Indonesia Copper Cathodes HS740311 Export Data 2025 October Overview

Indonesia Copper Cathodes (HS 740311) 2025 October Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia's Copper Cathodes (HS Code 740311) exports in October 2025 are dominated by standardized, high-grade products, with China absorbing 38.2% of shipments—highlighting heavy reliance on a single market. The uniform unit price of ~10.5 USD/kg across key Asian buyers like Thailand and Malaysia confirms stable demand, though regional policy shifts (e.g., Indonesia’s 7.5% export tax hike) demand supply chain agility. This analysis, covering October 2025, leverages verified Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Copper Cathodes (HS 740311) 2025 October Export Background

Indonesia Copper Cathodes (HS Code 740311) are essential for global electronics, construction, and renewable energy sectors due to their high conductivity and purity. Recent regulatory shifts, including Permendag 8/2025 and MOT Regulation 9/2025, now allow exports under strict conditions, prioritizing domestic refining and retaining export proceeds in local banks [Permitindo]. As a major producer, Indonesia’s 2025 October export policies balance market access with downstream growth, reinforcing its role in global copper supply chains.

Indonesia Copper Cathodes (HS 740311) 2025 October Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

In October 2025, Indonesia's Copper Cathodes exports under HS Code 740311 reached 86.40 million USD in value and 8.21 million kg in volume, marking a partial recovery from the previous month's lows but remaining well below mid-year peaks.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The data shows a sharp decline from July's high of 232.54 million USD, with values dropping to 60.28 million USD in September before rising to 86.40 million USD in October. Month-over-month, this represents a 43% increase in value, yet quarter-over-quarter, Q4's start remains subdued compared to Q3's average. For copper, a base metal with relatively stable industrial demand, such volatility is atypical and points to external policy shocks rather than inherent market cycles, as typical stock replenishment or production adjustments would not explain the extreme swings.

External Context and Outlook

This instability is directly linked to Indonesia's recent regulatory changes, including a 7.5% export tax increase in March 2025 and requirements for exporters to retain 100% of proceeds in local banks for 12 months [Permitindo]. These policies, aimed at boosting domestic processing, disrupted flows initially but may now be stabilizing as exporters adapt, though continued uncertainty around compliance could keep volumes volatile into 2026 (Permitindo).

Indonesia Copper Cathodes (HS 740311) 2025 October Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In October 2025, Indonesia's export of HS Code 740311 is fully specialized in copper cathodes, with all trade value and volume concentrated on this single product. The unit price stands at 10.52 USD per kilogram, reflecting a uniform market without sub-code variations or price anomalies.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

This product is categorized as a refined, unwrought copper cathode, which is a standardized bulk commodity. Its trade is based on global price indices, indicating a fungible good with little differentiation in quality or value-add stages, typical of raw material exports.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

For Indonesia Copper Cathodes HS Code 740311 Export in 2025 October, pricing power is constrained by recent regulatory changes. [Permitindo] reports export restrictions and a new 7.5% tax, while (Permitindo) and other sources like [Orrick] highlight requirements to retain export proceeds domestically, forcing exporters to focus on compliance and cost management rather than premium pricing.

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Indonesia Copper Cathodes (HS 740311) 2025 October Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

In October 2025, Indonesia's export of Copper Cathodes HS Code 740311 is highly concentrated, with CHINA MAINLAND dominating at 38.22% of value and 38.24% of weight, indicating a uniform product grade as value and weight ratios align closely. This suggests China is the primary market for standardized copper cathodes, with unit prices around 10.5 USD/kg across key partners.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

Two main clusters emerge: first, China, Thailand, and Malaysia form a high-volume group with similar unit prices, likely due to their roles as major manufacturing hubs in Asia requiring raw materials. Second, Vietnam and China Taiwan show moderate shares, possibly driven by regional trade networks and industrial growth. Smaller players like India have minimal presence, reflecting lower demand or sourcing from alternatives.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

For Indonesia's copper cathode exports, the geographic focus on Asia means supply chains must adapt to policy changes, such as the 7.5% export tax increase [Global Trade Alert] and requirements to retain export proceeds in local banks [Orrick]. Exporters should prioritize cost management and diversify to mitigate reliance on a few markets.

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Indonesia Copper Cathodes (HS 740311) 2025 October Export: Action Plan for Copper Cathodes Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

The Indonesia Copper Cathodes Export 2025 October for HS Code 740311 operates as a bulk commodity market. Price is driven by global copper indices and recent domestic policies, including a 7.5% export tax and rules requiring export proceeds retention in local banks. Supply chains face high concentration risks: over 93% of value comes from a few large buyers, and China dominates as the top destination. This reliance on major clients and Asian markets exposes exporters to demand shifts and policy changes.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Copper Cathodes Market Execution

• Track buyer purchase frequency data to anticipate order cycles and optimize inventory levels, reducing storage costs and avoiding stockouts during peak demand.
• Analyze partner country import trends beyond current top markets like China, identifying new buyers in growing regions to diversify revenue sources and lower geographic risk.
• Monitor global copper price benchmarks daily to time export contracts effectively, securing better margins by aligning sales with favorable index movements.
• Automate compliance checks for export regulations using trade data platforms, ensuring adherence to tax and proceeds retention rules to avoid penalties and maintain market access.

Forward Outlook: Navigating Risks and Opportunities

Exporters of HS Code 740311 must prioritize cost management and regulatory agility. The concentrated buyer and geographic profile requires proactive risk mitigation. Leveraging real-time trade data will be essential to adapt to market and policy shifts, securing Indonesia's position in the global copper supply chain.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Copper Cathodes Export 2025 October?

The volatility in exports is primarily due to regulatory changes, including a 7.5% export tax hike and requirements to retain proceeds domestically, disrupting trade flows after mid-2025 peaks.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Copper Cathodes Export 2025 October?

China dominates with 38.2% of export value, followed by Thailand and Malaysia, forming a high-volume cluster for standardized copper cathodes.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Copper Cathodes Export 2025 October partner countries?

Unit prices are uniform (~10.5 USD/kg) as copper cathodes are a standardized bulk commodity traded on global indices, with no quality or grade variations.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Copper Cathodes export market?

Exporters must prioritize serving dominant large buyers (93.7% of value) while adapting to cost pressures from the export tax and proceeds retention rules.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Copper Cathodes export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers face stable pricing but must anticipate supply chain disruptions from Indonesia’s regulatory shifts, particularly in China and Southeast Asia.

Q6. How is Copper Cathodes typically used in this trade flow?

Copper cathodes are refined, unwrought raw materials used in manufacturing electrical components, construction, and industrial machinery.