Botswana Wheat Import Market -- HS Code 1001 Trade Data & Price Trend (Q3 2025)

Botswana Wheat Import (HS 1001) Key Takeaways

Botswana’s wheat import under HS Code 1001 in Q3 2025 was dominated by low-grade bulk wheat, with Russia supplying over half the volume, highlighting heavy geographic reliance. The market saw a sharp rebound in September after a mid-year slump, likely due to U.S. trade policy disruptions, while supplier concentration left importers vulnerable with 97.67% of trade controlled by a few key players. This analysis is based on cleanly processed customs data from the yTrade database for 2025 Q3.

Botswana Wheat Import (HS 1001) Background

What is HS Code 1001?

HS Code 1001 covers wheat and meslin, a staple commodity primarily used for food production, animal feed, and industrial applications. Global demand remains stable due to its essential role in diets and supply chains, particularly in baking and processed foods. Botswana's reliance on imports for this product underscores its significance in local food security and agricultural markets.

Current Context and Strategic Position

The United States recently imposed a 37% additional duty on all imports from Botswana, effective April 2025 [Global Trade Alert]. This policy shift could disrupt Botswana's wheat import flows, particularly from key suppliers. Given the country's dependence on foreign wheat to meet domestic demand, monitoring HS Code 1001 trade data is critical to assess supply chain resilience and pricing trends. Strategic vigilance is essential to navigate potential trade barriers and secure alternative sourcing routes.

Botswana Wheat Import (HS 1001) Price Trend

Key Observations

In Q3 2025, Botswana's Wheat imports demonstrated a strong recovery, with the value climbing to 3.90 million USD in September, up significantly from 1.56 million USD in July. The unit price showed volatility, dropping to $0.33/kg in August before stabilizing at $0.35/kg in September, indicating shifting market conditions.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The Botswana Wheat Import trend experienced notable fluctuations in 2025, with value peaking at 5.97 million USD in March before a steady decline to a low in July. This downturn aligns with the U.S. duty increase to 37% on all imports from Botswana effective April 9, 2025 [Global Trade Alert], which likely disrupted trade flows and contributed to mid-year supply chain adjustments. The sequential rebound in August and September suggests market adaptation, possibly driven by seasonal stock replenishment or diverted sourcing strategies. The hs code 1001 value trend reflects this resilience, with Q3's recovery underscoring the impact of external policy shocks on import dynamics.

Botswana Wheat Import (HS 1001) HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

According to yTrade data for 2025 Q3, Botswana's import of HS Code 1001 is overwhelmingly dominated by non-durum wheat under sub-code 10019900, described as cereals; wheat and meslin, other than durum wheat, other than seed, which holds almost the entire value and weight share. This product trades at a low unit price of 0.37 USD per kilogram, typical for bulk commodities. A minor anomaly exists with durum wheat under sub-code 10011900, isolated due to its extreme price of 132.01 USD per kilogram, which is excluded from the main analysis pool.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The structure of Botswana's HS Code 1001 import is primarily composed of standard, bulk-grade wheat, indicating a fungible commodity trade closely linked to global agricultural indices. The isolated durum wheat represents a high-quality, specialty grade, but it forms a negligible part of the overall flow, reinforcing the market's focus on basic, unprocessed grains rather than differentiated products.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

Importers face low pricing power in the bulk wheat segment due to its commodity nature, requiring cost-efficient sourcing strategies. The niche durum wheat offers potential for higher margins but limited scale. Reviewing HS Code 1001 trade data for Botswana highlights the need to prioritize volume-driven approaches for the main import while exploring specialty grades cautiously.

Table: Botswana HS Code 1001) Breakdown Details (Source: yTrade)

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Botswana Wheat Import (HS 1001) Origin Countries

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Russia is the dominant source for Botswana's Wheat imports in Q3 2025, accounting for 57.85% of the weight and 52.09% of the value. The higher weight share compared to value share points to bulk purchases of lower-grade or raw Wheat, typical for commodity trade. Import frequency is also high at 56.80%, supporting consistent, large-volume shipments.

