Indonesia Coal HS2701 Export Data 2025 April Overview

Indonesia Coal (HS 2701) 2025 April Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia Coal Export 2025 April (HS Code 2701) reveals a high-volume, lower-value trade dominated by India, which accounted for 34.64% of weight but just 29.50% of value, signaling bulk thermal coal demand. China and Malaysia followed as major volume buyers, while Japan stood out as the sole premium market for higher-grade coal. Buyer concentration remains high, with price-sensitive markets driving most transactions, and export volume declines expected in 2025. This analysis covers April 2025 and is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Coal (HS 2701) 2025 April Export Background

Indonesia's coal exports (HS Code 2701: Coal; briquettes and similar solid fuels) remain critical for power generation and industrial use, with steady global demand from key markets like India, China, and Japan. However, the Indonesia Coal Export 2025 April outlook shows challenges, including a projected 20-30M ton decline due to policy shifts like new export duties linked to global prices [Antara News]. As Asia's top thermal coal supplier, Indonesia balances domestic energy needs with export revenue, even as potential 2026 levies loom [Petromindo].

Indonesia Coal (HS 2701) 2025 April Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

April 2025 marked a continued downturn in Indonesia's coal export performance, with the unit price holding at a depressed level of 0.06 USD/kg and export value declining to 1.95 billion USD, reflecting persistent market softness and competitive pressures.

Price and Volume Dynamics

Month-over-month, April's export volume edged up slightly to 30.81 billion kg from 30.70 billion kg in March, but this was overshadowed by a 1% drop in value, indicating sustained price erosion. This trend aligns with typical post-winter demand easing in key markets like China and India, where coal stockpiles are often replenished earlier in the year, reducing urgency for imports. The sequential decline in value from January's 2.16 billion USD underscores how oversupply and muted seasonal uptake have compressed margins for Indonesia Coal Export under HS Code 2701.

External Context and Outlook

The observed price and volume pressures are directly influenced by policy shifts and global demand contraction. Indonesia's finalization of export duty formulas [Antara News] and signals of a potential 2026 levy (Petromindo) have added regulatory uncertainty, exacerbating the 20-30 million ton export decline projected for 2025 [ytrade.com]. With major buyers diversifying energy sources and domestic transition policies creating mixed signals (Ember), near-term outlook remains cautious, hinging on Asian demand stability and Indonesia's balancing of fiscal needs against market competitiveness.

Indonesia Coal (HS 2701) 2025 April Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In April 2025, Indonesia's coal export under HS Code 2701 is heavily concentrated in sub-code 27011900, which covers coal other than anthracite and bituminous, not agglomerated. This sub-code represents over 80% of the export value and 85% of the weight, with a unit price of 0.06 USD per kilogram, the lowest among the top codes, indicating a specialization in lower-grade coal.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The other sub-codes, 27011290 and 27011210, both describe bituminous coal not agglomerated, with unit prices of 0.08 and 0.10 USD per kilogram, showing a slight grade-based differentiation. All products are raw, bulk commodities, implying a fungible trade structure closely tied to global coal price indices rather than value-added processing.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

As a bulk commodity exporter, Indonesia faces limited pricing power, with prices driven by global demand fluctuations. [Antara News] reports new export duty formulas aimed at revenue stabilization, but potential levies in 2026 could further impact competitiveness. Strategic focus should remain on securing key markets like India and China to mitigate volume declines.

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Indonesia Coal (HS 2701) 2025 April Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Indonesia Coal Export 2025 April was heavily concentrated, with India as the dominant buyer, accounting for 34.64% of total weight but only 29.50% of total value. This value-weight disparity indicates India primarily purchased lower-grade, cheaper coal. China Mainland and Malaysia followed as major volume buyers, also showing lower value ratios relative to their weight shares, reinforcing a pattern of high-volume, lower-value commodity trade for HS Code 2701.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

Two clear clusters emerge: volume-focused buyers and value-focused buyers. India, China, Malaysia, Philippines, and Vietnam form the first group, all with weight shares exceeding their value shares, consistent with bulk thermal coal imports for power generation. Japan stands alone in the second cluster, with a value ratio (6.74%) significantly higher than its weight share (4.24%), indicating purchases of higher-calorific-value coal for specialized industrial use, likely commanding a premium price.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

Suppliers should expect continued high volume demand from price-sensitive markets like India, but must prepare for Indonesia's new export duty formula linked to global prices, which may affect cost structures [ytrade.com]. The confirmed 20-30 million ton export volume decline for 2025 means increased competition for market share (ytrade.com). Diversifying into higher-grade coal markets, like Japan, could help offset lower volumes and protect against potential future levies, as a coal export levy is planned for 2026 [Petromindo].

