2025 Uzbekistan Cotton Yarn (HS 520513) Export: Market Collapse

Key Takeaways

Cotton Yarn, classified under HS Code 520513, exhibited extreme volatility from January to November 2025.

• Market Pulse: Export value and weight collapsed by 95% in November 2025 after peaking in Q1, driven by Uzbekistan’s new export duties and domestic value-addition policies.
• Structural Shift: Uzbekistan Cotton Yarn Export reliance on Russia (50%+ share) creates acute market risk, while buyer concentration (84% repeat orders) underscores contract-driven stability.
• Product Logic: HS Code 520513 trade data reveals a bulk commodity market, with uncombed cotton yarn dominating 98% of exports and price sensitivity dictating competitiveness.

This overview covers the period from January to November 2025 and is based on verified customs data from the yTrade database.

Uzbekistan Cotton Yarn (HS Code 520513) Key Metrics Trend

Market Trend Summary

The Uzbekistan Cotton Yarn Export trend showed strong initial performance before a sharp contraction in late 2025. Total export value reached $14.5M in March but collapsed to just $374K by November, while weight volumes followed a similar trajectory—peaking at 6.1M kg in Q1 before plummeting 95% to 158K kg in the final month.

Drivers & Industry Context

The export collapse directly aligns with policy shifts targeting raw yarn exports. New duties took effect July 1, 2025 [Gazeta.uz], transitioning from fees to minimum $50/ton duties with planned increases to $125/ton. This pushed exporters to front-load shipments early in 2025 before stricter measures hit, explaining the Q4 volume collapse. The government’s strategy to divert yarn toward domestic value-added production [World Bank] further suppressed export volumes, directly impacting the hs code 520513 value derived from international markets.

Table: Uzbekistan Cotton Yarn Export Trend (Source: yTrade)

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Uzbekistan HS Code 520513 Export Breakdown

Market Composition & Top Categories

A single sub-category, cotton yarn of uncombed fibers (not for retail sale), dominates Uzbekistan's HS Code 520513 export structure, capturing over 98% of the total export value. According to yTrade data, this product was shipped in massive volumes, accounting for nearly all the weight exported under this code. The remaining sub-codes are negligible in volume and value, representing minor variations or shipment types.

Value Chain & Strategic Insights

The unit price spread is notable, ranging from $2.35 to $4.38 per kilogram, indicating a commodity market where bulk pricing and operational efficiency drive competitiveness. This HS Code 520513 breakdown confirms a classic bulk raw material trade structure, with price sensitivity outweighing product differentiation. Exporters should focus on cost leadership and scale to maintain advantage in this segment.

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Uzbekistan Cotton Yarn Destination Countries

Geographic Concentration & Market Risk

From January to November 2025, Uzbekistan's Cotton Yarn exports show extreme reliance on Russia, which captured over 50% of the export value. This concentration exposes Uzbekistan to significant market risk if Russian demand falters due to sanctions or economic downturns. Diversifying Uzbekistan Cotton Yarn export destinations is critical to buffer against such shocks and ensure trade stability.

Purchasing Behavior & Demand Segmentation

Russia's nearly identical value and weight ratios indicate a commodity-style market where pricing closely tracks weight, typical for bulk industrial processing of Cotton Yarn. The high frequency ratio suggests consistent, large-scale orders rather than fragmented retail demand. This pattern confirms Volume Scale dominance for Uzbekistan's trade partners for Cotton Yarn, with margins driven by efficiency rather than premium quality.

Table: Uzbekistan Cotton Yarn (HS Code 520513) Top Destination Countries (Source: yTrade)

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Uzbekistan Cotton Yarn Buyer Companies Analysis

Buyer Concentration & Market Structure

According to yTrade data, the Uzbekistan Cotton Yarn export market is overwhelmingly concentrated in high-volume repeat buyers, who held an 84.44% value share from January to November 2025. This dominance reflects a stable, contract-based supply chain, typical of long-term partnerships with manufacturing entities. Such a structure minimizes transactional volatility and underscores the importance of key accounts in driving export revenues.

Purchasing Behavior & Sales Strategy

The consistent high-frequency buying for HS Code 520513 indicates deeply embedded relationships, where reliability and trust are paramount. With Uzbekistan introducing export duties on cotton yarn in early 2025 [UzDaily.uz], sellers should proactively adjust pricing strategies in contracts to mitigate cost impacts, ensuring retention of these loyal partners while exploring efficiencies to maintain competitiveness.

Table: Uzbekistan Cotton Yarn (HS Code 520513) Top Buyers List (Source: yTrade)

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Action Plan for Cotton Yarn Market Operation and Expansion

• Diversify export markets: Reduce dependence on Russia by targeting textile hubs like Turkey or Bangladesh to mitigate geopolitical and economic risks.
• Renegotiate contracts: Adjust pricing terms to absorb new export duties ($50–125/ton) while preserving long-term buyer relationships.
• Optimize logistics: Focus on cost leadership in bulk shipping to offset thin margins in commodity-grade yarn exports.
• Monitor policy shifts: Track Uzbekistan’s domestic yarn processing incentives to anticipate further export restrictions or subsidies for value-added products.
• Explore premium segments: Test niche markets for higher-grade yarns if domestic policies incentivize quality upgrades over raw material exports.

Take Action Now —— Explore Uzbekistan Cotton Yarn HS Code 520513 Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Uzbekistan Cotton Yarn Export in 2025?

The sharp decline in Uzbekistan's Cotton Yarn exports in late 2025 was caused by new export duties and a government push to divert raw yarn toward domestic value-added production, leading to a 95% drop in volume by November.

Q2. Who are the main destination countries of Uzbekistan Cotton Yarn (HS Code 520513) in 2025?

Russia dominated Uzbekistan's Cotton Yarn exports, accounting for over 50% of the total value, with the remaining share spread thinly across other markets.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across destination countries of Uzbekistan Cotton Yarn Export in 2025?

Price variations ($2.35–$4.38/kg) reflect a commodity-driven market where bulk pricing and operational efficiency determine competitiveness, with no significant product differentiation.

Q4. What should exporters in Uzbekistan focus on in the current Cotton Yarn export market?

Exporters must prioritize cost leadership and scale to retain high-volume repeat buyers (84.44% of value) while diversifying away from over-reliance on Russia to mitigate geopolitical risks.

Q5. What does this Uzbekistan Cotton Yarn export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers benefit from stable, large-scale shipments but face potential supply disruptions due to Uzbekistan's export policy shifts and extreme market concentration in Russia.

Q6. How is Cotton Yarn typically used in this trade flow?

The bulk exports of uncombed cotton yarn (HS Code 520513) are primarily destined for industrial processing, not retail, emphasizing commodity-scale manufacturing use.