2025 Uzbekistan Urea Fertilizer (HS 310210) Export: Policy-Driven Volatility

Key Takeaways

Urea Fertilizer, classified under HS Code 310210, exhibited high volatility from January to November 2025.

• Market Pulse: Exports surged to $39.19M in August before collapsing by 68% in September, reflecting policy-driven volatility from Uzbekistan’s new 10% export duty.
• Structural Shift: Uzbekistan Urea Fertilizer Export relies heavily on Afghanistan and Greece (40%+ of value), while Turkey’s fragmented orders reveal a volume-driven distribution channel.
• Product Logic: HS Code 310210 trade data shows 99% dominance of sub-code 3102101000, with uniform low prices (0.27 USD/kg) confirming a commodity market reliant on cost efficiency.

This overview covers the period from January to November 2025 and is based on verified customs data from the yTrade database.

Uzbekistan Urea Fertilizer (HS Code 310210) Key Metrics Trend

Market Trend Summary

Uzbekistan's Urea Fertilizer Export trend exhibited pronounced volatility from January to November 2025, characterized by a major mid-year surge followed by sharp corrections. Total export value climbed from $8.02 million in January to a peak of $39.19 million in August, while export weight expanded from 33.65 million kg to 135.94 million kg over the same period. Both metrics collapsed in September—value dropping to $12.64 million and weight to 43.06 million kg—before partially recovering through November, though remaining below summer highs.

Drivers & Industry Context

The July-August export spike aligns directly with Uzbekistan's announcement of a 10% export duty on mineral fertilizers (including HS Code 310210) effective July 1, 2025 [Gazeta.uz]. Exporters clearly front-loaded shipments to avoid the new tariff, accelerating sales of raw materials before the policy implementation. The subsequent September crash reflects this demand pull-forward, while the uneven recovery suggests ongoing market adjustment to the new cost structure. This policy-driven volatility underscores the critical impact of regulatory shifts on the hs code 310210 value trajectory for Uzbek exporters.

Table: Uzbekistan Urea Fertilizer Export Trend (Source: yTrade)

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Uzbekistan HS Code 310210 Export Breakdown

Market Composition & Top Categories

The dominant sub-code for Uzbekistan's export of urea fertilizer under HS Code 310210 is 3102101000, capturing over 99% of both value and weight shares. According to yTrade data, this sub-code represents nearly all export activity for Uzbekistan HS Code 310210 Export from January to November 2025. The remaining sub-code, 3102109000, holds minimal presence with less than 0.2% across key metrics.

Value Chain & Strategic Insights

Unit prices are uniformly low at approximately 0.27 USD per kilogram, reflecting a commodity market driven by price competition rather than quality differentiation. This HS Code 310210 breakdown confirms a highly price-sensitive trade structure with minimal value-add stages. Exporters should focus on cost efficiency and volume to maintain competitiveness in this market.

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Uzbekistan Urea Fertilizer Destination Countries

Geographic Concentration & Market Risk

Uzbekistan's urea fertilizer exports from January to October 2025 show heavy reliance on two key markets. Afghanistan and Greece together represent over 40% of the total export value, indicating significant geographic concentration. This dependence on a narrow set of Uzbekistan Urea Fertilizer export destinations creates vulnerability to regional demand shifts or logistical disruptions in these corridors.

Purchasing Behavior & Demand Segmentation

Turkey's position reveals a distinct trade pattern: it received the most shipments (29.8% frequency) but ranks third in value, indicating smaller, more frequent orders typical of fragmented distribution channels. Conversely, Greece shows a premium signal with its value ratio (20.83) nearly matching its weight ratio (21.42), suggesting quality-conscious demand for specialized urea formulations. These patterns split Uzbekistan's trade partners for Urea Fertilizer between Turkey's volume-driven distribution network and Greece's margin-oriented premium market.

Table: Uzbekistan Urea Fertilizer (HS Code 310210) Top Destination Countries (Source: yTrade)

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Uzbekistan Urea Fertilizer Buyer Companies Analysis

Buyer Concentration & Market Structure

According to yTrade data, the Uzbekistan Urea Fertilizer export market is heavily concentrated, with high-volume repeat buyers accounting for 89.17% of the value share from January to November 2025. This dominance points to a stable, contract-based supply chain, where a few key accounts drive most transactions. The market structure for Uzbekistan Urea Fertilizer buyers is thus characterized by long-term partnerships rather than sporadic trading.

Purchasing Behavior & Sales Strategy

The high reliance on a small group of buyers introduces significant concentration risk, making it crucial to diversify the client base while securing existing relationships through tailored contracts and loyalty incentives. Monitoring HS Code 310210 buyer trends is essential, especially with Uzbekistan's new export duties on fertilizers effective July 1, 2025, which may increase costs and require strategic price negotiations [kun.uz]. Sellers should leverage digital tools to identify and engage potential smaller buyers to balance the portfolio.

Table: Uzbekistan Urea Fertilizer (HS Code 310210) Top Buyers List (Source: yTrade)

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Action Plan for Urea Fertilizer Market Operation and Expansion

• Diversify buyers: Target smaller Turkish distributors to reduce reliance on Afghanistan and Greece, where concentration risk is critical.
• Lock in contracts: Renegotiate terms with high-volume repeat buyers (89% of value share) before the 2026 duty cycle to hedge against future policy shocks.
• Optimize logistics: Cut transport costs for bulk shipments to Turkey, where frequent, low-margin orders demand lean operations.
• Monitor Greece’s premium demand: Audit product specifications for Greek buyers, where value-weight ratios suggest quality-sensitive opportunities.
• Accelerate spot sales: Capitalize on pre-duty spikes by aligning inventory with policy announcement cycles.

Take Action Now —— Explore Uzbekistan Urea Fertilizer HS Code 310210 Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Uzbekistan Urea Fertilizer Export in 2025?

The volatility in exports is primarily driven by Uzbekistan's 10% export duty on urea fertilizers, effective July 2025. Exporters surged shipments before the policy took effect, causing an August peak followed by a sharp drop in September as demand was pulled forward.

Q2. Who are the main destination countries of Uzbekistan Urea Fertilizer (HS Code 310210) in 2025?

Uzbekistan's urea exports are heavily concentrated in Afghanistan and Greece, which together account for over 40% of total export value. Turkey is also a key market, receiving the most shipments but with smaller order sizes.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across destination countries of Uzbekistan Urea Fertilizer Export in 2025?

Unit prices are uniformly low (~0.27 USD/kg) due to the dominance of sub-code 3102101000, a commodity-grade product. Greece shows a slight premium signal, suggesting demand for specialized formulations, while Turkey's volume-driven orders reflect standard pricing.

Q4. What should exporters in Uzbekistan focus on in the current Urea Fertilizer export market?

Exporters must prioritize cost efficiency and volume to compete in this price-sensitive market while diversifying buyers to reduce reliance on a few key accounts (89% value share). Digital tools can help engage smaller buyers to balance risk.

Q5. What does this Uzbekistan Urea Fertilizer export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers in Greece benefit from stable, quality-focused supply, while Turkish buyers access frequent, smaller shipments suited for distribution. However, all partners face potential price adjustments due to Uzbekistan's export duties.

Q6. How is Urea Fertilizer typically used in this trade flow?

Urea fertilizer is primarily used in agriculture as a nitrogen-rich crop nutrient, traded as a bulk commodity with minimal value-added processing in Uzbekistan's export structure.