Indonesia Copper Ores HS260300 Export Data 2025 Q2 Overview

Indonesia Copper Ores (HS Code 260300) Export in 2025 Q2 relies 65% on China, posing supply chain risks amid restrictions, per yTrade data. Diversification is urgent.

Indonesia Copper Ores (HS 260300) 2025 Q2 Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia's Copper Ores (HS Code 260300) Export in 2025 Q2 shows heavy reliance on China, which accounts for 65% of shipments, creating significant supply chain risk amid looming export restrictions. The market remains stable with uniform pricing, but China's dominance leaves little room for diversification. This analysis, based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database, highlights the urgent need for strategic shifts to mitigate dependency on a single buyer.

Indonesia Copper Ores (HS 260300) 2025 Q2 Export Background

Indonesia Copper Ores (HS Code 260300: copper ores and concentrates) are critical for global electronics, construction, and renewable energy industries, driving steady demand. In 2025 Q2, Indonesia tightened export controls, banning raw copper concentrate shipments to boost domestic processing [Indonesia Miner] while adjusting benchmark prices to manage trade flows [Global Trade Alert]. As a top global copper producer, Indonesia’s export policies directly impact supply chains, making its 2025 moves pivotal for buyers and processors.

Indonesia Copper Ores (HS 260300) 2025 Q2 Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

In Q2 2025, Indonesia's exports of Copper Ores under HS Code 260300 surged to approximately 2.02 billion USD in value and 593.24 million kg in volume, marking a robust recovery from the near-zero levels in Q1. This performance highlights a significant quarter-on-quarter expansion driven by policy-driven export resumptions.

Price and Volume Dynamics

Quarter-on-quarter, the value of Indonesia Copper Ores exports increased by over 250% from Q1's 572.93 million USD, while volume rose by nearly 270% from 161.02 million kg. The slight decrease in average price from 3.56 to 3.40 USD/kg suggests that volume growth, rather than price gains, fueled the uptick. This pattern aligns with typical mining stock release cycles, where accumulated inventories are exported following policy clarity, overcoming initial disruptions from the January 2025 export ban.

External Context and Outlook

The resurgence in Q2 exports can be directly attributed to Indonesia's strategic policy adjustments under the copper concentrate export ban [Indonesia Miner], which included conditional permits or temporary measures to clear stocks. Looking ahead, further regulatory tweaks, such as the import rule easing for key commodities in June 2025 (China Briefing), may continue to influence trade flows, though the focus remains on boosting domestic processing value.

Indonesia Copper Ores (HS 260300) 2025 Q2 Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

For Indonesia's Copper Ores HS Code 260300 Export in 2025 Q2, the market is entirely dominated by a single product, Copper ores and concentrates, which accounts for 100% of both value and weight. With a unit price of 3.40 USD per kilogram, this concentration confirms a highly specialized trade in raw, bulk commodities without any sub-variants or anomalies.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The absence of multiple sub-codes under HS Code 260300 indicates a uniform product structure focused solely on raw copper ores and concentrates. This simplicity points to a trade in fungible bulk commodities, where products are standardized and typically priced against global market indices rather than differentiated by quality or processing stage.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

Indonesia's export strategy for Copper Ores in 2025 Q2 is influenced by policies aimed at boosting domestic processing, such as export bans and temporary price adjustments [Global Trade Alert]. This reduces pricing power for raw exports, pushing players toward value-added activities to maintain competitiveness in the global market.

