1-focused trade, with minimal production outside the core season.

Table: Chile Fresh Cherries Export Trend (Source: yTrade)

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Chile HS Code 080929 Export Breakdown

Market Composition & Top Categories

Chile's HS Code 080929 export of fresh cherries is overwhelmingly dominated by a single product category, which accounts for over 99% of both the total export value and weight. According to yTrade data, this category represents virtually the entire Chile HS Code 080929 Export market. The remaining sub-codes are negligible, collectively representing less than 1% of the trade volume and value.

Value Chain & Strategic Insights

The market structure reveals a stark unit price divergence, with the dominant category trading at $0.80 per kilogram while a minor category trades at just $0.02/kg. This extreme price differential indicates a market segmented by quality or grade, not a homogenous commodity trade. The HS Code 080929 breakdown shows a trade structure driven by quality sensitivity, where premium products command significantly higher value, rather than pure volume or price competition.

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Chile Fresh Cherries Destination Countries

Geographic Concentration & Market Risk

Chile's Fresh Cherries export destinations show extreme concentration in China Mainland, which captured 87.22% of total export value in the first three quarters of 2025. This single-market reliance creates significant exposure to any demand shifts or trade policy changes from this one partner. The next largest market, the United States, holds a mere 4.75% value share, underscoring a high-risk, lopsided trade profile.

Purchasing Behavior & Demand Segmentation

China’s purchasing pattern reveals a commodity-driven market. The value ratio (87.22%) trails the weight ratio (91.51%), indicating shipments are skewed toward heavier, bulk volumes rather than premium-priced goods. This is reinforced by a high frequency of shipments (87.71%), which points to large-scale, consistent logistical operations. For Chilean exporters, this trade partner for Fresh Cherries offers immense volume scale but limited margin potential.

Table: Chile Fresh Cherries (HS Code 080929) Top Destination Countries (Source: yTrade)

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Action Plan for Fresh Cherries Market Operation and Expansion

• Diversify Markets: Reduce dependence on China by targeting EU and U.S. buyers, leveraging existing trade agreements like the EU-Chile FTA.
• Lock in Q1 Contracts: Secure forward agreements early to capitalize on peak demand during China’s Lunar New Year, when 92.74% of shipments occur.
• Optimize Logistics: Negotiate bulk shipping rates for the high-volume, low-margin shipments to China, where weight share (91.51%) outpaces value share (87.22%).
• Grade for Premium: Segment exports by quality to capture higher unit prices ($0.80/kg) in niche markets, avoiding bulk commodity traps.
• Monitor Trade Policy: Track China’s import regulations closely, as any shift could destabilize Chile’s lopsided export profile.

Take Action Now —— Explore Chile Fresh Cherries HS Code 080929 Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Chile Fresh Cherries Export in 2025?

The extreme seasonality of Chile's cherry exports, with 96% of volume concentrated in Q1, is driven by harvest cycles targeting China's Lunar New Year demand. Trade agreements like the China-Chile FTA further reinforce this pattern by ensuring duty-free access.

Q2. Who are the main destination countries of Chile Fresh Cherries (HS Code 080929) in 2025?

China dominates with 87.22% of export value, followed by the U.S. at just 4.75%. This lopsided reliance on a single market creates significant exposure to demand shifts.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across destination countries of Chile Fresh Cherries Export in 2025?

Prices diverge sharply due to quality segmentation, with the premium category trading at $0.80/kg versus a bulk-grade sub-code at $0.02/kg. The market is structured around value, not volume.

Q4. What should exporters in Chile focus on in the current Fresh Cherries export market?

Exporters must mitigate China-dependency risks by exploring secondary markets like the U.S. or EU, while leveraging trade agreements to maintain premium pricing for high-grade cherries.

Q5. What does this Chile Fresh Cherries export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Chinese buyers benefit from consistent bulk supply but face limited premium options, while smaller markets like the U.S. have access to niche, higher-value shipments.

Q6. How is Fresh Cherries typically used in this trade flow?

The export market is primarily commodity-driven, with China absorbing bulk volumes for mass consumption, particularly during seasonal peaks like Lunar New Year.

Detailed Monthly and Quarterly Report

Chile HS Code 080929 Export Data Snapshot 2025 FEB

Chile HS Code 080929 Export Data Snapshot 2025 APR

Chile HS Code 080929 Export Data Snapshot 2025 MAY

Chile HS Code 080929 Export Data Snapshot 2025 JUN

Chile HS Code 080929 Export Data Snapshot 2025 JUL

Chile HS Code 080929 Export Data Snapshot 2025 AUG

Chile HS Code 080929 Export Data Snapshot 2025 SEP

Chile HS Code 080929 Export Data Snapshot 2025 Q1

Chile HS Code 080929 Export Data Snapshot 2025 Q2

Chile HS Code 080929 Export Data Snapshot 2025 Q3