2025 Uzbekistan Grapes (HS 0806) Export: Volatile Surge & Drop

Key Takeaways

Grapes, classified under HS Code 0806, exhibited explosive mid-year growth followed by a sharp contraction from January to November 2025.

• Market Pulse: Export value surged to $82.45M in September before collapsing to under $900K by November, reflecting extreme volatility tied to policy shifts and seasonal cycles.
• Structural Shift: Uzbekistan Grapes Export reliance on Russia (56.4% of value) creates high concentration risk, while China’s premium demand (8.9% value share) offers margin potential.
• Product Logic: HS Code 0806 trade data reveals a bifurcated market—dried grapes command 2x the price of fresh, signaling untapped value in processing and quality differentiation.

This overview covers the period from January to November 2025 and is based on verified customs data from the yTrade database.

Uzbekistan Grapes (HS Code 0806) Key Metrics Trend

Market Trend Summary

The Uzbekistan Grapes Export trend from January to November 2025 showed a three-phase pattern: stable early-year performance, a dramatic mid-year surge, and a sharp Q4 contraction. Total export value held relatively steady between $9.5M–$13.5M from January through June, then exploded to a peak of $82.45M in September, before collapsing to under $900K in November. This trajectory—prolonged stability followed by explosive growth and an abrupt decline—defines the export trend for this period.

Drivers & Industry Context

The mid-2025 surge in export value aligns with Uzbekistan’s broader trade policy shift effective July 1, which imposed export duties on 86 raw materials to incentivize domestic processing and value-added exports [Gazeta.uz]. While grapes (HS 0806) were not directly taxed, the policy likely accelerated shipments of non-dutied goods ahead of potential future measures, explaining the volume-driven value spike. The November collapse in hs code 0806 value corresponds with the end of the main harvest and export season, reflecting typical cyclicality in fresh produce trade.

Table: Uzbekistan Grapes Export Trend (Source: yTrade)

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Uzbekistan HS Code 0806 Export Breakdown

Market Composition & Top Categories

According to yTrade data, Uzbekistan's HS Code 0806 export market is overwhelmingly dominated by fresh grapes, which account for 61% of the total export value. The second largest category is dried grapes, representing 30% of the value, while the remaining sub-codes consist of various fresh and dried grape types with minimal individual shares. This Uzbekistan HS Code 0806 export structure is heavily concentrated in a single product form.

Value Chain & Strategic Insights

The HS Code 0806 breakdown reveals significant unit price dispersion, ranging from $0.42 to $1.94 per kilogram, indicating this is not a pure commodity market. The highest-value dried grape category commands nearly double the price of some fresh varieties, suggesting quality and processing differentiation drive value. This trade structure shows specialization potential beyond bulk fresh exports, where product form and quality specifications create price premiums.

Table: Uzbekistan HS Code 0806) Export Breakdown Details (Source: yTrade)

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Uzbekistan Grapes Destination Countries

Geographic Concentration & Market Risk

Russia dominates Uzbekistan's grape exports, accounting for 56.39% of total value from January to November 2025. This heavy reliance on a single market creates significant exposure to geopolitical or regulatory shifts. Secondary markets like China and Kazakhstan collectively represent less than 18% of export value, offering limited diversification against supply chain disruptions. Uzbekistan's grape export destinations remain critically concentrated, heightening vulnerability to demand shocks in its primary market.

Purchasing Behavior & Demand Segmentation

Russia's nearly identical value (56.39%) and weight ratios (55.69%) indicate balanced pricing for standard quality grapes, while China's higher value ratio (8.92% vs. 6.71% weight) signals premium demand for select varieties. Kazakhstan's weight ratio (16.88%) doubling its value share (8.83%) confirms bulk-oriented, price-sensitive procurement for processing. These trade partners for Grapes show segmented demand: China offers margin potential for quality-focused shipments, whereas Kazakhstan represents volume scale for commodity-grade produce.

Table: Uzbekistan Grapes (HS Code 0806) Top Destination Countries (Source: yTrade)

Get Uzbekistan Grapes (HS Code 0806) Complete Destination Countries Profile

Uzbekistan Grapes Buyer Companies Analysis

Buyer Concentration & Market Structure

According to yTrade data, the Uzbekistan Grapes export market is heavily concentrated among high-volume repeat buyers, who held 88.78% of the total value from January to November 2025. This dominance points to a stable, contract-based supply chain, with key distributors and trading firms like those identified driving consistent bulk shipments. The market structure for Uzbekistan Grapes buyers is thus characterized by entrenched, long-term relationships rather than spot transactions.

Purchasing Behavior & Sales Strategy

The purchasing patterns for HS Code 0806 reveal that buyers are loyal, high-frequency partners, indicating a preference for reliable supply chains over opportunistic trading. To address the high concentration risk, prioritize securing and renewing long-term contracts with these core accounts, while monitoring potential cost impacts from new export duties effective July 2025 [kun.uz]. Diversifying into value-added grape products could also align with government incentives for higher-margin exports (zamin.uz).

Table: Uzbekistan Grapes (HS Code 0806) Top Buyers List (Source: yTrade)

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Action Plan for Grapes Market Operation and Expansion

• Diversify buyers: Target Chinese importers with premium dried grape products to reduce reliance on Russian bulk contracts and capture higher margins.
• Lock contracts: Secure long-term agreements with core distributors before July 2025 to mitigate disruption risks from potential new export duties.
• Optimize logistics: Shift fresh grape shipments to Kazakhstan’s price-sensitive market via bulk transport to offset lower unit margins.
• Monitor policy: Track Uzbekistan’s export duty updates for processed goods, as value-added products may qualify for incentives (zamin.uz).
• Brand quality: Certify premium grape varieties for China’s market, leveraging its 33% higher value-to-weight ratio vs. Russia.

Take Action Now —— Explore Uzbekistan Grapes HS Code 0806 Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Uzbekistan Grapes Export in 2025?

The 2025 export trend saw a mid-year surge (peaking at $82.45M in September) followed by a sharp Q4 decline, driven by policy shifts and seasonal harvest cycles. Export duties on raw materials likely accelerated shipments ahead of potential future measures, while the November drop reflects typical end-of-season contraction.

Q2. Who are the main destination countries of Uzbekistan Grapes (HS Code 0806) in 2025?

Russia dominated with 56.39% of export value, followed by China (8.92%) and Kazakhstan (8.83%). These three markets accounted for over 74% of Uzbekistan’s grape exports.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across destination countries of Uzbekistan Grapes Export in 2025?

Price dispersion ($0.42–$1.94/kg) stems from product form and quality: dried grapes command nearly double the price of fresh varieties, while China pays premiums for select grades versus Kazakhstan’s bulk-oriented purchases.

Q4. What should exporters in Uzbekistan focus on in the current Grapes export market?

Prioritize long-term contracts with high-volume repeat buyers (88.78% of trade value) while diversifying into value-added products like dried grapes to mitigate reliance on Russia and capitalize on premium markets like China.

Q5. What does this Uzbekistan Grapes export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Russian buyers benefit from stable bulk supply, while Chinese importers access quality-driven premiums. Kazakhstan’s processors secure cost-effective volumes, but all face concentration risks if Uzbekistan’s export policies shift.

Q6. How is Grapes typically used in this trade flow?

Fresh grapes (61% of export value) dominate for direct consumption, while dried grapes (30%) cater to processed food markets, reflecting a split between bulk commodity and higher-value specialized demand.