Indonesia Coal HS2701 Export Data 2025 August Overview

Indonesia Coal (HS 2701) 2025 August Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia Coal Export 2025 August under HS Code 2701 reveals stark geographic concentration, with INDIA and CHINA MAINLAND dominating volume but demanding lower-grade coal, while JAPAN and SOUTH KOREA pay premiums for higher-quality shipments. The market faces volatility from Indonesia’s new HBA pricing mandate, squeezing margins in price-sensitive regions. Buyer risk is high, with heavy reliance on a few key markets. This analysis covers August 2025, using verified Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Coal (HS 2701) 2025 August Export Background

Indonesia’s coal exports (HS Code 2701: Coal; briquettes and similar solid fuels) power key industries like electricity and steel, maintaining steady global demand despite energy shifts. As of August 2025, Indonesia’s new HBA pricing policy [Titan Infrasejahtera] aims to stabilize prices, even as export volumes face a 20-30M ton decline [yTrade]. The world’s top thermal coal exporter, Indonesia balances domestic needs and global market pressures while preparing for potential export duties in 2026 [Mysteel].

Indonesia Coal (HS 2701) 2025 August Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

In August 2025, Indonesia's coal export volume surged to 36.42 billion units, a sharp 20% increase from July, while the unit price remained stable at 0.06 USD/kg, highlighting a focus on volume over value amid policy shifts.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The 2025 data for HS Code 2701 shows volatile monthly volumes, with a typical industrial pattern of coal exports often driven by contract cycles and global stock replenishment. The August volume spike contrasts with a June low of 27.77 billion units, indicating possible pre-policy stockpiling or shipping adjustments rather than sustained demand growth. Unit prices held firm throughout the year, suggesting market resilience despite volume fluctuations, with QoQ trends pointing to opportunistic export strategies.

External Context and Outlook

This volatility aligns with Indonesia's new HBA pricing policy implementation from March [Titan Infrasejahtera], which aimed to assert price control but faced delays, prompting exporters to accelerate shipments (Titan Infrasejahtera). With a projected annual export decline of 20-30 million tons (yTrade) and potential duties in 2026 (Mysteel), the Indonesia Coal Export market faces tightened margins and uncertain demand, particularly from key buyers like China and India.

Indonesia Coal (HS 2701) 2025 August Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In August 2025, Indonesia's coal export under HS Code 2701 is heavily concentrated in sub-code 27011900, described as "Coal; (other than anthracite and bituminous), whether or not pulverised but not agglomerated". This product holds a 75% value share and 83% weight share, with a unit price of USD 0.05 per kilogram, underscoring its role as a high-volume, low-cost bulk commodity. The analysis for August 2025 shows no extreme price anomalies, with all sub-codes trading within a narrow low-price range.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The non-dominant sub-codes fall into two clear categories based on coal grade: bituminous coal (27011290 and 27011210) and anthracite coal (27011100). Bituminous varieties have unit prices up to USD 0.10 per kilogram, while anthracite is priced at USD 0.08 per kilogram. This grade-based differentiation confirms that Indonesia's coal export for HS Code 2701 operates as a fungible bulk commodity market, where prices are inherently tied to global indices and quality specifications rather than value-added processing.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

For Indonesia Coal Export 2025 August, the bulk commodity nature of HS Code 2701 limits inherent pricing power, but policy interventions like the HBA reference price system [Titan Infrasejahtera] could bolster control. With export volumes projected to decline and potential duties on the horizon (Titan Infrasejahtera), players should prioritize cost efficiency and explore shifts toward higher-grade coal to mitigate margin pressures.

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Indonesia Coal (HS 2701) 2025 August Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

In August 2025, Indonesia's coal exports under HS Code 2701 show strong geographic concentration, with INDIA as the dominant importer by weight share at 23.38%, though CHINA MAINLAND follows closely at 22.58%. The value ratio for INDIA (17.28%) is lower than its weight ratio, indicating exports of lower-value, likely lower-grade coal, which aligns with high-volume, cost-sensitive energy demand in that market.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The import countries form two clear clusters: first, INDIA and CHINA MAINLAND, with high volume but lower value per ton, driven by their massive energy needs and preference for affordable coal. Second, JAPAN and SOUTH KOREA, with higher value ratios relative to weight, suggest imports of higher-grade coal, possibly due to stricter environmental standards or advanced industrial use. A third group, including PHILIPPINES and MALAYSIA, shows mixed patterns, reflecting regional energy diversification.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

For Indonesia Coal Export 2025 August, the concentration in price-sensitive markets like INDIA poses risks amid policy shifts; the new HBA pricing mandate and potential export duties [titaninfrasejahtera.com] may squeeze margins, urging a pivot towards higher-value partners like JAPAN to offset volume declines highlighted in reports (ytrade.com). Supply chains should prioritize quality differentiation and adapt to regulatory changes to maintain competitiveness.