Origin Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The origin countries form two main clusters based on Botswana's Wheat import data. Russia leads the Volume Cluster with high weight and value shares, likely due to cost-effective bulk sourcing for staple food needs. Australia represents a High-Yield Cluster with a value share of 19.30% exceeding its weight share of 12.90%, suggesting imports of higher-quality or processed Wheat varieties. South Africa, Germany, and Namibia show balanced shares, indicating secondary sources for diversified supply.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

Botswana's heavy reliance on Russia for Wheat imports poses supply chain risks, such as price volatility or geopolitical disruptions. Diversifying sources to include more high-yield partners like Australia could enhance stability and quality. Monitoring trade data for HS Code 1001 will help adjust sourcing strategies to ensure food security.

Table: Botswana Wheat (HS 1001) Top Origin Countries (Source: yTrade)

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Botswana Wheat (HS 1001) Suppliers Analysis

Supplier Concentration and Dominance

In 2025 Q3, the Botswana Wheat Import supplier market is highly concentrated, with one group handling nearly all trade. According to yTrade data, suppliers with high value and high frequency account for 97.67% of import value, showing that typical trade involves large, regular shipments of wheat.

Strategic Supplier Clusters and Trade Role

Other suppliers play a minor role, with low-value, high-frequency participants contributing only 2.33% of value. The dominant companies, like NU-PRO COMMODITIES, indicate an intermediated market where traders manage most imports. The profile of HS code 1001 suppliers suggests that intermediaries are central to this trade.

Sourcing Strategy and Vulnerability

For importers in Botswana, this setup means heavy reliance on a few key traders, increasing vulnerability to supply disruptions. The intermediated model may provide stability but requires careful cost management. No relevant policy changes from the news context directly impact this import strategy.

Table: Botswana Wheat (HS 1001) Top Suppliers List (Source: yTrade)

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Action Plan for Wheat Market Operation and Expansion

• Use hs code 1001 trade data to actively identify and qualify new suppliers from Australia and South Africa to diversify away from Russian dominance, reducing vulnerability to price spikes and geopolitical disruptions in the Wheat supply chain.
• Negotiate long-term, volume-based contracts with the dominant high-frequency suppliers to lock in favorable pricing for bulk wheat, leveraging economies of scale to manage costs for Botswana's Wheat Import.
• Analyze the niche, high-value durum wheat segment separately using detailed hs code 1001 trade data to target premium buyers, creating a higher-margin revenue stream without impacting core bulk operations.
• Continuously monitor real-time hs code 1001 trade data for shifts in global supply, demand, and freight costs to make dynamic sourcing decisions, ensuring the Wheat supply chain remains cost-effective and resilient.

Take Action Now —— Explore Botswana Wheat Import Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Botswana Wheat Import 2025 Q3?

The recovery in Botswana's wheat imports in Q3 2025 followed a mid-year slump caused by a U.S. duty increase, with value rebounding from $1.56 million in July to $3.90 million in September. Volatility in unit prices (dropping to $0.33/kg in August) reflects market adaptation to external policy shocks and seasonal restocking needs.

Q2. Who are the main origin countries of Botswana Wheat (HS Code 1001) 2025 Q3?

Russia dominates, supplying 57.85% of weight and 52.09% of value, followed by Australia (19.30% value share) and South Africa, Germany, and Namibia as secondary sources.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across origin countries of Botswana Wheat Import?

Price differences stem from bulk-grade wheat (e.g., Russian imports at $0.37/kg) versus high-quality durum wheat (e.g., Australian shipments at $132.01/kg), with the latter being a niche product excluded from mainstream trade.

Q4. What should importers in Botswana focus on when buying Wheat?

Prioritize volume-driven sourcing for bulk wheat (e.g., from Russia) while cautiously exploring specialty grades (e.g., Australian durum). Diversify suppliers to mitigate reliance on dominant intermediaries like NU-PRO COMMODITIES.

Q5. What does this Botswana Wheat import pattern mean for overseas suppliers?

Russia’s dominance signals stable demand for bulk wheat, while Australia’s high-value share highlights opportunities for premium-grade suppliers. Geopolitical risks may incentivize suppliers to offer competitive pricing or diversified logistics.

Q6. How is Wheat typically used in this trade flow?

Botswana primarily imports low-cost, bulk-grade wheat for staple food production, with minimal trade in processed or specialty varieties like durum wheat.

Detailed Monthly Report

Botswana HS1001 Import Snapshot 2025 AUG

Botswana HS1001 Import Snapshot 2025 SEP