Indonesia Copper Ore HS2603 Export Data 2025 June Overview

Indonesia Copper Ore (HS 2603) 2025 June Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia’s June 2025 Copper Ore exports (HS Code 2603) reveal extreme reliance on China, which absorbed 66.18% of shipments, highlighting severe supply chain risk for this uniformly priced bulk commodity. Regional buyers like Japan and South Korea form a tight cluster, while niche markets like Germany suggest rare, high-value samples. This analysis, covering June 2025, is based on verified Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Copper Ore (HS 2603) 2025 June Export Background

Indonesia’s copper ore exports (HS Code 2603: copper ores and concentrates) fuel global industries like electronics and construction due to copper’s essential role in wiring and renewable energy. In 2025, Indonesia’s shifting policies—like the March 2025 export tax hike to 7.5% [Global Trade Alert] and October’s 480,000-ton quota for Amman Mineral [Discovery Alert]—highlight its strategic role as a top supplier amid tightening global demand.

Indonesia Copper Ore (HS 2603) 2025 June Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

Indonesia's Copper Ore Export under HS Code 2603 saw a notable shift in June 2025, with the unit price dropping to 3.30 USD/kg—the lowest in the year—while export volume and value increased sequentially from May, indicating heightened activity amid price pressure.

Price and Volume Dynamics

Comparing monthly trends, June's unit price fell by 4.6% from May's 3.46 USD/kg, yet volume rose by 20.7% to 198.12 million kg, and value increased by 15.1% to 654.05 million USD. This volatility aligns with typical copper industry cycles, where policy uncertainty often triggers stock liquidations or rushed exports before restrictions tighten, explaining the price dip despite higher volumes. Sequential analysis shows Q2 2025 averaged lower prices than Q1, reflecting market adjustments to impending regulatory changes.

External Context and Outlook

The observed trends are directly influenced by Indonesia's evolving export policies; a March 2025 regulation removed the copper concentrate ban but imposed a 7.5% export tax effective September 2025 [Global Trade Alert], prompting exporters to accelerate shipments before higher costs hit. This policy shift, aimed at boosting domestic processing, suggests continued volatility for Indonesia Copper Ore Export, with potential volume declines post-September as taxes take effect (Global Trade Alert).

Indonesia Copper Ore (HS 2603) 2025 June Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

Indonesia's copper ore export under HS Code 2603 for June 2025 is entirely concentrated in a single product: copper ores and concentrates (HS Code 26030000). This product accounts for 100% of the export value, which reached $654 million, and all 198.12 million kilograms of weight shipped. The unit price is $3.30 per kilogram, confirming its role as a bulk raw material.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The export structure consists solely of raw copper ores and concentrates, indicating a focus on the earliest stage of the mineral value chain. This product form is a standardized bulk commodity, with pricing typically linked to global metal indices and subject to market demand rather than product differentiation. The absence of processed or refined copper products within this code confirms Indonesia's role as a supplier of primary mineral resources [Indonesia Business Post].

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

As a pure commodity export, Indonesia's copper ore shipments have limited pricing power and are highly exposed to international market fluctuations and policy shifts. The country's move to restrict raw concentrate exports starting in 2025, as noted (Indonesia Business Post), aims to capture more value domestically through processing. Exporters must align with evolving regulations and invest in downstream capacity to reduce reliance on raw material sales.

Check Detailed HS 2603 Breakdown

Indonesia Copper Ore (HS 2603) 2025 June Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Indonesia's June 2025 Copper Ore exports (HS Code 2603) show heavy reliance on China, which took 66.18% of the total weight. The nearly identical value and weight ratios for all major buyers confirm this is a uniformly priced bulk commodity, not a processed good.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

Two clear buying groups emerge. The first is China, Japan, and South Korea, which together account for over 90% of all shipments, driven by their massive regional smelting and manufacturing needs. The second, smaller cluster includes India and Germany; Germany's almost non-existent quantity but high value per unit suggests a tiny, specialized shipment of a rare sample or ore type for analysis, not bulk trade.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

The extreme geographic concentration creates major supply chain risk for both Indonesian miners and Asian buyers. Recent policy shifts, including an export ban being replaced with a 7.5% tax and new quotas [Indonesia Business Post], mean buyers must secure long-term contracts and miners must accelerate plans for domestic refining to comply with Indonesia's downstreaming goals and maintain market access (Indonesia Business Post).

Get Complete Partner Countries Profile

Indonesia Copper Ore (HS 2603) 2025 June Export: Buyer Cluster

Buyer Market Concentration and Dominance

The Indonesia Copper Ore Export for 2025 June shows a highly concentrated buyer market across four segments, with one group dominating overwhelmingly. Buyers who make large, frequent purchases account for 88.71% of the total export value under HS Code 2603, led by entities like PT. FREEPORT INDONESIA. This indicates a market where a few key players drive most of the trade through consistent, high-volume transactions.

