Paraguay - Netherlands Trade 2025 Q2: Volatile Deficit

Key Market Takeaways: Paraguay - Netherlands Trade

The bilateral trade relationship between Paraguay and Netherlands is marked by volatility and a persistent deficit in Q2 2025.

• Economic Pulse: Paraguay runs a $19.89M trade deficit with the Netherlands ($43.34M imports vs. $23.45M exports), with extreme monthly swings in both flows.
• Exchange Structure: Paraguay - Netherlands trade statistics reveal a resource-for-energy exchange—Paraguay ships agricultural residues (60% of exports) while importing refined fuels (67% of imports).
• Strategic Interdependence: The Netherlands holds the higher-value position, supplying critical energy products, while Paraguay provides low-margin byproducts.

This bilateral trade snapshot is based on verified customs data from the yTrade database.

Paraguay-Netherlands Trade Trend in Q2 2025

Paraguay Export Performance: Shipments to Netherlands

• Total Volume: $23.45M in Q2 2025.
• Growth Trend & Context:
  • Volatile YoY swings: +169.16% in May, then -83.73% in June. No clear trend due to extreme monthly fluctuations.
• Key Volatility: June saw an -80.34% MoM collapse, the sharpest drop in the quarter.

Paraguay Import Performance: Sourcing from Netherlands

• Total Volume: $43.34M in Q2 2025.
• Growth Trend & Context:
  • Mixed YoY performance: +40.08% in April, -20.29% in May, then +162.28% in June. No consistent direction.
• Key Volatility: April had the highest monthly value ($16.45M), while June dropped -28.3% MoM.

Paraguay - Netherlands Trade Balance & Market Dynamics

• Net Position: Trade deficit of $19.89M (Imports $43.34M > Exports $23.45M).
• Relationship Status: Paraguay remains a net importer from the Netherlands, with imports nearly double exports. Volatility in both flows suggests unstable demand or supply chains.

Paraguay Import Trend from Netherlands 2025 Q2 (Source: yTrade)**

Paraguay Export Trend to Netherlands 2025 Q2 (Source: yTrade)**

Get Historical Paraguay Netherlands Trade Records

Paraguay-Netherlands Top Trading Products in Q2 2025

Paraguay Export Profile: What Does Paraguay Sell to Netherlands

• Top Commodity: Rank #1 export is HS 23 (Residues and waste from the food industries) with a 59.74% share.
• Demand Driver: Netherlands likely uses these for industrial processing, such as animal feed or biofuel production.
• Concentration: Trade is highly concentrated, with HS 23 alone accounting for nearly 60% of exports.

Paraguay Import Profile: What Does Paraguay Buy from Netherlands

• Top Commodity: Rank #1 import is HS 27 (Mineral fuels, oils, and distillation products) with a 66.67% share.
• Dependency Nature: Reflects energy security dependency, as Paraguay relies on Netherlands for refined petroleum products.

Paraguay - Netherlands Trade Relationship Dynamics

• The Exchange Model: Resource-for-Tech Complementarity—Paraguay exports low-value agricultural byproducts (HS 23) and imports high-value energy products (HS 27).
• Value Chain Position: Netherlands holds the higher value-add position, supplying processed energy goods, while Paraguay provides raw or semi-processed agricultural residues.

Import Analysis by Product: Netherlands to Paraguay (Source: yTrade)

Export Analysis by Product: Paraguay to Netherlands (Source: yTrade)

Check Detailed Paraguay-Netherlands Trade HS Code Breakdown

Future Outlook & Strategic Recommendations

Forecast

The Paraguay-Netherlands trade relationship is likely to remain volatile in Q3 2025, with no clear stabilization in sight. Paraguay’s export swings—driven by erratic demand for agricultural residues (HS 23)—and its heavy reliance on Dutch energy imports (HS 27) suggest continued unpredictability. The trade deficit may widen further if energy prices spike, while export performance hinges on Netherlands' industrial demand for low-value byproducts. Traders should brace for sharp monthly fluctuations and prioritize risk mitigation.

Strategic Moves

• Diversify Export Markets: Paraguay must reduce dependence on Netherlands for HS 23 sales by targeting other EU biofuel or feed producers to stabilize revenue streams.
• Lock in Energy Contracts: Importers should secure fixed-price agreements for HS 27 products to shield against potential oil price surges and supply disruptions.
• Invest in Value-Add Processing: Paraguay’s exporters should upgrade HS 23 into higher-margin products (e.g., pelletized feed) to capture more value and reduce volatility.

Frequently Asked Questions

How did Paraguay - Netherlands trade perform in 2025 Q2?

Paraguay exported $23.45M and imported $43.34M from the Netherlands in Q2 2025, with volatile YoY growth in both directions and no clear trend due to extreme monthly fluctuations.

What are the top exports from Paraguay to Netherlands?

The top export is HS 23 (Residues and waste from the food industries), accounting for 59.74% of Paraguay’s shipments to the Netherlands, likely used for industrial processing like animal feed or biofuels.

What does Paraguay import from Netherlands?

The top import is HS 27 (Mineral fuels, oils, and distillation products), making up 66.67% of imports, reflecting Paraguay’s energy security dependency on the Netherlands.

What is the trade balance between Paraguay and Netherlands?

Paraguay had a trade deficit of $19.89M in Q2 2025, with imports nearly double exports, indicating an unstable demand or supply chain dynamic.