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Indonesia Copper Ores (HS 260300) 2025 Q2 Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

In 2025 Q2, Indonesia's export of Copper Ores HS Code 260300 is heavily concentrated, with CHINA MAINLAND accounting for 64.98% of the value and 64.75% of the weight, showing a slight value premium that suggests consistent product grade or stable pricing in this commodity trade. The minimal disparity between value and weight ratios indicates uniform unit prices around similar levels, reinforcing China's role as the primary market for raw material exports during this period.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The partner countries form clear clusters: China alone dominates as the main destination, while Japan and South Korea represent a secondary cluster with shared industrial demand for copper in manufacturing, and India and Germany form a smaller, diverse group likely driven by specific smelting needs or emerging trade ties. This pattern stems from geographic proximity and established supply chains, where major importers like China, Japan, and South Korea have strong smelting capacities that rely on steady ore inflows.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

For market players, Indonesia's geographic focus on China heightens supply chain risks, especially with recent export policy shifts like the copper concentrate ban set for 2025 [Indonesia Miner] and temporary benchmark price adjustments [Global Trade Alert]. Companies should prioritize diversifying sources or investing in domestic processing to mitigate dependency on a single market and adapt to regulatory changes affecting Indonesia Copper Ores HS Code 260300 Export in 2025 Q2.

CountryValueQuantityFrequencyWeight
CHINA MAINLAND1.31B384.12K34.00384.12M
JAPAN331.85M99.00K9.0099.00M
SOUTH KOREA182.77M55.00K5.0055.00M
INDIA115.49M33.11K3.0033.11M
GERMANY77.13M22.00K2.0022.00M
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Indonesia Copper Ores (HS 260300) 2025 Q2 Export: Action Plan for Copper Ores Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia's Copper Ores Export 2025 Q2 under HS Code 260300 is a pure commodity trade. Price is driven by global copper indices and Indonesian policy shifts, like export bans and temporary price adjustments. The market relies entirely on raw, bulk ores with no product differentiation. Supply chains face high concentration risk, with China dominating as the primary buyer and a few large, frequent buyers controlling most volume. This creates vulnerability to regulatory changes and market shocks.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Copper Ores Market Execution

  • Monitor real-time shipment data to track buyer frequency patterns. This helps anticipate demand shifts and avoid supply disruptions with key clients.
  • Diversify export destinations using trade flow analytics. Reducing reliance on China mitigates risk from sudden policy changes or geopolitical tensions.
  • Analyze unit price trends against global copper benchmarks. Aligning pricing with indices ensures competitiveness and protects margin under volatile conditions.
  • Secure long-term contracts with high-volume frequent buyers. Locking in stable relationships guards against revenue volatility and ensures consistent cash flow.
  • Invest in domestic processing capabilities ahead of the 2025 export ban. Moving up the value chain future-proofs operations against raw material export restrictions.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Copper Ores Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Copper Ores Export 2025 Q2?

The surge in Q2 exports to 2.02 billion USD (up 250% from Q1) stems from policy-driven stock releases after Indonesia's temporary easing of its copper concentrate export ban, prioritizing volume over price gains (3.40 USD/kg, down from 3.56 USD/kg).

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Copper Ores Export 2025 Q2?

China dominates with 64.98% of export value, followed by Japan and South Korea as secondary markets, reflecting established smelting supply chains and industrial demand for raw copper ores.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Copper Ores Export 2025 Q2 partner countries?

Unit prices remain uniform (3.40 USD/kg) as HS Code 260300 trades solely as a standardized bulk commodity (copper ores/concentrates), with no quality or processing-stage variations.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Copper Ores export market?

Exporters must secure long-term contracts with high-volume frequent buyers (71.27% of value) while diversifying beyond China to mitigate risks from regulatory shifts like the 2025 export ban.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Copper Ores export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers face reliance on Indonesia’s policy volatility but benefit from stable bulk pricing; Chinese importers should anticipate supply disruptions, while smaller markets like India may gain negotiating leverage.

Q6. How is Copper Ores typically used in this trade flow?

Exported copper ores and concentrates are raw materials for smelting into refined copper, primarily feeding manufacturing and infrastructure sectors in industrial partner countries.

Detailed Monthly Report

Indonesia HS260300 Export Snapshot 2025 APR

Indonesia HS260300 Export Snapshot 2025 MAY

Indonesia HS260300 Export Snapshot 2025 JUN

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