2025 Uzbekistan Liquefied Propane (HS 271121) Export: Market Shift

Key Takeaways

Liquefied Propane, classified under HS Code 271121, exhibited pronounced volatility from January to November 2025.

• Market Pulse: Exports swung sharply, peaking in June ($184.49M value, 692.83M kg weight) before collapsing in July (-33% value, -37% volume) due to new export duties.
• Structural Shift: Uzbekistan Liquefied Propane Export relies dangerously on China (96.63% of value) and two key buyers (99.61% of value), exposing it to single-market shocks.
• Product Logic: HS Code 271121 trade data shows a low-value bulk commodity (0.27 USD/kg), with no product differentiation or premium segments.

This overview covers the period from January to November 2025 and is based on verified customs data from the yTrade database.

Uzbekistan Liquefied Propane (HS Code 271121) Key Metrics Trend

Market Trend Summary

The Uzbekistan Liquefied Propane Export trend exhibited pronounced volatility from January to October 2025, characterized by sharp swings in both value and volume. After initial data gaps in January, exports surged in February ($77.76M value, 286.75M kg weight), then collapsed in March (-76% value, -76% volume). A dramatic recovery followed in April, with value jumping 568% to $123.64M and weight rising 578% to 474.90M kg. This high plateau held through May and June (peak: $184.49M value, 692.83M kg weight), before retreating in July (-33% value, -37% volume). August saw a partial rebound (+10% value, +18% volume), though October levels ($71.61M, 272.62M kg) remained well below mid-year highs.

Drivers & Industry Context

The March trough likely reflects export permit uncertainties ahead of policy changes, while the April-June surge represents accelerated shipments before new duties took effect. The July volume contraction aligns directly with Uzbekistan’s 20% export duty on HS 271121 commodities, implemented July 1 to incentivize domestic processing [Gazeta.uz]. This policy shift suppressed export volumes despite stable global demand, reducing the value derived from HS Code 271121. The partial August recovery suggests some market adaptation, though October’s lower volumes indicate sustained pressure from the duty structure.

Table: Uzbekistan Liquefied Propane Export Trend (Source: yTrade)

Get Uzbekistan Liquefied Propane Data Latest Updates

Uzbekistan HS Code 271121 Export Breakdown

Market Composition & Top Categories

According to yTrade data, Uzbekistan's HS Code 271121 export for liquefied propane from January to November 2025 is entirely dominated by a single sub-category: petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons in gaseous state, natural gas. This sub-code accounts for 100% of the export value, weight, and quantity, with no other sub-codes present in the breakdown. The market structure for Uzbekistan HS Code 271121 export is thus highly concentrated in this one product form.

Value Chain & Strategic Insights

The unit price of 0.27 USD per kilogram indicates a low-value commodity, typical for raw gaseous hydrocarbons with minimal processing. This HS Code 271121 breakdown reveals a price-sensitive commodity market, where trade is driven by volume and cost efficiency rather than quality differentiation. The export strategy likely focuses on bulk shipments of standardized product, with little value-add or specialization in the supply chain.

Check Detailed HS Code 271121 Breakdown

Uzbekistan Liquefied Propane Destination Countries

Geographic Concentration & Market Risk

Uzbekistan's Liquefied Propane exports from January to November 2025 are overwhelmingly concentrated in China Mainland, which captures 96.63% of the total export value. This near-total dependence on a single market for Uzbekistan Liquefied Propane export destinations creates high vulnerability to demand shifts or geopolitical tensions. Other partners like Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan contribute less than 3% combined, underscoring a risky lack of diversification in trade flows.

Purchasing Behavior & Demand Segmentation

China's import behavior shows a slight value-weight disparity (valueRatio of 96.63 vs. weightRatio of 94.74), indicating a marginal preference for higher-value specifications over pure bulk. The frequency ratio of 76.32% reflects regular, large-scale shipments, aligning with industrial processing rather than fragmented retail demand. For trade partners in Liquefied Propane, this pattern suggests volume scale dominates, with limited margin potential from premium segments.

Table: Uzbekistan Liquefied Propane (HS Code 271121) Top Destination Countries (Source: yTrade)

Get Uzbekistan Liquefied Propane (HS Code 271121) Complete Destination Countries Profile

Uzbekistan Liquefied Propane Buyer Companies Analysis

Buyer Concentration & Market Structure

According to yTrade data, the Uzbekistan Liquefied Propane export market is overwhelmingly dominated by high-volume repeat buyers, capturing 99.61% of the value share from January to November 2025. This points to a stable, contract-based supply chain centered on key accounts such as PETROCHINA and Tajik entities. The extreme concentration among Uzbekistan Liquefied Propane buyers underscores a market reliant on entrenched, high-frequency partnerships.

Purchasing Behavior & Sales Strategy

These buyers exhibit consistent, high-volume ordering patterns, indicating deep integration into their operational frameworks for HS Code 271123. However, the near-total reliance on a few clients introduces significant concentration risk; the loss of one major account could severely disrupt revenue. Sales strategy must prioritize relationship retention through tailored contracts and proactive communication, while also monitoring for impacts from new export duties effective July 2025 [LEXCELL], which may necessitate cost pass-through negotiations.

Table: Uzbekistan Liquefied Propane (HS Code 271121) Top Buyers List (Source: yTrade)

Check Full Uzbekistan Liquefied Propane Buyers list

Action Plan for Liquefied Propane Market Operation and Expansion

• Diversify buyers: Target secondary markets like Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan to reduce reliance on China and mitigate geopolitical risk.
• Renegotiate contracts: Lock in long-term agreements with PETROCHINA and Tajik buyers to stabilize revenue amid volatile duty-driven price swings.
• Optimize logistics: Bulk shipping costs must be minimized to preserve margins on low-unit-value HS Code 271121 exports.
• Monitor policy shifts: Track Uzbekistan’s export duty adjustments (e.g., July 2025’s 20% levy) to preemptively adjust pricing strategies.
• Audit exposure: Stress-test revenue scenarios against the loss of a top buyer or Chinese demand contraction.

Take Action Now —— Explore Uzbekistan Liquefied Propane HS Code 271121 Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Uzbekistan Liquefied Propane Export in 2025?

The volatility stems from policy shifts, including a 20% export duty implemented in July 2025, which caused a pre-duty surge (April-June) followed by a sharp decline. The market remains highly sensitive to regulatory changes.

Q2. Who are the main destination countries of Uzbekistan Liquefied Propane (HS Code 271121) in 2025?

China dominates with 96.63% of export value, while Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan collectively account for less than 3%. The market is heavily concentrated in one destination.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across destination countries of Uzbekistan Liquefied Propane Export in 2025?

The uniform unit price of 0.27 USD/kg reflects a low-value, bulk-commodity market. There is no price variation because exports are entirely standardized (petroleum gases in natural state).

Q4. What should exporters in Uzbekistan focus on in the current Liquefied Propane export market?

Prioritize retaining key buyers (99.61% value share) like PETROCHINA through contract stability, while diversifying destinations to mitigate China-dependent risks.

Q5. What does this Uzbekistan Liquefied Propane export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers benefit from stable, high-volume supply but face concentration risks if Uzbek policy disrupts flows. China’s dominance ensures bulk availability but limits alternative sources.

Q6. How is Liquefied Propane typically used in this trade flow?

It serves as a raw industrial input, likely for energy or chemical processing, traded in bulk with minimal processing or quality differentiation.