Indonesia Aluminium Oxide HS281820 Export Data 2025 February Overview

Indonesia Aluminium Oxide (HS 281820) 2025 February Export: Key Takeaways

In February 2025, Indonesia's Aluminium oxide exports (HS Code 281820) were heavily concentrated in India, which accounted for 38.84% of the value, suggesting slightly higher-grade product demand. The market showed tight buyer reliance, with India, Australia, and the Netherlands dominating over 90% of shipments, posing supply chain risks. This analysis, based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database, highlights Indonesia's role as a key alumina exporter amid evolving trade policies like Permendag 8/2025.

Indonesia Aluminium Oxide (HS 281820) 2025 February Export Background

Indonesia’s Aluminium oxide (HS Code 281820), used in refining and ceramics, drives global industries due to its role in smelting and abrasives. With Permendag 8/2025 tightening export rules to boost domestic processing [Permitindo], Indonesia’s 2025 February exports face shifts as it balances raw material shipments and downstream growth. The country’s bauxite reserves and refining capacity make it a key supplier, even as policies prioritize value-added production.

Indonesia Aluminium Oxide (HS 281820) 2025 February Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

Indonesia's Aluminium oxide HS Code 281820 Export in February 2025 recorded a value of $107.05 million and a volume of 155.51 million kg, indicating a notable pullback from the previous month.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The month-over-month decline in both value and volume—down approximately 19% and 15% from January—suggests a shift in export momentum, potentially driven by inventory adjustments ahead of regulatory changes. As a key input for aluminium smelting, typical industrial demand cycles might have been overshadowed by anticipatory behavior, with exporters possibly holding back shipments in response to impending policy shifts.

External Context and Outlook

This downturn aligns with Indonesia's introduction of Permendag 8/2025 [Permitindo], which restricts mineral exports to promote domestic processing. The policy, effective from March 2025, likely prompted early supply chain recalibrations, reinforcing volatility in February's export figures. Moving forward, continued regulatory emphasis on downstream value addition may sustain export constraints, influencing global alumina trade flows.

Indonesia Aluminium Oxide (HS 281820) 2025 February Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In February 2025, Indonesia's export of Aluminium oxide under HS Code 281820 is entirely concentrated in a single sub-code for 'Aluminium oxide; other than artificial corundum', with a uniform unit price of 0.69 USD per kilogram, confirming a highly specialized bulk commodity trade without any price anomalies.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

With no other sub-codes present, the export structure is monolithic, focused solely on smelter-grade alumina as a raw material. This indicates a trade in fungible bulk commodities, directly linked to global price indices rather than differentiated or value-added products.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

The bulk nature limits pricing power to market-driven conditions. Indonesia's export policy, such as Permendag 8/2025, emphasizes downstream processing to enhance domestic value, which may influence future export strategies for Aluminium oxide (Permitindo).

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Indonesia Aluminium Oxide (HS 281820) 2025 February Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

In February 2025, Indonesia's export of Aluminium oxide under HS Code 281820 was highly concentrated, with India as the dominant buyer, accounting for 38.84% of the value and 36.71% of the weight. The slightly higher value ratio compared to weight ratio suggests that exports to India may involve a marginally higher-grade product or better pricing, typical for commodity trades where weight is the primary measure. This concentration indicates India's strong demand for raw materials in its industrial sectors during this period.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The export partners form two main clusters: high-volume buyers like India, Australia, Netherlands, and Egypt, which together represent over 90% of the weight, likely due to their large-scale industrial needs for alumina in manufacturing or refining. A second cluster includes countries like South Korea, Japan, and China, with lower volumes but higher transaction frequencies, possibly reflecting smaller, specialized orders for specific grades or just-in-time supply chains in regional markets.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

For market players, the heavy reliance on a few buyers like India poses risks if demand shifts or trade policies change. Indonesia's recent export regulations, such as those under Permendag 8/2025 aimed at promoting domestic processing [Permitindo], could lead to tighter export controls or higher value-added requirements (Permitindo). Suppliers should diversify markets and invest in downstream capabilities to align with Indonesia's push for more value retention domestically.

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Indonesia Aluminium Oxide (HS 281820) 2025 February Export: Action Plan for Aluminium Oxide Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Aluminium oxide Export 2025 February under HS Code 281820 operates as a bulk commodity trade. Price is driven by global indices and standard quality grades, not product differentiation. Supply chain implications focus on raw material security and processing hub roles. High buyer and geographic concentration creates vulnerability to demand shifts or policy changes. Indonesia's export regulations push for domestic value addition, urging adaptation.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Aluminium oxide Market Execution

• Use transaction frequency data to forecast bulk buyer demand cycles. This prevents over-reliance on few clients and stabilizes revenue.
• Analyze partner country import patterns to identify new markets like Japan or South Korea. This diversifies risk and taps into specialized demand.
• Monitor regulatory updates such as Permendag 8/2025 for compliance. This avoids disruptions and aligns with Indonesia's downstream goals.
• Track unit price consistency across all shipments to detect quality or pricing issues early. This maintains competitiveness and buyer trust.
• Engage with smaller, frequent buyers through tailored supply agreements. This builds a resilient customer base and reduces market volatility.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Aluminium oxide Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Aluminium oxide Export 2025 February?

A1. The 19% month-over-month decline in value and 15% drop in volume reflect anticipatory behavior ahead of Indonesia's Permendag 8/2025 policy, which restricts raw mineral exports to promote domestic processing.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Aluminium oxide Export 2025 February?

A2. India dominates with 38.84% of export value, followed by Australia, the Netherlands, and Egypt, which collectively account for over 90% of shipment weight.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Aluminium oxide Export 2025 February partner countries?

A3. The uniform price of 0.69 USD/kg confirms no sub-code variations, but India’s marginally higher value-to-weight ratio suggests slightly better pricing or grade preferences.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Aluminium oxide export market?

A4. Exporters must mitigate reliance on India by diversifying buyers, especially smaller frequent purchasers, while aligning with domestic downstream processing policies to reduce vulnerability.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Aluminium oxide export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

A5. Bulk buyers like India face supply chain risks if Indonesian export policies tighten, while smaller buyers benefit from stable, low-volume shipments for specialized needs.

Q6. How is Aluminium oxide typically used in this trade flow?

A6. The monolithic export structure confirms smelter-grade alumina is traded as a raw material for industrial refining, with no value-added processing.