Botswana Wheat Import Market -- HS Code 1001 Trade Data & Price Trend (Q2 2025)

Botswana Wheat Import (HS 1001) Key Takeaways

Botswana’s wheat imports under HS code 1001 in Q2 2025 were dominated by bulk, low-cost non-durum wheat, with niche seed varieties accounting for minimal but higher-value trade. The market saw declining volumes but rising unit prices, reflecting supply constraints and disruptions from U.S. tariffs. Supplier concentration is extreme, with a handful of trading firms handling 98% of imports, while Lithuania alone supplied nearly 40% of shipments, exposing supply chain risks. This analysis, covering 2025 Q2, is based on cleanly processed customs data from the yTrade database.

Botswana Wheat Import (HS 1001) Background

What is HS Code 1001?

HS Code 1001 covers wheat and meslin, a staple commodity primarily used for food production, animal feed, and industrial applications. Global demand remains stable due to its essential role in diets and supply chains. Botswana's wheat import under this code reflects its reliance on foreign supplies to meet domestic consumption needs.

Current Context and Strategic Position

The U.S. administration recently imposed a 37% additional duty on all imports from Botswana, effective April 2025 [Global Trade Alert]. This policy shift could disrupt Botswana's wheat import dynamics, particularly if alternative suppliers face similar barriers. As a landlocked nation with limited arable land, Botswana depends heavily on imports to bridge its wheat deficit. Monitoring hs code 1001 trade data is critical to assess the impact of tariffs and identify emerging trade patterns. Market vigilance is essential to navigate these evolving challenges.

Botswana Wheat Import (HS 1001) Price Trend

Key Observations

In Q2 2025, Botswana's wheat imports under HS code 1001 totaled approximately $10.82 million in value, with unit prices firming to $0.38 per kg by June, up from $0.36 per kg at the start of the quarter. This Botswana Wheat Import trend indicates a quarter of declining volume but rising costs, suggesting supply constraints or external pressures.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The hs code 1001 value trend built on strong momentum from Q1, peaking at $5.97 million in March before declining sequentially through Q2, with a sharp 60% drop from May to June. This volatility is directly tied to the U.S. administration's imposition of a 37% additional duty on all imports from Botswana effective April 9, 2025 [Global Trade Alert], which disrupted trade flows typical for wheat, a policy-sensitive agricultural commodity. The sequential decline reflects importers adjusting to heightened tariff barriers, aligning with seasonal inventory drawdowns and shifted sourcing strategies.

Botswana Wheat Import (HS 1001) HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

According to yTrade data for 2025 Q2, Botswana's import of HS Code 1001 is overwhelmingly concentrated in a single product: 'Cereals; wheat and meslin, other than durum wheat, other than seed' (HS Code 10019900). This product accounts for over 99% of the total volume and value. Its low unit price of $0.37 per kilogram confirms this is a bulk commodity trade, focused on non-seed, non-durum wheat for mass consumption or processing.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The remaining imports are split into two distinct, higher-value seed categories: durum wheat seed and other wheat seed. These products command significantly higher prices, at $1.33/kg and $1.03/kg respectively, indicating a trade in specialized planting material rather than bulk consumption. This structure confirms that the market for HS Code 1001 imports into Botswana operates primarily as a market for fungible bulk commodities, with a very small, separate niche for agricultural inputs.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

This analysis of HS Code 1001 trade data shows importers have minimal pricing power for the dominant bulk product, as prices are likely tied to global wheat indices. Strategic focus should remain on securing cost-effective, large-volume shipments. For the niche seed market, buyers have more leverage to negotiate on quality and terms due to the low volume and specialized nature of these transactions.

Table: Botswana HS Code 1001) Breakdown Details (Source: yTrade)

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Botswana Wheat Import (HS 1001) Origin Countries

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

In Q2 2025, Botswana's Wheat imports were heavily concentrated, with Lithuania as the dominant origin, accounting for 39.25% of the weight share and 37.78% of the value share. The slightly lower value share compared to weight share indicates that Lithuania supplies bulk, lower-cost Wheat, typical for commodity trade. High frequency at 39.06% suggests regular, large-volume shipments, common for staple food logistics to ensure steady supply.

