2025 Uzbekistan Cotton Yarn (HS 560121) Export: Market Shift

Key Takeaways

Cotton Yarn, classified under HS Code 560121, exhibited pronounced volatility from January to November 2025.

• Market Pulse: Exports peaked in June ($8.08M, 5.03M kg) before collapsing to a yearly low in November ($0.49M, 0.24M kg), reflecting policy-driven turbulence.
• Structural Shift: Uzbekistan Cotton Yarn Export reliance on Russia (76.58% of value) creates acute exposure to single-market shocks, with minor diversification in Central Asia.
• Product Logic: HS Code 560121 trade data reveals a commodity-driven market (74% volume from low-cost cotton wadding), though a niche premium segment (2.00 USD/kg) hints at untapped value potential.

This overview covers the period from January to November 2025 and is based on verified customs data from the yTrade database.

Uzbekistan Cotton Yarn (HS Code 560121) Key Metrics Trend

Market Trend Summary

Analyzing the Uzbekistan Cotton Yarn Export trend from January to November 2025 reveals pronounced volatility in both value and volume. Exports started strong in January at $6.19 million and 4.01 million kg, dipped sharply in February, then climbed steadily to peak in June at $8.08 million and 5.03 million kg. After a July contraction, activity recovered through September before crashing in November to $0.49 million and 0.24 million kg, marking the lowest point of the year.

Drivers & Industry Context

The mid-year volatility aligns with Uzbekistan's July 1, 2025, export duty imposition on 86 goods including cotton yarn, designed to curb raw material exports and foster domestic processing [Kun.uz]. This policy explains the July dip as traders adjusted to new costs, though subsequent recovery suggests market adaptation. The November collapse in hs code 560121 value may reflect accumulated duty impacts or year-end inventory drawdowns, consistent with global textile cycle downturns. (Kun.uz)

Table: Uzbekistan Cotton Yarn Export Trend (Source: yTrade)

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Uzbekistan HS Code 560121 Export Breakdown

Market Composition & Top Categories

According to yTrade data, Uzbekistan's HS Code 560121 export market is heavily dominated by a lower-priced cotton wadding category, which represents about 76% of shipment volume and 74% of total weight exported from January to November 2025. The remaining exports consist of a higher-priced variant with a smaller share, indicating a market skewed toward bulk commodity flows. This composition underscores Uzbekistan's role as a key supplier of cost-effective cotton wadding.

Value Chain & Strategic Insights

The unit price gap—1.32 USD/kg for the dominant category versus 2.00 USD/kg for the niche one—points to quality or processing differences, framing this as a primarily commodity-driven market with price sensitivity. However, the higher-priced segment suggests limited specialization, potentially for premium applications. The trade structure for HS Code 560121 breakdown reveals a dual approach: volume-driven exports with some value-added opportunities.

Check Detailed HS Code 560121 Breakdown

Uzbekistan Cotton Yarn Destination Countries

Geographic Concentration & Market Risk

From January to November 2025, Russia is the dominant partner for Uzbekistan's Cotton Yarn exports, capturing 76.58% of the total export value. This extreme reliance on a single market heightens vulnerability to supply chain disruptions or demand shifts in Russia. Secondary markets like Kyrgyzstan and Kazakhstan hold much smaller shares, at 6.63% and 5.34% value respectively. Uzbekistan's own presence as a destination with a 0.53% value share indicates minor re-importation for domestic logistics or inventory staging, not final consumption.

Purchasing Behavior & Demand Segmentation

Russia's value ratio of 76.58% surpasses its weight ratio of 58.90%, signaling a preference for higher-value Cotton Yarn and quality-conscious demand. This value-volume gap suggests buyers prioritize specifications over bulk, pointing to margin potential rather than pure volume scale. The aligned frequency and weight ratios indicate consistent, large-scale orders without retail fragmentation. For Uzbekistan's trade partners, this behavior underscores a market driven by premium returns instead of commodity pricing.

Table: Uzbekistan Cotton Yarn (HS Code 560121) Top Destination Countries (Source: yTrade)

Get Uzbekistan Cotton Yarn (HS Code 560121) Complete Destination Countries Profile

Uzbekistan Cotton Yarn Buyer Companies Analysis

Buyer Concentration & Market Structure

According to yTrade data, Uzbekistan Cotton Yarn exports from January to November 2025 are overwhelmingly dominated by key accounts with high-volume, repeat purchases, capturing 94.02% of the total export value. This indicates a market built on stable, contract-based supply chains, likely involving large textile manufacturers or distributors with consistent demand. The high value share points to a concentrated buyer base where a few major players drive most transactions, reflecting deep integration in global supply chains for this product.

Purchasing Behavior & Sales Strategy

The dominance of loyal, high-volume buyers suggests a sales strategy focused on strengthening long-term relationships through reliable delivery and potential upselling to value-added products. However, the extreme concentration—over 90% value from a small cluster—poses significant risk if any key account shifts suppliers; diversifying the client base by targeting emerging buyers could mitigate this. Additionally, new export duties effective July 1, 2025 [Kun.uz] may increase costs, necessitating proactive contract renegotiations or cost-pass-through strategies to maintain margins amid HS Code 560121 buyer trends.

Table: Uzbekistan Cotton Yarn (HS Code 560121) Top Buyers List (Source: yTrade)

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Action Plan for Cotton Yarn Market Operation and Expansion

• Diversify buyers: The 94.02% value concentration in key accounts demands urgent client-base expansion to mitigate contract termination risks.
• Lock in contracts: Pre-negotiate terms with Russian buyers before 2026 to hedge against further export duty hikes or supply chain disruptions.
• Target premium niches: Shift 10-15% of production to higher-value cotton yarn (2.00 USD/kg) to capitalize on Russia’s quality-driven demand.
• Audit logistics costs: Bulk commodity exports (76% volume share) require leaner shipping strategies to preserve margins under new export duties.
• Monitor Kyrgyzstan/Kazakhstan: Secondary markets (6.63% and 5.34% value) offer near-term diversification routes with lower geopolitical risk than Russia.

Take Action Now —— Explore Uzbekistan Cotton Yarn HS Code 560121 Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Uzbekistan Cotton Yarn Export in 2025?

The volatility in Uzbekistan's Cotton Yarn exports is primarily driven by the July 2025 export duty imposition, causing mid-year dips before partial recovery, followed by a sharp November decline likely due to accumulated cost impacts or seasonal demand shifts.

Q2. Who are the main destination countries of Uzbekistan Cotton Yarn (HS Code 560121) in 2025?

Russia dominates with 76.58% of export value, followed by Kyrgyzstan (6.63%) and Kazakhstan (5.34%), reflecting extreme geographic concentration.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across destination countries of Uzbekistan Cotton Yarn Export in 2025?

The gap stems from a dual market structure: 76% of exports are lower-priced cotton wadding (1.32 USD/kg), while a niche segment (2.00 USD/kg) caters to premium demand, likely in Russia.

Q4. What should exporters in Uzbekistan focus on in the current Cotton Yarn export market?

Exporters must secure long-term contracts with high-volume buyers (94.02% of value) while diversifying to mitigate risks from over-reliance on Russia and new export duties.

Q5. What does this Uzbekistan Cotton Yarn export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers in Russia benefit from stable, high-value supply chains, but over-dependence on Uzbekistan poses risks if policy or cost disruptions persist. Secondary markets face limited supply access.

Q6. How is Cotton Yarn typically used in this trade flow?

Cotton Yarn exports are primarily bulk commodity flows for textile manufacturing, with a smaller share serving specialized, higher-value applications.