Indonesia Petroleum Gas HS2711 Export Data 2025 January Overview

Indonesia Petroleum Gas (HS 2711) 2025 January Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia’s Petroleum Gas exports under HS Code 2711 in January 2025 reveal a commodity-grade product with stable pricing ($0.53/kg) and heavy reliance on Japan, which accounts for 28.95% of export value, signaling high buyer concentration risk. The market is dominated by Asian partners, with Japan, Singapore, and South Korea forming a tight cluster, while Indonesia’s domestic gas prioritization threatens future export volumes. This analysis covers January 2025 and is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Petroleum Gas (HS 2711) 2025 January Export Background

Indonesia Petroleum Gas (HS Code 2711: Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons) fuels industries like power generation and petrochemicals, maintaining steady global demand. In 2025, Indonesia is prioritizing domestic use, holding back exports despite surplus production, with 69% of H1 2025 output allocated locally [Indonesia Business Post]. The country remains a net exporter but plans to reduce shipments further, aiming to use 97% of gas domestically by 2035, reflecting its strategic shift toward energy security and downstream processing [APERC].

Indonesia Petroleum Gas (HS 2711) 2025 January Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

January 2025's Indonesia Petroleum Gas Export under HS Code 2711 recorded a volume of 1.13 billion kg, but this initial figure masks the onset of policy-driven export constraints aimed at boosting domestic supply.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The unit price of 0.52 USD per kg yielded an export value of 587.43 million USD for the month. Historically, petroleum gas exports from Indonesia might exhibit stability or growth aligned with global energy demand cycles, such as seasonal spikes in northern hemisphere winter. However, the emerging domestic prioritization strategy is already curbing export volumes, as industry logic dictates that resource nationalism often truncates external sales when local needs escalate.

External Context and Outlook

Indonesia's deliberate reduction in gas exports, with 69% of H1 2025 output reserved for domestic use [Indonesia Business Post], directly explains the tempered January exports. With policies aiming to slash exports to 3% by 2035 (APERC) and new financial rules retaining export proceeds domestically, the outlook for Indonesia Petroleum Gas Export (HS Code 2711) points to sustained volumetric declines through 2025.

Indonesia Petroleum Gas (HS 2711) 2025 January Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In January 2025, Indonesia's Petroleum Gas exports under HS Code 2711 are dominated by liquefied natural gas (sub-code 27111100), which holds over 71% of the export value. With a unit price of 0.51 USD per kilogram, this product is the primary driver of the market. The sub-code 27112900 for other gaseous hydrocarbons has a higher unit price of 1.00 USD per kilogram but is isolated as an anomaly due to its negligible volume and does not impact the main analysis.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The non-anomalous exports consist of liquefied natural gas and gaseous natural gas (sub-code 27112190), which accounts for 28% of the value at a unit price of 0.54 USD per kilogram. This structure indicates a trade in bulk commodities, with both forms likely priced against global energy indices rather than being differentiated by quality or value-add stages.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

As bulk commodities, these exports have limited pricing power and are subject to market fluctuations. Indonesia's policy to prioritize domestic gas use, as reported by [Indonesia Business Post], may constrain export volumes but uphold contract commitments, focusing on stable, long-term agreements for the Indonesia Petroleum Gas Export 2025 January under HS Code 2711.

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Indonesia Petroleum Gas (HS 2711) 2025 January Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Indonesia Petroleum Gas Export 2025 January shows high geographic concentration, with Japan (28.95% value share) as the dominant buyer under HS Code 2711. Japan's value share (28.95%) closely matches its weight share (28.39%), indicating stable pricing for this commodity-grade product, with an average unit price near $0.53/kg across major partners.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

Two clear clusters emerge: primary Asian buyers (Japan, Singapore, South Korea) with high volume and value shares, likely tied to long-term supply contracts and regional energy demand; and secondary partners (China, Thailand) with lower but still significant shares, possibly serving spot market or flexible supply needs. Norway's minimal entry suggests a very small, trial or specialized shipment outside main trade flows.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

Suppliers should expect continued prioritization of existing Asian contracts, but prepare for reduced export volumes as Indonesia shifts gas to domestic use [Indonesia Business Post], aiming to use 97% domestically by 2035 (Indonesia Business Post). New buyers may find limited availability, and all partners face potential volume renegotiation due to this policy-driven supply constraint.

