Chile Fresh Cherries HS080929 Export Data 2025 July Overview

Chile fresh cherries (HS Code 080929) export to China hit 92.74% in July 2025, showing high market risk but premium Lunar New Year demand, per yTrade data.

Chile Fresh Cherries (HS 080929) 2025 July Export: Key Takeaways

Chile's fresh cherry exports (HS Code 080929) in July 2025 reveal extreme market concentration, with China dominating 92.74% of shipment volume, reflecting high geographic risk but premium off-season demand. Buyer analysis shows heavy reliance on a single market, while product structure suggests high-grade cherries tailored for gifting. The trend indicates stable, strategic positioning for Lunar New Year demand. This analysis covers July 2025 and is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database.

Chile Fresh Cherries (HS 080929) 2025 July Export Background

What is HS Code 080929?

HS Code 080929 classifies fresh cherries, other than sour cherries (Prunus cerasus), a high-value agricultural product primarily consumed as a premium fresh fruit. Global demand is driven by seasonal consumption patterns, particularly in Asia, where cherries are associated with festive occasions like Chinese New Year. Chile, as the world’s leading exporter, supplies over 90% of its cherries to China, leveraging duty-free access under bilateral trade agreements [FreightAmigo]. The product’s perishability and seasonal harvest (November–February) make logistics and market timing critical for export success.

Current Context and Strategic Position

In July 2025, Chile’s fresh cherry exports (HS Code 080929) remain strategically tied to China’s demand, with over 90% of shipments directed there [USDA Foreign Agricultural Service]. The EU-Chile Interim Trade Agreement, effective since 2024, further clarifies rules of origin for Chilean exports, ensuring tariff benefits for compliant shipments [EU Taxation and Customs]. Chile’s dominance in this market hinges on counter-seasonal production, enabling it to supply Northern Hemisphere markets during winter. However, rising competition and logistical costs necessitate vigilance in maintaining trade advantages. Chile’s fresh cherry exports in 2025 will depend on aligning harvest cycles with peak Asian demand while navigating evolving trade policies.

Chile Fresh Cherries (HS 080929) 2025 July Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

In July 2025, Chile's exports of Fresh cherries under HS Code 080929 were valued at $0.00 with a volume of 233.34 thousand kg, marking a period of minimal export activity due to the off-season nature of the product.

Price and Volume Dynamics

Quarter-over-quarter, exports dropped sharply from high values in Q1 2025, such as $876.21 million in January, to negligible levels in Q2, with zero value recorded from April onward. This decline aligns with the seasonal harvesting cycle of fresh cherries in Chile, which typically ends by March, leading to reduced availability for export. Month-over-month, the weight of exports decreased slightly from 273.98 thousand kg in June to 233.34 thousand kg in July, but remained at low levels consistent with post-harvest periods.

External Context and Outlook

Chile's cherry export strategy is heavily tied to the Chinese market, where over 90% of shipments are directed, often timed around events like the Chinese New Year to maximize demand [USDA Foreign Agricultural Service]. Trade agreements, such as the EU-Chile interim deal, facilitate smooth exports, but the current low in July reflects typical seasonal patterns rather than policy shifts. Exports are expected to rebound with the next harvest season starting in late 2025, driven by continued strong demand from key markets like China (USDA Foreign Agricultural Service).

Chile Fresh Cherries (HS 080929) 2025 July Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In July 2025, Chile's export of fresh cherries under HS Code 080929 shows complete specialization, with the sub-code 08092919 for "Fruit, edible; cherries, other than sour cherries (Prunus cerasus), fresh" accounting for 100% of the trade by weight and value, based on yTrade data. However, the unit price is reported as USD 0.00 per kilogram, indicating an extreme price anomaly that is isolated from the main analysis due to potential data reporting issues.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

With only one sub-code present and no other variations, the market structure for Chile Fresh cherries HS Code 080929 Export in 2025 July is monolithic, focusing solely on fresh, whole cherries without differentiation in grade or form. This suggests a trade in fungible bulk commodities, where products are typically homogeneous and priced based on market indices rather than value-added features.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

Given the bulk commodity nature, Chile's export strategy for fresh cherries likely relies on volume and market access, such as the duty-free entry to China where over 90% of exports are directed, as noted in USDA Foreign Agricultural Service reports. This preferential treatment enhances pricing power by reducing tariffs and catering to high demand, particularly around key periods like Chinese New Year.