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Indonesia Coal (HS 2701) 2025 April Export: Buyer Cluster

Buyer Market Concentration and Dominance

In April 2025, Indonesia's coal export market under HS Code 2701 shows strong concentration, with one group of buyers driving most trade. Buyers who make large, frequent purchases dominate, accounting for 87.3% of total export value. This group also represents 72.5% of all transactions, indicating a market where regular, high-volume deals are the norm. The overall buyer structure for Indonesia Coal Export 2025 April is defined by four segments of buyers, with this dominant cluster setting the pace for high value and high frequency.

Strategic Buyer Clusters and Trade Role

The other buyer segments play smaller but distinct roles. Buyers with high value but low frequency contribute 7.0% of value, likely representing large industrial users or traders making occasional bulk purchases. Those with low value and high frequency add 2.0% of value, suggesting smaller, regular buyers like local distributors. The segment with low value and low frequency accounts for 3.7% of value, consisting of infrequent, small-scale buyers, possibly spot market participants or niche users.

Sales Strategy and Vulnerability

For Indonesian exporters, the focus should remain on securing relationships with dominant high-volume buyers to maintain revenue. However, over-reliance on this group poses a risk if global demand shifts or policies change, as seen with Indonesia's new export duties and potential levies in 2026 [Antaranews]. Diversifying into other clusters could mitigate vulnerability, especially with coal export volumes projected to decline (Antaranews). The sales model should prioritize contract stability with key buyers while exploring opportunities in emerging or stable smaller markets.

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Indonesia Coal (HS 2701) 2025 April Export: Action Plan for Coal Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Coal Export 2025 April under HS Code 2701 operates as a bulk commodity trade. Prices are driven by coal grade and global index fluctuations. Lower-grade thermal coal dominates volume. Key markets like India and China prioritize cost over quality. This creates high volume but low value per ton. Supply chain implications focus on supply security for power generation. Indonesia's role remains as a raw material processing hub. New export duties and potential levies add cost pressures. Over-reliance on a few high-volume buyers increases vulnerability to demand shifts.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Coal Market Execution

• Analyze buyer purchase frequency to lock in long-term contracts. This secures volume stability amid declining export quotas.
• Segment buyers by value-to-weight ratios to identify premium markets like Japan. This maximizes revenue per ton shipped.
• Monitor global coal price indices daily to time export shipments. This avoids selling during price dips due to new duty formulas.
• Diversify into higher-grade coal sub-codes under HS Code 2701. This reduces dependence on low-value thermal coal buyers.
• Use trade data to track competitor shipments to India and China. This helps anticipate market share shifts and adjust pricing tactics.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Coal Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Coal Export 2025 April?

A1. The export value declined to 1.95 billion USD despite a slight volume increase, reflecting sustained price erosion due to oversupply and muted seasonal demand in key markets like China and India. Regulatory uncertainty, including new export duties and a planned 2026 levy, exacerbates the downturn.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Coal Export 2025 April?

A2. India dominates with 34.64% of total weight, followed by China Mainland and Malaysia. Japan stands out as the only value-focused buyer, with a higher value-to-weight ratio indicating premium coal purchases.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Coal Export 2025 April partner countries?

A3. The price gap stems from grade differentiation: sub-code 27011900 (low-grade, 0.06 USD/kg) dominates bulk exports to India and China, while Japan buys higher-grade bituminous coal (0.08–0.10 USD/kg) under sub-codes 27011290/27011210.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Coal export market?

A4. Exporters must secure contracts with dominant high-volume buyers (87.3% of value) while diversifying into premium markets like Japan to offset volume declines and potential levy impacts. Over-reliance on India and China poses risks.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Coal export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

A5. Bulk buyers (India, China) benefit from stable low-grade supply but face price sensitivity, while Japan’s niche demand offers premium pricing opportunities. All buyers should monitor Indonesia’s export duty adjustments for cost implications.

Q6. How is Coal typically used in this trade flow?

A6. Most exports are raw, bulk thermal coal for power generation in price-sensitive markets, while higher-grade bituminous coal serves specialized industrial uses in premium markets like Japan.

Q7. What is yTrade?

yTrade is a global trade data platform that provides SaaS and API access to provide accurate, structured, and searchable import-export trade data for international business decisions. It enables users to access verified shipment records, analyse buyer and supplier activity, review company trade overviews, assess compliance risks, and monitor real market demand — all from a single, scalable system.

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Q9. What features does yTrade offer?

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