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Indonesia Petroleum Gas (HS 2711) 2025 January Export: Buyer Cluster

Buyer Market Concentration and Dominance

For Indonesia Petroleum Gas Export in January 2025 under HS Code 2711, the buyer market is highly concentrated among the four segments of buyers. Frequent, high-value buyers dominate, accounting for 89.95% of the export value. This shows that a small group of buyers drives most of the trade, with large, regular purchases defining the market.

Strategic Buyer Clusters and Trade Role

The other active segment consists of buyers with smaller, regular purchases, making up 10.05% of the value. These buyers likely represent spot market or secondary contracts, common in commodity trades like gas. The segments for infrequent, high-value buyers and infrequent, low-value buyers show no activity, meaning no one-time or irregular large deals occurred in this period.

Sales Strategy and Vulnerability

Exporters should prioritize securing long-term contracts with dominant buyers to ensure stability. However, Indonesia's policy to hold back gas exports for domestic use [Indonesia Business Post] poses a risk to export volumes. This shift may require adapting sales to focus on existing commitments while exploring domestic opportunities.

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Indonesia Petroleum Gas (HS 2711) 2025 January Export: Action Plan for Petroleum Gas Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Petroleum Gas Export 2025 January under HS Code 2711 is a bulk commodity trade. Its price is driven by global energy indices, not product differentiation. Supply faces a critical constraint from Indonesia’s policy shift to prioritize domestic gas use. This policy reduces export volumes and locks pricing into long-term contracts with major Asian buyers. The supply chain implication is high exposure to geopolitical and policy risks, with limited flexibility to serve new or spot market demand.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Petroleum Gas Market Execution

• Monitor real-time export volume data against domestic allocation targets to anticipate contract fulfillment risks and avoid supply shortfalls.
• Analyze buyer purchase frequency to secure multi-year agreements with dominant partners, ensuring revenue stability amid volatile global prices.
• Track competitor LNG export volumes and pricing in Asia to benchmark contract terms and maintain competitive positioning.
• Use trade flow analytics to identify emerging buyers in secondary markets early, creating optionality if primary contract volumes shrink.
• Model domestic gas demand growth projections to forecast long-term export availability and guide investment in storage or alternative energy products.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Petroleum Gas Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Petroleum Gas Export 2025 January?

Indonesia’s policy shift to prioritize domestic gas use is reducing export volumes, with 69% of H1 2025 output reserved locally. This aligns with long-term plans to cut exports to 3% by 2035, directly impacting January’s trade.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Petroleum Gas Export 2025 January?

Japan dominates with a 28.95% value share, followed by Singapore and South Korea, forming a primary Asian buyer cluster. China and Thailand hold smaller but significant shares, likely for spot market needs.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Petroleum Gas Export 2025 January partner countries?

The price variance stems from product specialization: liquefied natural gas (71% of exports) trades at $0.51/kg, while gaseous natural gas (28%) averages $0.54/kg. Anomalous sub-codes like 27112900 ($1.00/kg) have negligible volume impact.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Petroleum Gas export market?

Exporters must secure long-term contracts with dominant buyers (90% of trade value) to offset volume constraints from domestic policies. Secondary markets (10%) offer limited but stable spot demand.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Petroleum Gas export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers face supply risks due to Indonesia’s domestic prioritization, with Japan and other Asian partners likely renegotiating volumes. New entrants will find minimal availability amid policy-driven constraints.

Q6. How is Petroleum Gas typically used in this trade flow?

The exports are bulk commodities (liquefied/gaseous natural gas), primarily priced against global energy indices and used for regional power generation or industrial needs under long-term contracts.

Q7. What is yTrade?

yTrade is a global trade data platform that provides SaaS and API access to provide accurate, structured, and searchable import-export trade data for international business decisions. It enables users to access verified shipment records, analyse buyer and supplier activity, review company trade overviews, assess compliance risks, and monitor real market demand — all from a single, scalable system.

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