Indonesia Copper Ore HS2603 Export Data 2025 July Overview

Indonesia Copper Ore (HS 2603) 2025 July Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia's Copper Ore exports under HS Code 2603 in July 2025 were dominated by China, which absorbed 60% of the volume and 61% of the value, reflecting its critical role as the primary market. The export flow remained highly concentrated, with China, Japan, Taiwan, and Germany accounting for over 99% of trade, signaling significant buyer risk. This analysis, covering July 2025, is based on verified Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Copper Ore (HS 2603) 2025 July Export Background

Indonesia's copper ore (HS Code 2603: Copper ores and concentrates) is a critical raw material for electronics, construction, and renewable energy, driving steady global demand. As of July 2025, the country maintains a ban on copper concentrate exports to boost domestic processing, though exceptions like Amman Mineral's 480,000-ton quota [Discovery Alert] show flexibility. Indonesia's role as a top copper producer makes its export policies pivotal for global supply chains, balancing industrial goals with operational realities for miners like Freeport [Mining.com].

Indonesia Copper Ore (HS 2603) 2025 July Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

Indonesia's Copper Ore exports under HS Code 2603 in July 2025 plummeted to their lowest levels since the start of the year, with volume crashing by approximately 44.5% and value dropping by 46.3% compared to June, while unit prices continued a downward trend to $3.19/kg.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The sequential decline from June to July marks a stark contrast to the relatively stable volumes seen in prior months, such as April's peak of 231.01 million kg. Typically, copper ore exports might show minor fluctuations based on mining output cycles or seasonal demand in construction and manufacturing, but the sharp July drop diverges from these patterns, suggesting external policy impacts are overriding normal industry rhythms. The overall trend since March shows a gradual price erosion from $3.56/kg, compounded by volatile volumes, indicating market instability rather than cyclical behavior.

External Context and Outlook

This export collapse aligns directly with Indonesia's copper concentrate export ban effective from January 2025 [Indonesia Business Post], aimed at boosting domestic processing. While exceptions like Amman Mineral's October 2025 quota (Indonesia Business Post) provided temporary relief, July's data reflects stricter enforcement or a gap in permit renewals. Looking ahead, Indonesia Copper Ore Export volumes under HS Code 2603 are likely to remain suppressed unless smelter capacities expand or policy exemptions are broadened, keeping market conditions tight.

Indonesia Copper Ore (HS 2603) 2025 July Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In July 2025, the Indonesia Copper Ore Export under HS Code 2603 is entirely concentrated on a single product: copper ores and concentrates (HS Code 26030000). This sub-code represents all export value and weight, with a unit price of 3.19 USD per kilogram, indicating no variation or anomalies in the product mix for this period.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The export consists solely of raw copper ores and concentrates, showing a homogeneous structure typical of fungible bulk commodities. Such products are commonly traded based on global price indices, with little differentiation in quality or value-add stages, reinforcing their commodity nature in international markets.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

With Indonesia's ban on copper concentrate exports effective from January 2025 [Indonesia Business Post], exporters face limited access and reduced pricing power. Strategic efforts may focus on domestic processing or securing government exceptions, as seen in quota allocations for specific miners, impacting overall trade dynamics for HS Code 2603.

Check Detailed HS 2603 Breakdown

Indonesia Copper Ore (HS 2603) 2025 July Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

In July 2025, Indonesia's copper ore exports under HS Code 2603 were highly concentrated, with CHINA MAINLAND as the dominant importer, accounting for 60% of the weight and 61.25% of the value. The slight disparity where value share exceeds weight share indicates a marginally higher unit price for CHINA's imports, around 3.26 USD/kg, suggesting possible better quality or processing in this commodity trade. This pattern highlights CHINA's crucial role in absorbing the bulk of Indonesia Copper Ore Export 2025 July.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The importers form two clear clusters: a major group including CHINA MAINLAND, JAPAN, CHINA TAIWAN, and GERMANY, which together handle over 99% of the weight and value, likely due to their strong industrial bases and proximity driving demand for raw materials. A minor cluster with the UNITED STATES and AUSTRALIA shows negligible shares, probably because these countries have domestic copper production or less reliance on Indonesian ore, resulting in minimal import activity.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

Given the Indonesian government's ban on copper concentrate exports effective January 2025 [Indonesia Business Post], supply chains face constraints, urging importers to secure stable contracts or explore alternative sources. Market players should prioritize negotiations for exceptions or invest in domestic processing partnerships to mitigate risks, as the policy aims to boost local refining but allows limited exports under specific approvals (Indonesia Business Post).

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Indonesia Copper Ore (HS 2603) 2025 July Export: Action Plan for Copper Ore Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

The Indonesia Copper Ore Export 2025 July under HS Code 2603 is a classic bulk commodity trade. Price is driven by global copper indices, ore grade quality, and Indonesian policy risk. The government's export ban on concentrates effective January 2025 forces reliance on limited exceptions. Supply chains face high concentration risk. One buyer (PT. FREEPORT INDONESIA) dominates purchases. One destination (CHINA MAINLAND) dominates imports. This creates vulnerability to demand shocks or policy changes. Indonesia's role is shifting from raw exporter to potential processing hub. But current trade remains locked in raw material exports under strict quotas.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Copper Ore Market Execution

• Monitor Indonesian government announcements for quota exceptions. Why: Policy shifts directly impact export legality and volume.
• Track PT. FREEPORT INDONESIA's purchase patterns using transaction frequency data. Why: Early signs of order changes signal market disruptions.
• Analyze China's monthly import data for copper ore under HS Code 2603. Why: Demand shifts in China dictate price and volume stability.
• Identify alternative buyers in Japan or Taiwan using trade partner data. Why: Diversification reduces over-reliance on one market.
• Use shipment data to verify ore grade and pricing for each export. Why: Quality consistency ensures compliance with buyer contracts and premium pricing.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Copper Ore Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Copper Ore Export 2025 July?

The sharp decline in volume (-44.5%) and value (-46.3%) in July 2025 stems from Indonesia's copper concentrate export ban, which disrupted normal trade flows. The policy aims to boost domestic processing, leaving limited exceptions for exporters.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Copper Ore Export 2025 July?

China dominates, absorbing 61.25% of export value and 60% of weight, followed by Japan, China Taiwan, and Germany, which collectively account for over 99% of trade.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Copper Ore Export 2025 July partner countries?

The slight price variation (e.g., China’s $3.26/kg vs. the average $3.19/kg) reflects uniform bulk-commodity pricing, with minor differences likely tied to logistics or quality adjustments.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Copper Ore export market?

Exporters must prioritize maintaining relationships with dominant buyers like PT. Freeport Indonesia, as the market relies entirely on a few high-value transactions under strict policy constraints.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Copper Ore export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers face supply chain risks due to Indonesia’s export ban and extreme market concentration, urging them to secure long-term contracts or explore alternative sources.

Q6. How is Copper Ore typically used in this trade flow?

Copper ores and concentrates (HS Code 26030000) are raw materials for smelting, primarily feeding industrial demand in manufacturing and construction sectors globally.