Indonesia Palm Oil HS1511 Export Data 2025 April Overview

Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 1511) 2025 April Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia’s Palm Oil exports under HS Code 1511 in April 2025 were dominated by bulk crude shipments to Pakistan, which accounted for 11.60% of total weight at a competitive 1.04 USD/kg, reflecting commodity-scale demand. The market remains concentrated, with Pakistan, China, and the U.S. driving high-volume imports, while regional buyers like Bangladesh and India benefit from proximity. This analysis, covering April 2025, is based on verified trade data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 1511) 2025 April Export Background

Indonesia Palm Oil (HS Code 1511), which includes palm oil and its fractions, refined or unrefined, is a key ingredient in food, biofuels, and cosmetics, driving steady global demand. As the world’s top exporter, Indonesia’s policies heavily influence supply—in April 2025, it raised export levies to 10% for crude palm oil and restricted shipments of byproducts like used cooking oil to prioritize domestic biodiesel needs under its B40 mandate [FAS USDA]. These moves tighten global supply ahead of its planned B50 biofuel expansion in 2026 [Ukragroconsult].

Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 1511) 2025 April Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

In April 2025, Indonesia's palm oil exports under HS Code 1511 saw a sharp monthly decline, with volume dropping by 44% and value falling 45% compared to March, while the unit price held steady at 1.08 USD/kg, indicating a supply-side shock rather than price volatility.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The unit price for Indonesia Palm Oil Export gradually eased from 1.13 USD/kg in January to 1.08 USD/kg by March, reflecting typical post-harvest easing in early year cycles, but the April volume collapse to 1.04 billion kg—well below Q1 averages—suggests an abrupt shift beyond seasonal norms, likely driven by anticipatory market behavior ahead of policy changes.

External Context and Outlook

This downturn aligns with Indonesia's aggressive policy moves, including raised export levies and restrictions on palm oil residues to prioritize domestic biodiesel feedstock for the B40 mandate [apps.fas.usda.gov], with the planned B50 expansion (apps.fas.usda.gov) likely to sustain export pressures and support higher global prices through 2025.

Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 1511) 2025 April Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In the Indonesia Palm Oil Export 2025 April under HS Code 1511, the market is heavily concentrated in refined palm oil, with the sub-code for other refined palm oil (HS 15119037) leading at a 47% value share. This product, described as vegetable oils from palm that are not crude but may be refined, shows a unit price of $1.06 per kilogram, aligning closely with other variants, indicating a standardized commodity focus without extreme price anomalies. The analysis period for April 2025 confirms this dominance in both value and volume.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The remaining sub-codes fall into two main groups: crude palm oil (e.g., HS 15111000) and various refined forms (e.g., HS 15119020, 15119036). Crude palm oil holds a smaller share at 4% value, while refined products make up the bulk, all with similar unit prices around $1.06-$1.19 per kilogram. This uniformity suggests a trade in fungible bulk commodities, where products are largely undifferentiated and likely tied to global price indices, rather than being specialized manufactured goods.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

For market players, the commodity nature implies limited pricing power, with costs driven by volume and external factors. However, Indonesia's policy shifts, such as increased export levies and domestic biodiesel mandates aiming for B50 blending [USDA], could tighten export supplies and elevate prices globally. Exporters should focus on securing stable volumes amid potential restrictions, as highlighted by ongoing regulatory changes (USDA).

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Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 1511) 2025 April Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

In April 2025, Indonesia's Palm Oil exports under HS Code 1511 were heavily concentrated, with PAKISTAN as the dominant buyer, accounting for 11.60% of the total weight. The value ratio for PAKISTAN (11.21%) is slightly lower than its weight ratio, suggesting a lower unit price around 1.04 USD/kg, which points to bulk, crude palm oil shipments typical for commodity trade.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The top importers form two clear clusters: first, high-volume buyers like PAKISTAN, CHINA MAINLAND, and UNITED STATES, driven by strong demand for edible oils in populous regions. Second, regional neighbors such as BANGLADESH, INDIA, and MALAYSIA, likely benefit from geographic proximity and established trade routes, reducing logistics costs for commodity flows.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

Market players should prepare for potential export constraints due to Indonesia's policy shifts, such as raised levies and biodiesel mandates [USDA], which may tighten global supply (USDA). Diversifying sourcing or investing in local processing could mitigate risks for importers reliant on Indonesian Palm Oil.