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Indonesia Coal (HS 2701) 2025 August Export: Buyer Cluster

Buyer Market Concentration and Dominance

In August 2025, Indonesia's coal export market for HS Code 2701 shows strong concentration, with one group of buyers dominating over 80% of the export value. This segment consists of companies that make large, frequent purchases, driving the market. The overall buyer base is split into four segments, but this high-value, high-frequency group is the core, handling most of the volume and value. This concentration means that a few key buyers shape Indonesia's coal export dynamics for this period.

Strategic Buyer Clusters and Trade Role

The other buyer segments play specific roles. Buyers with high value but low frequency make occasional large purchases, likely for bulk needs or strategic reserves. Those with low value but high frequency are smaller, regular buyers, possibly serving local or niche markets with consistent demand. The low-value, low-frequency segment includes infrequent, small-scale purchasers, which might represent new market entrants or irregular orders. Each group supports the market in different ways, from stability to diversity.

Sales Strategy and Vulnerability

For Indonesian coal exporters, the focus should be on maintaining strong ties with the dominant high-value, high-frequency buyers to ensure steady revenue. However, reliance on this group poses risks if market conditions change, such as policy shifts or demand drops. Recent news indicates Indonesia has new export policies, like the HBA reference price [Titan Infrasejahtera], and potential export duties (Antara News), which could impact costs and strategies. Exporters should monitor these changes and consider diversifying buyer bases to reduce vulnerability. The sales model must adapt to high-frequency demands while preparing for policy-driven adjustments.

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Indonesia Coal (HS 2701) 2025 August Export: Action Plan for Coal Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Coal Export 2025 August for HS Code 2701 operates as a bulk commodity market. Price is driven by global coal indices and quality grade, not value-added processing. The market depends heavily on high-volume, low-cost exports to price-sensitive partners like India and China. Supply chain implications include vulnerability to policy shifts, such as the new HBA reference price system and potential export duties. Reliance on a few large buyers and concentrated geographic outlets increases risk if demand falls or regulations change.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Coal Market Execution

• Use HS Code 2701 sub-code data to track and promote higher-grade coal sales. This captures better margins from partners like Japan and South Korea, who pay more for quality.
• Analyze buyer frequency reports to secure contracts with high-value, regular clients. This ensures stable revenue and reduces reliance on sporadic purchasers.
• Monitor the HBA reference price system monthly to align export pricing with policy mandates. This avoids compliance risks and capitalizes on government-backed price floors.
• Diversify export destinations using trade flow analytics to target emerging markets in Southeast Asia. This mitigates overexposure to single-region demand drops.
• Optimize logistics for high-volume, low-cost shipments to India and China. This maintains competitiveness in bulk commodity trades while controlling operational expenses.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Coal Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Coal Export 2025 August?

The August 2025 surge in export volume (20% MoM) reflects pre-policy stockpiling amid Indonesia's new HBA pricing system, while stable unit prices indicate resilience despite volatility.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Coal Export 2025 August?

INDIA (23.4% weight share) and CHINA MAINLAND (22.6%) dominate as high-volume buyers, followed by JAPAN and SOUTH KOREA, which import higher-grade coal.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Coal Export 2025 August partner countries?

Price differences stem from coal grade variations: bulk low-grade coal (USD 0.05/kg) goes to INDIA/CHINA, while JAPAN/SOUTH KOREA pay up to USD 0.10/kg for bituminous or anthracite.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Coal export market?

Exporters must prioritize cost efficiency, nurture relationships with dominant high-frequency buyers (80% of value), and diversify toward higher-grade coal markets like Japan to offset policy risks.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Coal export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers in INDIA/CHINA benefit from stable low-cost supply, while JAPAN/SOUTH KOREA face premium pricing for quality coal, with potential disruptions from Indonesia’s pending export duties.

Q6. How is Coal typically used in this trade flow?

Coal (HS 2701) serves as a bulk commodity for energy generation, with lower grades fueling power plants and higher grades supporting industrial processes.

Q7. What is yTrade?

yTrade is a global trade data platform that provides SaaS and API access to provide accurate, structured, and searchable import-export trade data for international business decisions. It enables users to access verified shipment records, analyse buyer and supplier activity, review company trade overviews, assess compliance risks, and monitor real market demand — all from a single, scalable system.

Q8. How can yTrade benefit my business?

yTrade helps businesses:

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Q9. What features does yTrade offer?

yTrade provides practical, trade-focused tools including:

• Global shipment search by HS code, product, company name, port, or country
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