Indonesia Copper Ores HS260300 Export Data 2025 Q3 Overview
Indonesia Copper Ores (HS 260300) 2025 Q3 Export: Key Takeaways
Indonesia’s Copper Ores exports (HS Code 260300) in Q3 2025 reveal a mid-grade, bulk commodity product with pricing tightly linked to weight, dominated by China Mainland at 66% of value—highlighting extreme buyer concentration and supply chain risk. Secondary markets like Japan and India absorb 28%, while Indonesia’s shifting export policies demand long-term contracts or alternative sourcing. This analysis, covering 2025 Q3, is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database.
Indonesia Copper Ores (HS 260300) 2025 Q3 Export Background
Indonesia’s Copper Ores (HS Code 260300: Copper ores and concentrates) are critical for global electronics, construction, and renewable energy sectors due to stable demand. In Q3 2025, the country adjusted export benchmark prices (HPE) for copper under Regulation No. 1765 (August 2025) [Global Trade Alert], reinforcing its role as a key supplier amid an ongoing export ban on concentrates to boost domestic processing [Indonesia Miner]. These moves highlight Indonesia’s strategic control over Copper Ores Export 2025 flows.
Indonesia Copper Ores (HS 260300) 2025 Q3 Export: Trend Summary
Key Observations
In Q3 2025, Indonesia's exports of Copper Ores under HS Code 260300 reached a total value of approximately 1.76 billion USD and a volume of 544.56 million kg. This performance reflects significant monthly fluctuations, with August showing the highest export values, while July and September were comparatively lower.
Price and Volume Dynamics
Quarter-over-quarter, the value of Indonesia Copper Ores exports decreased by about 13% from Q2 to Q3 2025, while volume dropped by roughly 8%. This decline is atypical for copper, which often sees steady demand from global industrial and construction cycles. The sharp spike in August exports, followed by a drop in September, suggests market adjustments rather than seasonal patterns. The volatility aligns with temporary policy measures affecting export flows, indicating that internal regulatory shifts are overriding typical industry dynamics for this period.
External Context and Outlook
The observed trends are directly influenced by Indonesia's regulatory environment, including a copper concentrate export ban effective since January 1, 2025, and repeated temporary adjustments to export benchmark prices in July and August [Global Trade Alert]. These policies, aimed at promoting domestic processing, created uncertainty and rush behaviors, such as the August surge ahead of price changes (Global Trade Alert). Moving forward, continued policy vigilance will likely keep Indonesia Copper Ores HS Code 260300 Export 2025 Q3 patterns unstable, with global copper prices and demand from key markets like China shaping the outlook.
Indonesia Copper Ores (HS 260300) 2025 Q3 Export: HS Code Breakdown
Product Specialization and Concentration
Indonesia's export of Copper Ores under HS Code 260300 in 2025 Q3 is fully specialized in a single product, Copper ores and concentrates, which accounts for all export value and weight. The unit price is 3.23 USD per kilogram, consistent with typical bulk commodity pricing for this category.
Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis
With only one sub-code present, the export structure is uniform, consisting entirely of raw copper ores and concentrates. This indicates a trade in fungible bulk commodities, where products are standardized and likely priced based on global market indices rather than differentiated features.
Strategic Implication and Pricing Power
For Indonesia Copper Ores HS Code 260300 Export in 2025 Q3, the homogeneous nature limits inherent pricing power, tying it to commodity cycles. However, government interventions, such as temporary export benchmark price adjustments [Global Trade Alert] and an export ban on concentrates, aim to enhance value capture domestically. Market players should focus on compliance with these regulatory changes and monitor index-linked pricing shifts.
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Indonesia Copper Ores (HS 260300) 2025 Q3 Export: Market Concentration
Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role
In Q3 2025, Indonesia's export of Copper Ores under HS Code 260300 is heavily concentrated, with China Mainland as the dominant buyer, accounting for 66.31% of export value and 65.66% of weight. The close match between value and weight ratios points to a uniform, mid-grade product typical for bulk commodity ores, where pricing aligns closely with mass.
Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes
The export partners form three clear clusters: China Mainland alone takes most shipments, driven by its large smelting capacity and geographic nearness. Japan and India together cover around 28% of value, acting as stable secondary markets likely for similar ore grades. Smaller importers like China Taiwan, South Korea, and Germany have minimal shares, possibly due to lower demand or focus on higher-value processed metals.
Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications
Buyers face supply risks from Indonesia's active export policies, including frequent price adjustments [Global Trade Alert] and a concentrate export ban since early 2025 (Indonesia Miner). To avoid disruption, importers should secure long-term contracts or explore alternative sources like Australia or Africa for copper ores.
| Country | Value | Quantity | Frequency | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHINA MAINLAND | 1.17B | 357.54K | 32.00 | 357.54M |
| JAPAN | 309.42M | 99.00K | 9.00 | 99.00M |
| INDIA | 177.00M | 55.00K | 5.00 | 55.00M |
| CHINA TAIWAN | 36.99M | 11.00K | 1.00 | 11.00M |
| SOUTH KOREA | 34.70M | 11.00K | 1.00 | 11.00M |
| GERMANY | ****** | ****** | ****** | ****** |
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Indonesia Copper Ores (HS 260300) 2025 Q3 Export: Action Plan for Copper Ores Market Expansion
Strategic Supply Chain Overview
The Indonesia Copper Ores Export 2025 Q3 under HS Code 260300 operates as a pure commodity market. Price is driven by global copper index benchmarks and Indonesian government policy shifts, including export bans and price adjustments. The supply chain implications are high risk. Exporters rely entirely on a few large buyers, like PT Freeport Indonesia, and one dominant market, China. This creates vulnerability to demand changes or regulatory disruptions.
Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Copper Ores Market Execution
- Monitor buyer purchase frequency data to anticipate order cycles. This prevents inventory overstock and aligns production with buyer timing.
- Track real-time regulatory alerts from sources like Global Trade Alert. This allows quick response to Indonesian policy changes affecting HS Code 260300.
- Use geographic trade data to identify alternative buyers beyond China. This reduces dependency risk and diversifies market exposure.
- Analyze shipment weight and value consistency to verify grade quality. This ensures compliance with contract specs and avoids pricing disputes.
Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Copper Ores Export Data
Frequently Asked Questions
Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Copper Ores Export 2025 Q3?
The decline in export value and volume (-13% and -8% QoQ) is driven by Indonesia’s regulatory shifts, including a copper concentrate export ban and frequent benchmark price adjustments, which disrupted typical demand cycles.
Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Copper Ores Export 2025 Q3?
China Mainland dominates with 66.31% of export value, followed by Japan and India (combined ~28%). Smaller shares go to China Taiwan, South Korea, and Germany.
Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Copper Ores Export 2025 Q3 partner countries?
The uniform unit price (3.23 USD/kg) reflects standardized bulk commodity pricing for raw copper ores and concentrates, with no grade differentiation.
Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Copper Ores export market?
Exporters must prioritize long-term contracts with dominant buyers like PT. Freeport Indonesia and monitor policy risks, given the market’s reliance on a single buyer cluster.
Q5. What does this Indonesia Copper Ores export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?
Buyers face supply risks due to Indonesia’s export restrictions; diversifying sources (e.g., Australia, Africa) or securing fixed-term agreements is critical to mitigate disruptions.
Q6. How is Copper Ores typically used in this trade flow?
Exported copper ores are raw materials for smelting, primarily feeding industrial demand in construction, electronics, and infrastructure sectors.
Detailed Monthly Report
Indonesia HS260300 Export Snapshot 2025 JUL
Indonesia Copper Ores HS260300 Export Data 2025 Q2 Overview
Indonesia Copper Ores (HS Code 260300) Export in 2025 Q2 relies 65% on China, posing supply chain risks amid restrictions, per yTrade data. Diversification is urgent.
Indonesia Copper Ores HS260300 Export Data 2025 September Overview
Indonesia Copper Ores (HS Code 260300) Export in September 2025 saw China dominate 57.8% of trade, with secondary Asian markets, per yTrade Customs data.
