Indonesia Petroleum Oils HS271019 Export Data 2025 October Overview

Indonesia Petroleum Oils (HS 271019) 2025 October Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia’s Petroleum oils (HS Code 271019) exports in October 2025 reveal a high-volume, commodity-grade trade dominated by Singapore, which accounts for 67.52% of weight but lower unit prices (0.45 USD/kg), signaling its role as a regional bulk hub. Buyer concentration is high, with Singapore and Malaysia forming the core cluster, while Australia and China Mainland represent secondary demand. Market stability hinges on maintaining supply to key hubs, though countervailing duties under Regulation 2092/19 require close monitoring. This analysis, covering October 2025, is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Petroleum Oils (HS 271019) 2025 October Export Background

Indonesia Petroleum oils (HS Code 271019) cover refined petroleum products from bituminous minerals, excluding crude—key for energy, transportation, and industrial sectors, with steady global demand. Facing countervailing duties since January 2025 [Tariffnumber], Indonesia’s October 2025 exports must navigate trade barriers while maintaining its role as a major supplier in Asia, backed by $850B+ global trade in 2022 [The Dollar Business].

Indonesia Petroleum Oils (HS 271019) 2025 October Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

Indonesia Petroleum oils HS Code 271019 Export 2025 October registered a notable decline, with export value falling to $118.71M and volume dropping to 232.12M kg.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The October figures represent a sequential weakening from September's $143.11M and 251.89M kg, continuing a downward trend observed since the mid-year peak. This pattern aligns with typical seasonal dynamics for petroleum products, where post-monsoon months often see reduced industrial and transportation demand across key Asian markets. The consistent contraction in both value and volume through Q3 suggests market softness beyond normal seasonality, potentially reflecting inventory drawdowns or moderated buying interest ahead of year-end.

External Context and Outlook

This softening trend coincides with the implementation of definitive countervailing duties under Regulation 2092/19 effective from January 2025 [The Dollar Business], which have likely dampened export competitiveness. These trade measures, combined with broader global oil market volatility, are constraining Indonesia's export volumes despite the commodity's historically significant trade value (The Dollar Business). The outlook remains cautious as these structural headwinds persist into the final quarter.

Indonesia Petroleum Oils (HS 271019) 2025 October Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In October 2025, Indonesia's export of Petroleum oils under HS Code 271019 is overwhelmingly concentrated in sub-code 2710197900, which holds over 84% of the export value and 92% of the weight. This product, described as petroleum oils not light oils and preparations, has a unit price of 0.47 USD per kilogram, pointing to a specialization in low-value, bulk commodity trade. Sub-codes with unit prices above 11 USD per kilogram, such as 2710194200, are isolated anomalies due to their negligible share in both value and weight.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The remaining sub-codes fall into two groups: bulk low-grade oils with unit prices under 1 USD per kilogram, including 2710199000 and 2710198100, and medium-grade oils with prices ranging from 1 to 4 USD per kilogram, such as 2710194100 and 2710194600. This structure indicates that Indonesia's exports are primarily fungible bulk commodities, likely priced against global oil indices, with a smaller segment of slightly differentiated, higher-value products.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

For exporters, the dominance of bulk products means limited pricing power, as revenues are heavily influenced by international market fluctuations. Strategic focus should be on optimizing cost efficiency and exploring opportunities in higher-margin oil grades to enhance competitiveness in the Indonesia Petroleum oils HS Code 271019 Export market for 2025 October.

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Indonesia Petroleum Oils (HS 271019) 2025 October Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

In October 2025, Indonesia's export of Petroleum oils under HS Code 271019 shows strong geographic concentration, with SINGAPORE dominating as the top partner, accounting for 67.52% of weight and 58.94% of value. The lower value ratio compared to weight ratio suggests that Singapore receives bulk shipments at potentially lower unit prices, around 0.45 USD/kg, indicating a focus on high-volume, commodity-grade oil trading typical for regional hubs.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The partner countries form three clear clusters: first, Singapore and Malaysia, with high weight and value shares, likely due to proximity and established maritime routes for efficient bulk transport. Second, Australia and China Mainland, with moderate volumes, may represent diversified demand for specific oil grades or strategic stockpiling. Third, smaller players like South Korea and Taiwan, with low ratios, could be niche markets or re-export points, influenced by regional refining capacities.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

For market players, maintaining stable supply to key hubs like Singapore is crucial, while exploring opportunities in moderate clusters to mitigate risks. The ongoing countervailing duties under Regulation 2092/19 [in.thedollarbusiness.com] could impact export costs, requiring close monitoring of trade policies to adapt pricing and logistics strategies for Indonesia Petroleum oils HS Code 271019 Export in 2025 October.

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Indonesia Petroleum Oils (HS 271019) 2025 October Export: Action Plan for Petroleum Oils Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Petroleum oils Export 2025 October under HS Code 271019 is a bulk commodity trade. Price is driven by global oil indices and product grade. Low unit prices near 0.47 USD/kg confirm limited pricing power. Supply chain relies on high-volume maritime routes to regional hubs like Singapore. Heavy buyer concentration creates vulnerability to demand shifts or policy changes like countervailing duties.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Petroleum oils Market Execution

• Analyze HS Code 271019 sub-codes monthly to identify higher-margin grades. This increases revenue by targeting products above 1 USD/kg.
• Monitor order frequency of top buyers like PT TRI WAHANA UNIVERSAL. Secure long-term contracts to stabilize bulk shipment volumes and reduce revenue risk.
• Track Singapore’s import patterns for price benchmarks. Adjust logistics to maintain cost-efficient bulk supply to this key hub.
• Diversify export destinations using trade data on moderate clusters like Australia. This mitigates over-reliance on single markets and spreads geopolitical risk.
• Review regulatory updates on countervailing duties quarterly. Adapt pricing strategies to protect margins against potential tariff impacts.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Petroleum oils Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Petroleum oils Export 2025 October?

The decline in export value and volume reflects seasonal demand softening and structural headwinds, including countervailing duties and global oil market volatility.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Petroleum oils Export 2025 October?

Singapore dominates with 58.94% of export value, followed by Malaysia and China Mainland, forming the core regional trade network.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Petroleum oils Export 2025 October partner countries?

Price differences stem from the dominance of bulk low-grade oils (e.g., sub-code 2710197900 at 0.47 USD/kg), with rare higher-grade exceptions like 2710194200 (11+ USD/kg).

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Petroleum oils export market?

Exporters must prioritize cost efficiency and deepen relationships with high-value, frequent buyers (68.37% of trade value) while diversifying into higher-margin oil grades.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Petroleum oils export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers in key hubs like Singapore benefit from stable bulk supply, but niche markets face reliance on sporadic shipments, requiring contingency planning.

Q6. How is Petroleum oils typically used in this trade flow?

The bulk exports are likely fungible commodities for refining or industrial use, while higher-grade oils serve specialized applications.