Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil HS151329 Export Data 2025 September Overview

Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS 151329) 2025 September Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia's Palm Kernel Oil (HS Code 151329) exports in September 2025 were dominated by the UNITED STATES, which accounted for 31.99% of total export value, reflecting high geographic concentration risk. The market shows uniform bulk pricing, with the US and China forming the core demand cluster, while the Netherlands serves as a European hub. This analysis, covering September 2025, is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS 151329) 2025 September Export Background

Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS Code 151329) is a refined vegetable oil derived from palm kernels, used in food processing, cosmetics, and biofuels due to its high stability and versatility. Global demand remains steady, driven by industries needing sustainable alternatives to traditional oils. In 2025, Indonesia's export policies, including levy hikes under Ministry of Finance Regulation No. 30/2025 [FAS USDA], have reshaped trade dynamics, impacting competitiveness. As the world's top palm oil producer, Indonesia plays a pivotal role in HS Code 151329 exports, balancing domestic biodiesel mandates with international market demands. September 2025 data will reflect these adjustments.

Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS 151329) 2025 September Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

In September 2025, Indonesia's Palm Kernel Oil exports under HS Code 151329 recorded a value of $161.82 million and a volume of 81.20 million kg, marking a sharp contraction from previous months.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The month-over-month decline from August—where value dropped 55% and volume fell 57%—signals a dramatic shift, contrary to the steady export patterns typical for palm kernel oil due to its role in consistent industrial and food processing demand. This abrupt decrease suggests a potential inventory correction or demand pause, possibly influenced by anticipatory behaviors ahead of policy adjustments, rather than inherent seasonal cycles.

External Context and Outlook

This volatility is directly tied to Indonesia's export duty increases for palm products, notably the temporary hike in July 2025 reported by [globaltradealert.org], which likely spurred earlier shipment surges before the measures took full effect. With ongoing policy unpredictability, exports under HS Code 151329 may face continued instability through late 2025.

Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS 151329) 2025 September Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In September 2025, the Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil HS Code 151329 export market is highly concentrated, with sub-code 15132995 dominating at 69% of shipments, 67% of value, and 67% of weight, reflecting its role as the primary refined palm kernel oil product at 2.00 USD/kg. This sub-code handles the bulk of exports without crude processing, indicating a specialized focus on standardized, refined oils for mass markets. No extreme price anomalies are present in the data, allowing for a clear analysis of the market structure.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The other sub-codes, 15132991 and 15132994, show minor variations with unit prices of 2.05 USD/kg and 1.87 USD/kg respectively, suggesting differences in refinement grade or quality within the same value-add stage of non-crude, refined oils. This structure points to a trade in fungible bulk commodities, where products are largely interchangeable and priced closely to global benchmarks, rather than highly differentiated manufactured goods.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

The bulk commodity nature limits pricing power for exporters, tying returns to volume and efficiency rather than product differentiation. Recent policy changes, such as increased export levies [USDA], could squeeze margins further, emphasizing the need for cost management and market diversification in the Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil HS Code 151329 export strategy for 2025 September.

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Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS 151329) 2025 September Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

In September 2025, Indonesia's Palm Kernel Oil HS Code 151329 exports were highly concentrated, with the UNITED STATES as the dominant importer, accounting for 31.99% of the total export value. The close match between value ratio (31.99%) and weight ratio (31.39%) indicates uniform pricing, typical for bulk commodity exports like palm kernel oil.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The top importers form two main clusters: first, the UNITED STATES and CHINA MAINLAND, both with high volume and value shares, driven by strong demand from their large food processing sectors. Second, NETHERLANDS, RUSSIA, and BRAZIL, with moderate shares, where Netherlands acts as a European distribution hub, while Russia and Brazil serve regional markets or have domestic industrial needs.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

For Indonesian exporters, the heavy reliance on a few markets like the US and China calls for diversification to mitigate risks. Recent export levy hikes in 2025, as reported by [USDA], could affect competitiveness, so adapting to policy changes and exploring emerging markets is crucial for maintaining export growth.

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Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS 151329) 2025 September Export: Action Plan for Palm Kernel Oil Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil Export 2025 September under HS Code 151329 operates as a bulk commodity market. Price is driven by global benchmarks and Indonesian export levies, not product differentiation. The supply chain relies on high-volume shipments to concentrated buyers in key markets like the US and China. This creates vulnerability to policy shifts and demand shocks in a few countries.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Palm Kernel Oil Market Execution

• Use HS Code 151329 sub-code data to track real-time price benchmarks against export levies, ensuring competitive pricing and protecting margins.
• Analyze buyer transaction frequency to identify contract renewal cycles for dominant clients, securing long-term volume commitments and stable revenue.
• Map import patterns of secondary markets like Russia and Brazil using trade data, targeting them during peak demand to diversify away from over-reliance on the US and China.
• Monitor USDA and Indonesian policy alerts for levy changes, adjusting shipment schedules to minimize cost impacts and maintain supply chain fluidity.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil Export 2025 September?

The sharp 55% drop in value and 57% decline in volume from August 2025 reflects a demand pause, likely due to anticipatory buyer behavior ahead of Indonesia's export duty hikes.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil Export 2025 September?

The UNITED STATES (31.99% of export value) and CHINA MAINLAND dominate, followed by NETHERLANDS, RUSSIA, and BRAZIL as secondary hubs.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil Export 2025 September partner countries?

Minor price variations (1.87–2.05 USD/kg) stem from refinement grades in sub-codes like 15132994 (lower grade) and 15132991 (premium), not geographic factors.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Palm Kernel Oil export market?

Prioritize relationships with high-value buyers (88.89% of revenue) while diversifying beyond the US and China to mitigate policy and concentration risks.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Bulk buyers benefit from stable, uniform pricing but face supply volatility from Indonesia’s export policy shifts, necessitating contingency stockpiling.

Q6. How is Palm Kernel Oil typically used in this trade flow?

It serves as a standardized, refined commodity for mass-market food processing and industrial applications, traded primarily in bulk.