2025 Uzbekistan Wheat Flour (HS 110100) Import: Market Volatility

Key Takeaways

Wheat Flour, classified under HS Code 110100, exhibited pronounced volatility from January to November 2025.

• Market Pulse: Imports saw a sharp mid-year collapse, with value dropping from $18.3M in April to $8.6M in May, followed by partial recovery to $13.4M monthly averages in Q3/Q4.
• Structural Shift: Uzbekistan Wheat Flour Import relies on a near-monopoly from Kazakhstan (91.7% value share), with just two suppliers controlling 85%+ of shipments—creating acute supply chain risk.
• Product Logic: HS Code 110100 trade data reveals a commoditized market, with 87% of volume tied to a single sub-code priced at $0.30/kg, indicating no premium differentiation.

This overview covers the period from January to November 2025 and is based on verified customs data from the yTrade database.

Uzbekistan Wheat Flour (HS Code 110100) Key Metrics Trend

Market Trend Summary

The Uzbekistan Wheat Flour Import trend from January to November 2025 showed pronounced volatility, with both value and weight metrics experiencing a sharp mid-year contraction followed by a partial recovery. Total import value opened at $16.6M in January, climbed to $18.3M by April, then halved to $8.6M in May. Volumes followed a similar trajectory, falling from 63.3M kg in April to 28.6M kg in May. The market stabilized in the second half, with value averaging $13.4M and weight 38.4M kg monthly from June onward, though both metrics remained below Q1 peaks.

Drivers & Industry Context

The May collapse in import volume and value likely reflects pre-harvest inventory drawdowns and supply chain timing, rather than policy shifts. While Uzbekistan considered extending zero import duties on certain food items [Trade.gov], wheat flour was not explicitly included, and no new restrictions targeted HS 110100. The rebound from June onward aligns with typical post-harvest restocking cycles, as mills replenish supplies ahead of winter demand. The value derived from HS Code 110100 imports thus appears driven more by seasonal procurement patterns than regulatory changes.

Table: Uzbekistan Wheat Flour Import Trend (Source: yTrade)

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Uzbekistan HS Code 110100 Import Breakdown

Market Composition & Top Categories

According to yTrade data, Uzbekistan's HS Code 110100 import of wheat flour from January to November 2025 is dominated by sub-code 1101001501, which accounts for approximately 87% of the total value and weight. A secondary sub-code, 1101001509, represents around 13% of imports, while the remaining sub-codes are negligible, consisting of minor variations with minimal market presence. This structure highlights a highly concentrated import pattern for Uzbekistan HS Code 110100 Import.

Value Chain & Strategic Insights

Unit prices for the dominant sub-codes are consistently low at $0.30 per kilogram, indicating a commodity-driven market with minimal value-add differentiation. The negligible share of higher-priced sub-codes confirms that quality or specialization plays no significant role in this trade structure. Consequently, Uzbekistan's import strategy for HS Code 110100 breakdown is purely price-sensitive, focusing on bulk procurement rather than specialized grades.

Check Detailed HS Code 110100 Breakdown

Uzbekistan Wheat Flour Origin Countries

Supplier Concentration & Dependency

Uzbekistan's Wheat Flour import sources from January to October 2025 show an extreme dependency on Kazakhstan, which holds a 91.7% value share and a 94% weight share. This near-monopoly creates a significant supply security risk, as any disruption from this single origin would cripple the supply chain. Other nations, like Russia and Tajikistan, contribute minimal volumes and offer no meaningful alternative to mitigate this concentrated risk.

Procurement Strategy & Supply Chain Logic

The nearly identical value and weight ratios from Kazakhstan confirm a classic Cost-Efficiency sourcing model for a bulk raw material. The strategy is built entirely on securing low-cost, high-volume shipments from a neighboring producer to minimize logistics expenses. This structure prioritizes price stability and availability over any technical performance or quality differentiation from other major suppliers of Wheat Flour.