Origin Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The import origins form two main clusters. The Volume Cluster includes Lithuania, Australia, and South Africa, collectively holding over 97% of weight share, pointing to bulk Wheat sourcing for mass consumption or processing due to cost efficiency and established trade routes. Zimbabwe represents a High-Yield Cluster with a value share of 0.68% exceeding its weight share of 0.19%, implying occasional imports of higher-grade or niche Wheat varieties. Minor players like Poland and Austria show balanced, low shares, reflecting supplementary sources.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

Botswana's heavy reliance on a few bulk suppliers like Lithuania poses supply chain risks, such as price volatility or logistical disruptions. Diversifying sources, including exploring regional options like South Africa for stability, could mitigate dependency. The news context on US tariffs does not directly impact these import patterns, as it concerns Botswana's exports, not Wheat imports.

Table: Botswana Wheat (HS 1001) Top Origin Countries (Source: yTrade)

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Botswana Wheat (HS 1001) Suppliers Analysis

Supplier Concentration and Dominance

In Q2 2025, the Botswana Wheat import supplier market shows high concentration. According to yTrade data, a small group of suppliers handling large, frequent shipments dominates, accounting for 98% of both value and frequency. This means almost all trade comes from these key players, defining the typical import flow for Botswana's Wheat needs.

Strategic Supplier Clusters and Trade Role

The profile of HS code 1001 suppliers indicates an intermediated market, led by trading firms like NU-PRO COMMODITIES and SEANOARD OVERSEAS TRADING. Other clusters, such as those with low value or low frequency, play minor roles, together contributing less than 2% to the trade. This structure highlights that commodity specialists drive the supply, with little diversity from other types of suppliers.

Sourcing Strategy and Vulnerability

Botswana's import strategy faces risks due to heavy reliance on a few suppliers, making it vulnerable to disruptions. Focusing on diversifying sources or securing stable contracts is key. External trade policies, like the US duty increase on imports from Botswana [globaltradealert.org], add uncertainty, potentially affecting global trade dynamics and import costs. This underscores the need for agile sourcing approaches.

Table: Botswana Wheat (HS 1001) Top Suppliers List (Source: yTrade)

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Action Plan for Wheat Market Operation and Expansion

• Use hs code 1001 trade data to identify and qualify new bulk suppliers from alternative origins like Australia or South Africa to diversify Botswana's Wheat Import sources and reduce dependency on Lithuania, mitigating supply disruption risks.
• Leverage hs code 1001 trade data to negotiate long-term contracts with high-frequency bulk suppliers, locking in stable prices for the dominant commodity-grade wheat and insulating the Wheat supply chain from global price volatility.
• Analyze the niche seed import segment within the hs code 1001 trade data to target specialized suppliers for durum and other wheat seeds, securing higher-quality planting material to support domestic agricultural development.
• Monitor the Wheat supply chain for geopolitical and policy shifts, such as US tariff changes, using trade intelligence to proactively adjust sourcing strategies and protect Botswana's Wheat Import flow from external cost pressures.

Take Action Now —— Explore Botswana Wheat Import Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Botswana Wheat Import 2025 Q2?

The rising unit price ($0.38/kg in June, up from $0.36/kg) and declining volume reflect supply constraints, exacerbated by a 37% U.S. tariff on Botswana imports, disrupting trade flows and forcing importers to adjust sourcing strategies.

Q2. Who are the main origin countries of Botswana Wheat (HS Code 1001) 2025 Q2?

Lithuania dominates with 39.25% of weight share, followed by Australia and South Africa, which collectively account for over 97% of bulk Wheat imports. Zimbabwe supplies niche, higher-value varieties.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across origin countries of Botswana Wheat Import?

Prices vary due to product specialization: Lithuania supplies bulk Wheat at $0.37/kg, while Zimbabwe’s higher-grade or seed Wheat commands premiums (e.g., durum wheat seed at $1.33/kg).

Q4. What should importers in Botswana focus on when buying Wheat?

Prioritize diversifying suppliers beyond Lithuania to mitigate supply chain risks, while negotiating quality terms for niche seed Wheat, which offers higher margins but limited volume.

Q5. What does this Botswana Wheat import pattern mean for overseas suppliers?

Bulk suppliers like Lithuania benefit from stable, high-volume demand, while niche players (e.g., Zimbabwe) can leverage specialized products for premium pricing in a small but strategic segment.

Q6. How is Wheat typically used in this trade flow?

Over 99% of imports are non-seed, non-durum Wheat for mass consumption or processing, with a minor share (under 1%) dedicated to high-value seed varieties for agricultural inputs.

Detailed Monthly Report

Botswana HS1001 Import Snapshot 2025 APR

Botswana HS1001 Import Snapshot 2025 MAY

Botswana HS1001 Import Snapshot 2025 JUN