Indonesia Palm Oil HS1511 Export Data 2025 June Overview

Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 1511) 2025 June Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia's palm oil exports under HS Code 1511 in June 2025 reveal a commodity-driven trade, with China dominating as the top buyer (17.17% of value), signaling reliance on bulk crude shipments. The market shows tightening supply risks due to Indonesia's rising biodiesel mandates, urging buyers to secure long-term contracts. This analysis, covering June 2025, is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 1511) 2025 June Export Background

Indonesia Palm Oil (HS Code 1511), which includes crude and refined palm oil without chemical modification, fuels global industries like food, biofuels, and cosmetics due to its versatility and cost efficiency. In June 2025, Indonesia raised export levies to 10% for crude palm oil and 9.5% for refined products to support its B40 biodiesel mandate, prioritizing domestic supply [FAS USDA]. As the world’s top exporter, Indonesia’s policies directly impact global prices and availability, with further restrictions looming for its B50 biofuel target in 2026 [Ukragroconsult]. These moves underscore its strategic role in balancing export revenue and domestic energy needs.

Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 1511) 2025 June Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

In June 2025, Indonesia's palm oil exports under HS Code 1511 saw a notable surge in volume and total value, reaching 2.40 billion units and $2.26 billion, respectively, despite a continued decline in unit prices, which fell to $0.94 per kg.

Price and Volume Dynamics

Unit prices for Indonesia Palm Oil Export have trended downward since January 2025, dropping from $1.13 to $0.94 per kg by June, a decrease of over 16%. However, export volume spiked in June, rising 37% month-over-month from May, while value increased by 31%. This divergence suggests exporters are prioritizing volume over price, possibly due to seasonal stock clearance ahead of policy changes or harvest cycles typical in palm oil markets. The low price point in June may reflect increased global supply or competitive pressures, but the volume boost indicates robust export activity.

External Context and Outlook

The surge in June exports aligns with Indonesia's recent policy shifts, including raised export levies in May 2025 as reported by [USDA], which likely prompted accelerated shipments to avoid higher costs. Looking ahead, plans to expand biodiesel blending to B50 by 2026 (Ukragroconsult) could further restrict exports by diverting more palm oil domestically, potentially tightening global supply and stabilizing prices.

Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 1511) 2025 June Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In Indonesia Palm Oil Export 2025 June, the market under HS Code 1511 is dominated by refined palm oil, specifically the sub-code for vegetable oils; palm oil and its fractions, other than crude, which accounts for nearly half of the export value and weight at a unit price of 0.92 USD per kilogram. This high concentration indicates a strong focus on bulk, processed palm oil exports, with no extreme price anomalies present in the data to isolate.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The remaining sub-codes under HS Code 1511 can be grouped into crude palm oil and refined palm oil with slight grade variations. Crude palm oil represents about 9% of export value with a unit price of 0.97 USD per kilogram, while refined oils show minor price differences from 0.92 to 1.09 USD per kilogram, reflecting a commodity market where products are largely fungible and tied to global price indices rather than significant value-added differentiation.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

Indonesia's export concentration under HS Code 1511 grants inherent pricing power, but recent policies, including raised export levies and biodiesel blending mandates like B40 and planned B50, aim to divert supply for domestic biofuel use [USDA]. This could constrain export volumes and elevate global prices, requiring market players to monitor regulatory shifts closely for strategic adjustments.

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Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 1511) 2025 June Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Indonesia's palm oil exports in June 2025 under HS Code 1511 were highly concentrated, with China Mainland dominating as the top destination, accounting for 17.17% of export value and 17.77% of weight. The slight negative disparity between value and weight ratios suggests China primarily receives bulk, lower-grade crude palm oil, indicating a commodity-focused trade pattern for Indonesia Palm Oil Export 2025 June.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The top importers form two clear clusters: first, China, India, and Pakistan, which together take over 38% of exports, driven by high population demand for cooking oil and industrial use in Asia. Second, Egypt, Bangladesh, and the United States represent a medium-demand cluster, likely importing for similar food and biofuel applications, with stable trade flows.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

Indonesia's increasing domestic biodiesel mandates, such as B40 and planned B50, could tighten export supply, as highlighted by recent levy hikes and potential restrictions [USDA]. Buyers should diversify sources or secure long-term contracts to mitigate price volatility and supply risks from these policy shifts.

