Vietnam Rubber Shoes HS6402 Export Data 2025 September Overview

Vietnam Rubber Shoes (HS 6402) 2025 September Export: Key Takeaways

Vietnam's Rubber Shoes export under HS Code 6402 in September 2025 shows heavy reliance on the US market, which dominates with 33.14% of export value and 34.26% of quantity, reflecting uniform pricing and mass-production dynamics. The market exhibits high buyer concentration, with the US, Netherlands, and Japan forming key clusters—each with distinct demand profiles, from bulk shipments to higher-value segments. Exporters should prioritize trade-compliant markets like the EU, leveraging tariff advantages under the EU-Vietnam FTA, while diversifying into premium segments to mitigate risks. This analysis is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database, covering September 2025 for accuracy and timeliness.

Vietnam Rubber Shoes (HS 6402) 2025 September Export Background

Vietnam’s Rubber Shoes (HS Code 6402), defined as footwear with outer soles and uppers of rubber or plastics, serves key industries like retail and manufacturing due to durable, cost-effective designs. Global demand remains steady, driven by affordability and versatility. In September 2025, Vietnam’s exports face updated U.S. tariffs (20% standard, 40% for origin-washed goods) and streamlined customs under new decrees (167/2025, 182/2025), tightening compliance for smoother trade [TGL Group][Vietnam Briefing]. Vietnam’s strategic role grows as trade agreements like EVFTA boost export growth, with HS 6402 shipments expected to rise over 10% [FreightAmigo].

Vietnam Rubber Shoes (HS 6402) 2025 September Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

Vietnam's export of Rubber Shoes under HS Code 6402 in September 2025 declined sharply, with value dropping to 360.82 million USD from 385.10 million in August, marking a 6.3% decrease quarter-over-quarter (QoQ). This downturn highlights a continued downward trend from the April peak, reflecting potential seasonal shifts and external policy impacts on the footwear export sector.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The monthly export values for Vietnam Rubber Shoes HS Code 6402 in 2025 show a clear seasonal pattern, typical for footwear industries where demand often peaks in spring and early summer for warm-weather collections. Values rose from 403.90 million USD in January to a high of 470.02 million in April, then steadily declined to 360.82 million by September. This QoQ decrease from August aligns with reduced stock replenishment cycles as retailers transition to fall and winter inventories, while the absence of unit price data suggests stable or compressed margins amid competitive markets. The overall trend indicates a normalization after mid-year highs, driven by inherent industry cycles rather than abrupt changes.

External Context and Outlook

The decline in September exports can be partly attributed to recent regulatory changes, such as Vietnam's updated customs procedures under Decrees 167/2025 and 182/2025, which introduced stricter supervision and on-the-spot export declarations, potentially causing temporary delays or compliance adjustments [Vietnam Briefing]. Additionally, tariff frameworks under trade agreements, like the 20% U.S. duty on HS 6402 footwear, may have influenced export timing and costs (FreightAmigo). Looking ahead, the expected growth from agreements such as the EU-Vietnam FTA could support recovery, but short-term volatility may persist due to seasonal demand and ongoing policy adaptations.

Vietnam Rubber Shoes (HS 6402) 2025 September Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

The export market for Vietnam rubber shoes under HS Code 6402 in September 2025 is sharply focused on a single product type. The dominant sub-code is 64029990, describing footwear not covering the ankle with rubber or plastic soles and uppers, which accounts for over 75% of the export value and 82% of the quantity. This high concentration suggests a bulk trade in standard footwear, with unit prices relatively uniform across most products. However, HS 64021200 for specialized sports footwear like ski-boots shows an extreme price anomaly, with a value share disproportionately higher than its quantity share, indicating a high-end segment that is isolated from the main analysis due to its premium pricing.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The remaining sub-codes can be grouped into two logical categories based on product form and value. First, standard footwear including codes like 64029199 (covering the ankle) and others, which make up the bulk of exports with moderate value per unit. Second, sports and specialized footwear such as 64021990 (general sports footwear), which have higher value per unit, suggesting better quality or branding. This structure indicates a trade in differentiated manufactured goods rather than fungible commodities, with variations in grade and end-use.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

For Vietnam rubber shoes exporters under HS Code 6402, the market structure implies limited pricing power in the bulk standard segment due to high competition, but potential for higher margins in specialized sports footwear. Exporters should focus on cost efficiency for high-volume products and invest in quality and branding for premium lines. According to [FreightAmigo], import tariffs in key markets like the U.S. and EU can impact competitiveness, so managing costs and compliance is crucial for maintaining export growth in 2025.