Table: Uzbekistan Wheat Flour (HS Code 110100) Top Origin Countries (Source: yTrade)

Get Uzbekistan Wheat Flour (HS Code 110100) Complete Origin Countries Profile

Uzbekistan Wheat Flour Supplier Companies Analysis

Supplier Concentration & Market Structure

According to yTrade data, Uzbekistan's wheat flour import supply chain is overwhelmingly dominated by a small group of key suppliers. These major suppliers for Wheat Flour, led by ИП ЖУМАДИЛОВА and TOO DAMAR LTD, account for 91.72% of the total import value and 85.73% of all shipment frequency throughout 2025. This structure points to a highly integrated and stable sourcing model reliant on a core set of Tier-1 manufacturers.

Sourcing Reliability & Risk Profile

The exceptionally high shipment frequency indicates a Just-in-Time inventory model, requiring consistent logistical performance from these partners. While this suggests operational efficiency, any disruption from these few suppliers could severely impact supply. Policy shifts like the [tax measures introduced in early 2025] could introduce cost volatility, though the core partnership structure for HS Code 110100 remains fundamentally stable.

Table: Uzbekistan Wheat Flour (HS Code 110100) Top Suppliers List (Source: yTrade)

Check Full Uzbekistan Wheat Flour Suppliers list

Action Plan for Wheat Flour Market Operation and Expansion

• Diversify suppliers immediately: The 91.7% reliance on Kazakhstan and 85% supplier concentration leaves no buffer for disruptions. Secure secondary partners in Russia or Tajikistan, even at marginally higher costs.
• Lock in Q2 contracts pre-harvest: The May volume crash suggests seasonal inventory drawdowns. Pre-negotiate shipments for April-June 2026 to avoid spot market shortages.
• Audit logistics costs: With bulk pricing at $0.30/kg, even minor freight optimizations (e.g., rail vs. truck) could yield 5-7% savings given the 63M kg monthly peaks.
• Monitor Kazakh policy shifts: The 2025 tax measures could indirectly impact cross-border flour trade. Assign a dedicated team to track customs updates.
• Test alternative sub-codes: While 1101001501 dominates, pilot imports of higher-grade sub-codes (e.g., 1101001509) could uncover niche demand for specialized flour.

Take Action Now —— Explore Uzbekistan Wheat Flour HS Code 110100 Import Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Uzbekistan Wheat Flour Import in 2025?

The mid-2025 volatility in Uzbekistan's wheat flour imports reflects seasonal procurement patterns, with a sharp May drop likely tied to pre-harvest inventory drawdowns and a post-June recovery aligning with restocking cycles.

Q2. Who are the main origin countries of Uzbekistan Wheat Flour (HS Code 110100) in 2025?

Kazakhstan dominates Uzbekistan's wheat flour imports, supplying 91.7% by value and 94% by weight, while Russia and Tajikistan contribute negligible volumes.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across origin countries of Uzbekistan Wheat Flour Import?

Unit prices are uniformly low ($0.30/kg) for the dominant sub-codes (1101001501 and 1101001509), indicating a commodity-driven market without quality-based differentiation.

Q4. What should importers in Uzbekistan focus on when buying Wheat Flour?

Importers should prioritize supply chain resilience due to extreme reliance on Kazakhstan and a few key suppliers (e.g., ИП ЖУМАДИЛОВА, TOO DAMAR LTD), which control over 85% of shipments.

Q5. What does this Uzbekistan Wheat Flour import pattern mean for overseas suppliers?

Suppliers outside Kazakhstan face limited opportunities, as Uzbekistan’s bulk procurement strategy prioritizes cost-efficient, high-volume shipments from its neighbor.

Q6. How is Wheat Flour typically used in this trade flow?

Wheat flour imports serve as a staple commodity, primarily for domestic consumption, with no evidence of value-add processing or specialization in the trade data.