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Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 1511) 2025 June Export: Buyer Cluster

Buyer Market Concentration and Dominance

In the Indonesia Palm Oil Export for June 2025 under HS Code 1511, the buyer market shows strong concentration, with a small group of high-value, high-frequency buyers dominating trade. This cluster, representing buyers who purchase large volumes regularly, holds 87.52% of the total export value, indicating that most revenue comes from frequent, substantial transactions. The market is defined by high monetary value and high transaction frequency across the four segments of buyers, with the median behavior skewed towards large, repeated purchases.

Strategic Buyer Clusters and Trade Role

The other buyer clusters play distinct roles. High-value, low-frequency buyers, accounting for 9.00% of value, likely represent bulk purchasers such as large refineries or project-based buyers who make infrequent but significant acquisitions. Low-value, high-frequency buyers, with 1.57% value share, are probably regular small buyers like local distributors or small-scale processors who trade often but in modest amounts. Low-value, low-frequency buyers, at 1.90% value share, may include occasional or new market entrants with sporadic, minor demand.

Sales Strategy and Vulnerability

For exporters in Indonesia, the strategic focus should prioritize nurturing relationships with dominant high-value, high-frequency buyers to secure steady revenue, while exploring opportunities to engage other clusters for market diversification. The high dependency on a few large buyers poses a risk if demand shifts, but the growing domestic biodiesel sector, as highlighted by recent policy changes [USDA], could increase local consumption and reduce export reliance, suggesting a need for adaptive sales models that balance international and domestic markets.

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Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 1511) 2025 June Export: Action Plan for Palm Oil Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

The Indonesia Palm Oil Export 2025 June under HS Code 1511 shows a concentrated market. Price drivers are global palm oil indices and Indonesian policies like biodiesel mandates. Supply chain implications include supply security risks and a processing hub role. High buyer and geographic concentration add volatility.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Palm Oil Market Execution

• Monitor Indonesian policy shifts using trade data alerts. This helps anticipate supply changes and avoid price spikes.
• Nurture high-value, high-frequency buyer relationships with personalized contracts. It secures steady revenue from dominant clients.
• Diversify into low-value buyer clusters with targeted marketing. It reduces dependency on a few large buyers.
• Secure long-term supply agreements with key Asian partners. It locks in volumes amid potential export constraints.
• Explore domestic biodiesel demand through local market data. It balances export risks with growing internal use.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Palm Oil Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Palm Oil Export 2025 June?

The June 2025 surge in export volume (37% MoM) and value (31% MoM) reflects accelerated shipments ahead of Indonesia's raised export levies, despite a 16% unit price decline since January. The volume-over-price strategy suggests stock clearance or harvest cycle dynamics.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Palm Oil Export 2025 June?

China dominates with 17.17% of export value, followed by India and Pakistan, forming a top cluster absorbing over 38% of shipments. Egypt, Bangladesh, and the US represent a secondary demand group.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Palm Oil Export 2025 June partner countries?

Price differences stem from product grades: refined palm oil (0.92 USD/kg) accounts for half of exports, while crude palm oil (0.97 USD/kg) and minor refined variants (up to 1.09 USD/kg) cater to bulk and niche buyers.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Palm Oil export market?

Exporters must prioritize high-value, high-frequency buyers (87.52% of revenue) while diversifying to mitigate reliance on concentrated markets like China, especially with domestic biodiesel mandates tightening supply.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Palm Oil export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers face supply risks due to Indonesia’s biodiesel policies (B40/B50) diverting exports domestically. China’s bulk-focused purchases and price sensitivity highlight the need for long-term contracts or alternative sourcing.

Q6. How is Palm Oil typically used in this trade flow?

Exports under HS Code 1511 primarily serve food (cooking oil) and industrial uses, including biodiesel production, with refined palm oil dominating trade volumes.

Q7. What is yTrade?

yTrade is a global trade data platform that provides SaaS and API access to provide accurate, structured, and searchable import-export trade data for international business decisions. It enables users to access verified shipment records, analyse buyer and supplier activity, review company trade overviews, assess compliance risks, and monitor real market demand — all from a single, scalable system.

Q8. How can yTrade benefit my business?

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Q9. What features does yTrade offer?

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