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Vietnam Rubber Shoes (HS 6402) 2025 September Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Vietnam's export of Rubber Shoes under HS Code 6402 in September 2025 is heavily concentrated, with the United States dominating both value and quantity, accounting for 33.14% of export value and 34.26% of quantity. The close match between value and quantity ratios indicates uniform unit pricing, typical for mass-produced manufactured goods like footwear, where production costs and market prices are standardized across major buyers.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The top importers form three clusters: first, the US and Netherlands, with high volume and value shares, driven by strong consumer demand and efficient logistics hubs, with the Netherlands often serving as a gateway to the EU. Second, Japan and Belgium, where value ratios slightly exceed quantity ratios, suggesting a focus on higher-value or branded products, possibly aided by trade agreements reducing tariffs. Third, Mexico and Spain, with higher quantity but lower value ratios, indicating bulk, cost-sensitive shipments, likely for budget retail segments or regional distribution centers.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

Exporters should prioritize markets with favorable trade terms, such as the EU under the EU-Vietnam Free Trade Agreement, which reduces tariffs and boosts competitiveness [FreightAmigo]. Compliance with updated HS code classifications and customs procedures is crucial to avoid delays and penalties, especially for the US market with its tariff risks [Vietnam Briefing]. Diversifying into higher-value segments in clusters like Japan can improve margins, while bulk buyers in Mexico offer volume stability.

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Vietnam Rubber Shoes (HS 6402) 2025 September Export: Action Plan for Rubber Shoes Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

The Vietnam Rubber Shoes Export 2025 September under HS Code 6402 operates as a high-volume assembly hub for standardized footwear. Core price drivers are product specification (basic vs. specialized sports models) and OEM contract volumes from dominant, high-frequency buyers. The supply chain implication is heavy reliance on efficient mass production and logistics to serve bulk orders, with limited pricing power in the standard segment but potential for higher margins in specialized products. Market concentration in the US and EU increases exposure to tariff changes and demand shifts from key buyers.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Rubber Shoes Market Execution

• Segment buyers by order frequency and value to forecast demand and align production schedules, preventing overstock for high-volume clients and ensuring timely delivery for smaller, frequent orders.
• Analyze tariff codes for each destination market using updated HS classifications, minimizing duty costs under trade agreements like EVFTA and avoiding customs delays in key regions like the US and EU.
• Diversify product mix using HS code data, increasing investment in high-value sub-codes like sports footwear to capture premium margins and reduce dependence on low-margin bulk items.
• Monitor top buyer concentration ratios monthly, developing contingency plans like targeting secondary markets in Japan or Mexico to offset risk if demand from major US clients declines unexpectedly.

Take Action Now —— Explore Vietnam Rubber Shoes Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Vietnam Rubber Shoes Export 2025 September?

The decline in exports to 360.82 million USD (down 6.3% QoQ) reflects seasonal demand shifts and regulatory adjustments, including Vietnam’s updated customs procedures causing temporary delays.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Vietnam Rubber Shoes Export 2025 September?

The U.S. dominates with 33.14% of export value, followed by the Netherlands and Japan, which serve as key hubs for EU and higher-value segments, respectively.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Vietnam Rubber Shoes Export 2025 September partner countries?

Prices vary due to product specialization: bulk-standard footwear (e.g., HS 64029990) has uniform pricing, while premium sports footwear (e.g., HS 64021200) commands disproportionately higher values.

Q4. What should exporters in Vietnam focus on in the current Rubber Shoes export market?

Prioritize cost efficiency for high-volume buyers (72.71% of value) while investing in premium lines for markets like Japan, where value ratios exceed quantity shares.

Q5. What does this Vietnam Rubber Shoes export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers in the U.S. and EU benefit from stable bulk supply, while those in Japan access higher-margin products. Over-reliance on dominant Vietnamese exporters poses supply-chain risks.

Q6. How is Rubber Shoes typically used in this trade flow?

Most exports (75% value) are standard footwear (rubber/plastic soles and uppers), with niche demand for specialized sports shoes like ski-boots.