Strategic Buyer Clusters and Trade Role

The other buyer segments play minimal roles in this market. There are no buyers making large but infrequent purchases or small but frequent purchases, suggesting that Copper Ore, as a bulk commodity, attracts primarily steady, high-volume engagements. The small segment of buyers with lower value and lower frequency transactions, such as FREEPORT INDONESIA in a different capacity, represents occasional or smaller-scale participants, possibly due to regulatory or operational constraints.

Sales Strategy and Vulnerability

For exporters in Indonesia, the strategy should focus on nurturing relationships with dominant buyers to secure stable revenue, but be aware of policy risks. The export market faces vulnerability from shifting regulations, such as the confirmed ban on copper concentrate exports starting 2025 [Indonesia Business Post], though temporary permits may offer opportunities (Indonesia Business Post). Sales should prioritize direct, high-volume contracts to mitigate uncertainty.

Check Full Copper Ore Buyer lists

Indonesia Copper Ore (HS 2603) 2025 June Export: Action Plan for Copper Ore Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Copper Ore Export 2025 June under HS Code 2603 is a pure commodity trade. Price is set by global copper indices and Asian smelter demand. It has no pricing power. The supply chain faces high risk from policy shifts. Indonesia now taxes exports at 7.5% instead of a full ban. This aims to force domestic refining. Heavy reliance on China and a few large buyers creates major vulnerability. Supply security for Asian partners is now uncertain.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Copper Ore Market Execution

• Negotiate long-term contracts with dominant buyers like PT. FREEPORT INDONESIA. This secures stable revenue despite market volatility.
• Monitor real-time policy updates from Indonesian ministries. This allows quick adaptation to new tax rules or quota changes.
• Accelerate investment in domestic smelting and refining capacity. This aligns with national downstreaming goals and protects future market access.
• Use trade data to identify and engage potential new buyers in other regions. This reduces over-reliance on the concentrated China-Japan-Korea market.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Copper Ore Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Copper Ore Export 2025 June?

The unit price dropped to $3.30/kg in June 2025, the lowest in the year, while export volume surged 20.7% as exporters rushed shipments ahead of a 7.5% tax effective September 2025. This reflects market adjustments to Indonesia’s policy shift from a ban to taxed exports to boost domestic processing.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Copper Ore Export 2025 June?

China dominates with 66.18% of total weight, followed by Japan and South Korea, which together account for over 90% of shipments. A tiny, specialized shipment to Germany suggests niche demand for non-bulk ore.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Copper Ore Export 2025 June partner countries?

Price differences stem from the product’s uniformity as a bulk commodity (HS Code 26030000), priced at $3.30/kg globally. Germany’s outlier high value per unit likely reflects a rare sample, not standard trade.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Copper Ore export market?

Exporters must prioritize high-volume contracts with dominant buyers like PT. FREEPORT INDONESIA (88.71% of trade) while accelerating plans for domestic refining to comply with Indonesia’s downstreaming policy.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Copper Ore export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Asian buyers face supply chain risks due to heavy reliance on Indonesian ore; securing long-term contracts is critical amid policy volatility. Germany’s minimal volume suggests limited opportunities for non-bulk buyers.

Q6. How is Copper Ore typically used in this trade flow?

The exported copper ores and concentrates are raw materials for smelting and refining, primarily feeding industrial manufacturing in China, Japan, and South Korea.

Q7. What is yTrade?

yTrade is a global trade data platform that provides SaaS and API access to provide accurate, structured, and searchable import-export trade data for international business decisions. It enables users to access verified shipment records, analyse buyer and supplier activity, review company trade overviews, assess compliance risks, and monitor real market demand — all from a single, scalable system.

Q8. How can yTrade benefit my business?

yTrade helps businesses:

• Identify active and verified buyers through global import data
• Discover reliable suppliers with real shipment history
• Monitor competitor previous trade activity
• Reduce sourcing and compliance risk with worldwide export data
• Support data-driven sales, procurement, and market expansion decisions
• Save time by replacing manual research with structured trade data analysis

Q9. What features does yTrade offer?

yTrade provides practical, trade-focused tools including:

• Global shipment search by HS code, product, company name, port, or country
• Detailed company trade profiles with ownership and relationship mapping
• Buyer and supplier discovery with real transaction trade records
• Basic compliance with background checks and sanctions risk screening
• Competitor's shipment tracking and selling/buying behaviour analysis
• Trade Trends to identify market demand and trade flow monitoring
• Big-Data Search engine with percised filters to generate accurate data reports
• Global Trade Data API access for Internal Softwares like CRM, ERP, and SaaS integration All data is structured, verified, and cleaned to ensure consistency and reliability.