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Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 1511) 2025 April Export: Buyer Cluster

Buyer Market Concentration and Dominance

In April 2025, the Indonesia Palm Oil Export market for HS Code 1511 shows strong concentration among four segments of buyers. The most critical insight is that buyers who make large, frequent purchases dominate, holding 65.35% of the export value. This segment, with high value and high frequency, defines the market as one driven by regular, high-volume transactions, where median buyer behavior leans towards consistent, substantial orders.

Strategic Buyer Clusters and Trade Role

The other segments play distinct roles. Buyers with large but infrequent orders account for 27.69% of value, often representing seasonal or project-based demand, such as for specific biodiesel initiatives. Those with small but frequent purchases make up 4.21% of value, typically smaller refiners or local distributors needing regular supply. Lastly, buyers with small, infrequent orders contribute 2.75% of value, likely new entrants or niche markets testing the waters.

Sales Strategy and Vulnerability

For Indonesian exporters, strategic focus should prioritize nurturing relationships with dominant buyers to secure stable revenue. However, risks arise from policy shifts, like increased export levies and domestic biodiesel mandates [FAS USDA], which may reduce export volumes as more palm oil is diverted for biofuel (FAS USDA). Sales models must adapt to these regulations, emphasizing compliance and exploring opportunities in value-added products to mitigate vulnerability.

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Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 1511) 2025 April Export: Action Plan for Palm Oil Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Palm Oil Export 2025 April under HS Code 1511 operates as a bulk commodity market. Price is driven by global indices and Indonesia's domestic policies, including biodiesel mandates and export levies. These policies may reduce export volumes and elevate global prices. Supply chains face risks from potential export constraints. Indonesia's role remains as a key processing hub for refined palm oil, with limited product differentiation.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Palm Oil Market Execution

• Monitor buyer purchase frequency data to anticipate demand cycles and optimize inventory levels. This prevents overstock and aligns with dominant buyer patterns.
• Track Indonesian regulatory updates on export levies and biodiesel mandates monthly. Adjust sourcing strategies early to avoid supply disruptions.
• Use HS Code sub-category analysis to prioritize refined palm oil (HS 15119037) exports. This maximizes value capture from the dominant product segment.
• Analyze geographic trade flows to strengthen logistics with high-volume partners like Pakistan and China. Secure shipping contracts to reduce cost volatility.
• Develop contingency plans for sourcing alternative suppliers if Indonesian policies tighten exports. This mitigates dependency risks for importers.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Palm Oil Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Palm Oil Export 2025 April?

The sharp 44% drop in volume and 45% decline in value in April 2025 reflects a supply-side shock, likely due to Indonesia's policy shifts like higher export levies and domestic biodiesel mandates (B40/B50), rather than price volatility.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Palm Oil Export 2025 April?

Pakistan dominates with 11.6% of total weight, followed by China and the U.S., while regional neighbors like Bangladesh and India benefit from proximity and established trade routes.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Palm Oil Export 2025 April partner countries?

Prices cluster around $1.04–1.19/kg, with slight variations tied to product type (e.g., crude vs. refined). Pakistan’s lower unit price ($1.04/kg) suggests bulk crude shipments, while refined variants (e.g., HS 15119037) average $1.06/kg.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Palm Oil export market?

Prioritize relationships with high-volume, frequent buyers (65% of export value) and adapt to policy risks like biodiesel mandates, which may tighten export supplies.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Palm Oil export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers face potential supply constraints due to Indonesia’s domestic biofuel policies. High-volume importers (e.g., Pakistan) should diversify sourcing or invest in local processing to mitigate risks.

Q6. How is Palm Oil typically used in this trade flow?

Primarily traded as a bulk commodity for edible oils and biodiesel feedstock, with refined palm oil (HS 15119037) dominating at 47% of export value.

Q7. What is yTrade?

yTrade is a global trade data platform that provides SaaS and API access to provide accurate, structured, and searchable import-export trade data for international business decisions. It enables users to access verified shipment records, analyse buyer and supplier activity, review company trade overviews, assess compliance risks, and monitor real market demand — all from a single, scalable system.

Q8. How can yTrade benefit my business?

yTrade helps businesses:

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Q9. What features does yTrade offer?

yTrade provides practical, trade-focused tools including:

• Global shipment search by HS code, product, company name, port, or country
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