2025 Uzbekistan Zinc (HS 7901) Export: Volatile Markets

Key Takeaways

Zinc, classified under HS Code 7901, exhibited high volatility from January to November 2025.

• Market Pulse: Export value and weight fluctuated sharply, peaking in March ($11.56M, 3.89M kg) before collapsing to $2.57M and 814k kg by November, reflecting preemptive shipping and year-end demand cycles.
• Structural Shift: Uzbekistan Zinc Export relies on just two markets—Russia and Turkey—for 98% of revenue, with buyer concentration further amplifying risk as 97% of trade hinges on a few high-volume repeat customers.
• Product Logic: HS Code 7901 trade data shows 63% of exports are standard-grade zinc (2.90–2.94 USD/kg), with negligible high-purity (222.50 USD/kg) activity, confirming a commodity-driven, low-margin market.

This overview covers the period from January to November 2025 and is based on verified customs data from the yTrade database.

Uzbekistan Zinc (HS Code 7901) Key Metrics Trend

Market Trend Summary

Analyzing the Uzbekistan Zinc Export trend from January to November 2025, both value and weight demonstrated high volatility with distinct peaks and troughs. Value surged to $11.56 million in March before declining erratically, while weight followed a similar pattern, spiking to 3.89 million kg in March and again in August to 3.37 million kg, but both metrics collapsed sharply by November to $2.57 million and 814,000 kg, respectively.

Drivers & Industry Context

The March peak likely reflects preemptive shipping ahead of Uzbekistan's broader export policy reforms, including new duties effective July 1, 2025, which may have spurred temporary stockpiling despite zinc not being explicitly listed among affected goods [Gazeta.uz]. The subsequent volatility and November plunge align with typical year-end supply chain adjustments and reduced global demand cycles for base metals, impacting the hs code 7901 value derived from raw zinc exports.

Table: Uzbekistan Zinc Export Trend (Source: yTrade)

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Uzbekistan HS Code 7901 Export Breakdown

Market Composition & Top Categories

Zinc; unwrought, not alloyed, containing less than 99.99% zinc dominates Uzbekistan's HS Code 7901 exports, holding approximately 63% of both value and weight shares from January to November 2025. According to yTrade data, zinc alloys follow with about 37% share, while high-purity zinc (99.99% or more) is negligible, indicating a market concentrated in standard-grade materials for Uzbekistan HS Code 7901 Export.

Value Chain & Strategic Insights

Unit prices average 2.90-2.94 USD/kg for the bulk exports, reflecting commodity-driven price sensitivity, while the rare high-purity zinc commands 222.50 USD/kg, signaling a niche quality-sensitive segment. This HS Code 7901 breakdown reveals a primarily commodity market where cost efficiency dictates trade, with minimal value-add specialization in the overall trade structure.

Table: Uzbekistan HS Code 7901) Export Breakdown Details (Source: yTrade)

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Uzbekistan Zinc Destination Countries

Geographic Concentration & Market Risk

Uzbekistan's zinc exports throughout most of 5 show a heavy reliance on two primary markets, creating a concentrated trade profile. Russia and Turkey form a near-duopoly, collectively accounting for over 98% of the total export value. This high dependence on just two trade partners for Zinc introduces significant market risk, as any economic or political shift in either nation could immediately impact Uzbekistan's export revenue.

Purchasing Behavior & Demand Segmentation

The trade data reveals two distinct demand segments among Uzbekistan's key Zinc trade partners. Turkey's marginally higher value-to-weight ratio indicates a market for slightly higher-value specifications, offering some margin potential. Russia's nearly identical ratios, combined with both nations' high shipment frequency, point overwhelmingly to price-sensitive bulk industrial processing and stockpiling, defining this as a high-volume, low-margin commodity market.

Table: Uzbekistan Zinc (HS Code 7901) Top Destination Countries (Source: yTrade)

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Uzbekistan Zinc Buyer Companies Analysis

Buyer Concentration & Market Structure

According to yTrade data, Uzbekistan Zinc buyers are overwhelmingly dominated by a core group of high-volume, repeat customers. This segment accounts for over 97% of the total export value and nearly all transaction frequency, indicating a market built on stable, contract-based supply chains rather than spot trading. Key players like URMET METAL GERİ DÖNÜŞÜM drive this concentrated demand, creating a predictable but highly dependent revenue stream for sellers.

Purchasing Behavior & Sales Strategy

The extreme reliance on a few key accounts presents a significant concentration risk; losing even one major buyer could severely impact export volumes. Sales strategy must prioritize relationship management and contract stability with these high-volume repeaters, especially with new export duties effective July 2025 [lexcell.uz] that may affect pricing negotiations. Proactively securing long-term agreements before the duty implementation will be critical to maintaining this dominant HS Code 7901 buyer trend throughout most of 2025.

Table: Uzbekistan Zinc (HS Code 7901) Top Buyers List (Source: yTrade)

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Action Plan for Zinc Market Operation and Expansion

• Diversify buyer base: Reduce reliance on Russia and Turkey by targeting secondary markets in Europe or Asia to mitigate geopolitical and economic shocks.
• Lock in contracts: Secure long-term agreements with core buyers before July 2025 export duty changes to stabilize pricing and volume commitments.
• Optimize logistics: Focus on bulk shipping efficiencies for standard-grade zinc to offset thin margins, given its dominance in export composition.
• Probe premium niches: Test demand for high-purity zinc (99.99%+) in specialized sectors like electronics to capture higher-value segments.
• Monitor policy shifts: Track Uzbekistan’s export duty updates and global zinc stockpile trends to anticipate price volatility and adjust shipment timing.

Take Action Now —— Explore Uzbekistan Zinc HS Code 7901 Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Uzbekistan Zinc Export in 2025?

The volatility in Uzbekistan's zinc exports is driven by preemptive shipping ahead of new export duties in July 2025, followed by typical year-end demand drops. The March peak reflects stockpiling, while November's sharp decline aligns with global base metal demand cycles.

Q2. Who are the main destination countries of Uzbekistan Zinc (HS Code 7901) in 2025?

Russia and Turkey dominate Uzbekistan's zinc exports, accounting for over 98% of total export value. These two markets form a near-duopoly, creating high dependence.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across destination countries of Uzbekistan Zinc Export in 2025?

Turkey's marginally higher value-to-weight ratio suggests demand for slightly higher-value zinc, while Russia's bulk purchases reflect price-sensitive industrial processing needs.

Q4. What should exporters in Uzbekistan focus on in the current Zinc export market?

Exporters must prioritize securing long-term contracts with high-volume repeat buyers like URMET METAL to mitigate concentration risks, especially before new export duties take effect.

Q5. What does this Uzbekistan Zinc export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers in Russia and Turkey benefit from stable, contract-based supply chains but face potential disruptions if Uzbekistan fails to diversify its export markets.

Q6. How is Zinc typically used in this trade flow?

Uzbekistan’s zinc exports are primarily standard-grade (under 99.99% purity), used in bulk industrial processing and stockpiling, with minimal high-purity niche demand.