Paraguay - Netherlands Trade 2025 Q1: Surplus & Volatility

Key Market Takeaways: Paraguay - Netherlands Trade

The bilateral trade relationship between Paraguay and Netherlands showed growth with high volatility in Q1 2025.

• Surplus & Volume: Paraguay posted a €17.68M trade surplus, exporting €50.07M (1.5x imports) despite erratic import swings (-31.53% to +251.71% YoY).
• Exchange Logic: Paraguay - Netherlands trade statistics reveal a resource-for-tech dynamic—agricultural byproducts (76.29% of exports) swapped for energy (50.17% of imports) and machinery.
• Strategic Fit: Complementary but unequal: Netherlands captures higher value-add, while Paraguay supplies raw inputs.

This bilateral trade snapshot is based on verified customs data from the yTrade database.

Paraguay-Netherlands Trade Trend in Q1 2025

Paraguay Export Performance: Shipments to Netherlands

• Total Volume: €50.07M in Q1 2025.
• Growth Trend & Context:
  • YoY surged in February (+366.9%) and March (+32.45%), offsetting January’s -21.95% dip. No news to contextualize the volatility.
• Key Volatility: February saw a 464.51% MoM spike, the sharpest quarterly swing.

Paraguay Import Performance: Sourcing from Netherlands

• Total Volume: €32.39M in Q1 2025.
• Growth Trend & Context:
  • YoY swings ranged from -31.53% (January) to +251.71% (February), reflecting erratic demand.
• Key Volatility: February imports peaked (€16.92M, +126.7% MoM), while March halved (-52.67% MoM).

Paraguay - Netherlands Trade Balance & Market Dynamics

• Net Position: Trade surplus of €17.68M (Exports €50.07M > Imports €32.39M).
• Relationship Status: Paraguay maintained a strong net exporter role, with exports 1.5x imports despite import volatility.

Paraguay Import Trend from Netherlands 2025 Q1 (Source: yTrade)**

Paraguay Export Trend to Netherlands 2025 Q1 (Source: yTrade)**

Get Historical Paraguay Netherlands Trade Records

Paraguay-Netherlands Top Trading Products in Q1 2025

Paraguay Export Profile: What Does Paraguay Sell to Netherlands

• Top Commodity: Rank #1 export is HS Code 23 (Residues and waste from the food industries) with a 42.70% share.
• Demand Driver: Netherlands likely uses these for industrial processing, such as animal feed or biofuel production.
• Concentration: Trade is highly concentrated, with the top 3 exports (HS 23, 22, 38) accounting for 76.29% of total exports.

Paraguay Import Profile: What Does Paraguay Buy from Netherlands

• Top Commodity: Rank #1 import is HS Code 27 (Mineral fuels, oils, and distillation products) with a 50.17% share.
• Dependency Nature: Reflects energy security dependency, as Paraguay relies on Netherlands for refined petroleum products.

Paraguay - Netherlands Trade Relationship Dynamics

• The Exchange Model: Resource-for-Tech Complementarity—Paraguay exports low-value agricultural byproducts (HS 23, 22) and imports high-value energy products (HS 27) and machinery (HS 84, 85).
• Value Chain Position: Netherlands holds the higher value-add position, supplying advanced goods (fuels, machinery) while Paraguay provides raw materials.

Import Analysis by Product: Netherlands to Paraguay (Source: yTrade)

Export Analysis by Product: Paraguay to Netherlands (Source: yTrade)

Check Detailed Paraguay-Netherlands Trade HS Code Breakdown

Future Outlook & Strategic Recommendations

Forecast for Paraguay-Netherlands Trade

Paraguay’s trade surplus with the Netherlands is expected to hold steady in Q2 2025, driven by sustained demand for agricultural byproducts (HS 23) and energy imports (HS 27). However, the extreme volatility in monthly trade flows—particularly February’s export spike and March’s import plunge—signals potential supply chain disruptions or pricing instability. Traders should anticipate tighter margins in commodity exports, while Dutch energy suppliers may face fluctuating orders from Paraguay. Long-term, the resource-for-tech complementarity will persist, but short-term shocks could test the relationship.

Strategic Moves for Traders & Policymakers

• Lock in Forward Contracts for HS 23 Exports: Given the Netherlands’ reliance on Paraguayan agricultural residues, exporters should secure fixed-price agreements to mitigate price swings and ensure stable revenue.
• Diversify Energy Suppliers Beyond HS 27 Imports: Paraguay’s heavy dependence on Dutch refined fuels exposes it to supply risks. Buyers should explore alternative suppliers in the Americas or Middle East to reduce vulnerability.
• Invest in Processing Capacity for Higher-Value Exports: Paraguay must upgrade its agro-industrial base to move beyond raw material exports. Partnering with Dutch firms on food waste upcycling (e.g., biofuels) could capture more value.

Frequently Asked Questions

How did Paraguay - Netherlands trade perform in 2025 Q1?

Paraguay's exports to the Netherlands totaled €50.07M in Q1 2025, with volatile YoY growth (+366.9% in February, -21.95% in January). Imports from the Netherlands reached €32.39M, marked by erratic demand swings.

What are the top exports from Paraguay to Netherlands?

HS Code 23 (Residues and waste from the food industries) dominated Paraguay’s exports (42.70% share), followed by HS 22 and HS 38, collectively accounting for 76.29% of total exports.

What does Paraguay import from Netherlands?

HS Code 27 (Mineral fuels, oils, and distillation products) was the top import (50.17% share), reflecting Paraguay’s energy security dependency on the Netherlands.

What is the trade balance between Paraguay and Netherlands?

Paraguay maintained a trade surplus of €17.68M (exports €50.07M > imports €32.39M), reinforcing its net exporter role despite import volatility.