2025 Uzbekistan Knit Sweaters (HS 611020) Export: Market Collapse

Key Takeaways

Knit Sweaters, classified under HS Code 611020, exhibited high volatility from January to November 2025.

• Market Pulse: Export value and volume surged mid-year, peaking in July ($17.69M) and August (981.14K kg), then collapsed sharply by November ($804.96K, 56.60K kg), reflecting severe trade contraction.
• Structural Shift: Uzbekistan Knit Sweaters Export is dangerously concentrated in Russia (88.75% of value), exposing suppliers to geopolitical or economic shocks in a single bulk-purchasing market.
• Product Logic: HS Code 611020 trade data reveals a bifurcated product mix—45.67% of volume comes from premium-priced sub-code 6110209100 ($5.50/piece), while the rest targets commodity markets ($3.17/piece).

This overview covers the period from January to November 2025 and is based on verified customs data from the yTrade database.

Uzbekistan Knit Sweaters (HS Code 611020) Key Metrics Trend

Market Trend Summary

The Uzbekistan Knit Sweaters Export trend from January to November 2025 exhibited high volatility, with export value and volume surging mid-year before collapsing sharply by year-end. Export value climbed from $4.68 million in January to a peak of $17.69 million in July, while volume expanded from 345.18 thousand kg to a high of 981.14 thousand kg in August. Both metrics then plummeted in November, with value dropping to $804.96 thousand and volume to 56.60 thousand kg, indicating a severe contraction in trade activity.

Drivers & Industry Context

The mid-year export surge correlates with Uzbekistan's policy shift lifting export restrictions on most goods from July 1, 2025 [Fergana Agency], which likely unlocked pent-up supply chains and boosted shipments. However, the sharp November decline may reflect downstream impacts of new export duties implemented in July [LEXCELL], potentially disrupting trade flows and compressing the value derived from HS Code 611020. Seasonal factors, such as year-end inventory adjustments, could have exacerbated the downturn.

Table: Uzbekistan Knit Sweaters Export Trend (Source: yTrade)

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Uzbekistan HS Code 611020 Export Breakdown

Market Composition & Top Categories

HS Code 6110209100 dominates Uzbekistan's export of knit sweaters, accounting for 45.67 percent of the total quantity shipped. According to yTrade data, this sub-code, along with 6110209900 at 39.90 percent, forms the bulk of Uzbekistan HS Code 611020 Export, with minor categories making up the remainder. The market is heavily concentrated in these two high-volume categories.

Value Chain & Strategic Insights

Unit prices range from 3.17 to 5.50 USD per piece, with the dominant sub-code commanding a premium, indicating a focus on higher-value products rather than pure commodity trade. This HS Code 611020 breakdown suggests a market with moderate specialization, where quality or finishing differences drive price disparities. Exporters should prioritize value-add strategies to capitalize on this trade structure.

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Uzbekistan Knit Sweaters Destination Countries

Geographic Concentration & Market Risk

Russia dominates Uzbekistan's Knit Sweaters export destinations, accounting for 88.75% of total value from January to November 2025. This overwhelming reliance on a single market creates significant exposure to any geopolitical or economic shifts affecting Russian demand. Such a high concentration indicates a supply chain that is highly specialized but also vulnerable.

Purchasing Behavior & Demand Segmentation

The nearly identical ratios for value (88.75%) and weight (88.53%) point to a commodity-driven market with consistent unit pricing. This pattern suggests Russian buyers are engaged in price-sensitive bulk purchasing for mass distribution rather than seeking premium products. For Uzbekistan's trade partners for Knit Sweaters, this represents a volume-scale opportunity rather than a high-margin one, with demand driven by consistent, large orders.

Table: Uzbekistan Knit Sweaters (HS Code 611020) Top Destination Countries (Source: yTrade)

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Uzbekistan Knit Sweaters Buyer Companies Analysis

Buyer Concentration & Market Structure

According to yTrade data, the Uzbekistan Knit Sweaters export market is overwhelmingly dominated by a core group of key accounts. These high-volume repeaters, including major apparel manufacturers, represent over 80% of the total export value. This indicates a market built on stable, contract-based supply chains with deeply embedded relationships, rather than spot trading or fragmented purchasing.

Purchasing Behavior & Sales Strategy

This concentration of high-value, high-frequency buyers means your sales strategy must focus on securing and defending long-term contracts with these anchor clients. Building supply chain reliability is critical, especially as [new export duties] take effect in July 2025, which may influence procurement planning for HS Code 611020. Prioritize relationship management and operational consistency to protect your share of this core business, as losing even one major account would significantly impact revenue.

Table: Uzbekistan Knit Sweaters (HS Code 611020) Top Buyers List (Source: yTrade)

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Action Plan for Knit Sweaters Market Operation and Expansion

• Diversify buyers immediately: With 80% of export value tied to a few key accounts, losing one could cripple revenue. Prioritize new client acquisition in non-Russian markets to mitigate concentration risk.
• Lock in contracts before July 2025: New export duties will take effect then, likely disrupting pricing. Secure long-term agreements with anchor clients now to stabilize post-policy revenue.
• Optimize logistics for bulk trade: Russia’s commodity-driven purchases (88.53% weight share) demand cost-efficient shipping and warehousing to protect margins.
• Segment product offerings: Capitalize on the premium sub-code (6110209100) with branding or technical specs, while maintaining volume-driven production for bulk buyers.
• Monitor Russian demand weekly: Geopolitical shifts could trigger sudden order cancellations. Build contingency inventory or alternative buyers to absorb shocks.

Take Action Now —— Explore Uzbekistan Knit Sweaters HS Code 611020 Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Uzbekistan Knit Sweaters Export in 2025?

The mid-year surge was driven by Uzbekistan lifting export restrictions in July 2025, while the sharp November decline likely reflects new export duties and seasonal inventory adjustments.

Q2. Who are the main destination countries of Uzbekistan Knit Sweaters (HS Code 611020) in 2025?

Russia dominates, accounting for 88.75% of Uzbekistan's Knit Sweaters export value, with minimal diversification to other markets.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across destination countries of Uzbekistan Knit Sweaters Export in 2025?

Price differences stem from product specialization, with HS Code 6110209100 commanding a premium (up to $5.50/piece) versus bulk commodity-grade items at lower rates.

Q4. What should exporters in Uzbekistan focus on in the current Knit Sweaters export market?

Exporters must secure long-term contracts with core buyers (80% of trade value) and prioritize supply chain reliability amid new export duties and Russia-dependent demand.

Q5. What does this Uzbekistan Knit Sweaters export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Russian buyers benefit from consistent bulk pricing but face supply chain risks due to Uzbekistan's extreme market concentration and policy volatility.

Q6. How is Knit Sweaters typically used in this trade flow?

The trade is commodity-driven, with Russian buyers purchasing mass volumes for price-sensitive distribution rather than premium segments.