Check Detailed HS 080929 Breakdown

Chile Fresh Cherries (HS 080929) 2025 July Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Chile's fresh cherry exports in July 2025 show extreme market concentration, with China accounting for 92.74% of total export weight. The absence of value data prevents direct unit price comparison, but China's 83.33% shipment frequency combined with its overwhelming volume share confirms its role as the primary market for Chile's HS Code 080929 cherries, typically commanding premium prices during off-season supply windows.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

Two clear country clusters emerge: China forms the dominant cluster as the virtually exclusive buyer, while Thailand represents a minor secondary market with only 7.26% weight share. This pattern reflects Chile's strategic focus on supplying Northern Hemisphere markets during their winter months, with China's demand driven by Lunar New Year gifting traditions [Tridge]. Thailand's smaller presence suggests either regional distribution or niche market demand.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

Exporters should maintain strong China relationships while developing contingency plans for market diversification. The extreme reliance on one market creates vulnerability to trade disruptions or demand shifts. Supply chains must prioritize cold chain integrity and accelerated logistics to preserve fruit quality during long-distance transport to China, leveraging Chile's duty-free access under existing trade agreements [USDA].

CountryValueQuantityFrequencyWeight
CHINA MAINLANDN/A38.32K5.00229.92K
THAILANDN/A3.00K1.003.42K
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Chile Fresh Cherries (HS 080929) 2025 July Export: Action Plan for Fresh Cherries Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Chile Fresh cherries Export 2025 July under HS Code 080929 operates as a bulk commodity trade. Price is driven by quality preservation and access to premium markets like China. Supply chains must prioritize cold chain integrity and rapid logistics to maintain fruit quality during long-haul exports.

This market shows extreme concentration in both buyers and destinations. Over 90% of volume goes to China, purchased by a few high-volume buyers. This creates reliance on one market and a small buyer group. Any demand shift or trade disruption poses significant risk.

The supply chain implication is clear. Chile acts as a seasonal supply hub for Northern Hemisphere winters. Success depends on secure, temperature-controlled shipping and leveraging duty-free agreements. Diversification is needed to reduce vulnerability.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Fresh cherries Market Execution

  • Use shipment frequency data to align harvest and logistics with buyer purchase cycles. This prevents quality loss and ensures timely delivery for peak demand periods like Chinese New Year.
  • Analyze alternative buyer countries in Southeast Asia and North America using trade flow reports. This reduces over-reliance on China and builds market resilience for HS Code 080929.
  • Monitor real-time shipping and customs data for supply chain disruptions. This allows quick rerouting to avoid delays that compromise cherry freshness and value.
  • Develop relationships with secondary buyers in emerging markets with trade data. This creates backup demand streams to stabilize sales if primary buyer demand shifts.
  • Implement quality tracking from farm to port using IoT sensors. This ensures premium grade maintenance, justifying higher prices in competitive markets.

Forward-Looking Data Strategy

Traditional market analysis fails for Chile Fresh cherries Export 2025 July. It misses individual buyer behavior and sub-market trends. Trade data reveals specific purchase patterns and logistics needs.

Access to detailed export records under HS Code 080929 is critical. It shows exact buyer timing, quantity needs, and routing preferences. This allows precise supply chain planning and risk management. Without it, exporters face blind spots in a concentrated, time-sensitive trade.

Take Action Now —— Explore Chile Fresh cherries Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Chile Fresh cherries Export 2025 July?

The sharp decline in exports to near-zero levels by July 2025 reflects Chile's seasonal harvesting cycle, with peak activity ending by March. This aligns with the typical off-season pattern for fresh cherries, where minimal exports occur post-harvest.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Chile Fresh cherries Export 2025 July?

China dominates with 92.74% of export weight, while Thailand accounts for a minor 7.26% share. China's overwhelming presence is driven by demand tied to Lunar New Year gifting traditions.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Chile Fresh cherries Export 2025 July partner countries?

The monolithic market structure under HS Code 080929 focuses solely on fresh, whole cherries as fungible bulk commodities, with no grade differentiation. The reported USD 0.00/kg unit price suggests a data anomaly rather than actual price variation.

Q4. What should exporters in Chile focus on in the current Fresh cherries export market?

Exporters must prioritize relationships with dominant bulk buyers in China (90%+ of trade) while diversifying to mitigate over-reliance on one market. Cold chain logistics for long-distance transport remain critical.

Q5. What does this Chile Fresh cherries export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Chinese buyers benefit from consistent bulk supply and duty-free access, but limited seller diversification may pose risks if Chilean supply fluctuates. Smaller markets like Thailand face niche demand constraints.

Q6. How is Fresh cherries typically used in this trade flow?

Chilean cherries are primarily exported as homogeneous, fresh commodities for direct consumption, targeting premium off-season demand in Northern Hemisphere markets like China during winter months.

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