Paraguay - Japan Trade 2025 Q2: Deficit & Tech Dependence
Key Market Takeaways: Paraguay - Japan Trade
The bilateral trade relationship between Paraguay and Japan shows volatile export swings and recovering import demand in Q2 2025.
- Deficit-Driven Trade: Paraguay runs a $77.29M trade deficit with Japan ($86.87M imports vs. $9.58M exports), reflecting heavy reliance on Japanese goods.
- Resource-for-Tech Exchange: Paraguay - Japan trade statistics reveal a lopsided exchange: oil seeds (60.53% of exports) for vehicles (65.63% of imports), highlighting Japan’s value-add dominance.
- Asymmetric Interdependence: Japan holds strategic leverage as Paraguay’s critical supplier of high-tech machinery, while Paraguay remains a niche commodity exporter.
This bilateral trade snapshot is based on verified customs data from the yTrade database.
Paraguay-Japan Trade Trend in Q2 2025
Paraguay Export Performance: Shipments to Japan
- Total Volume: $9.58M in Q2 2025.
- Growth Trend & Context:
- YoY swings sharply: -10.05% in April, +5.39% in May, then -18.47% in June. No clear directional trend.
- No relevant trade news to explain volatility.
- Key Volatility: April saw a 48.01% MoM surge, but June growth halved to 13.48% MoM.
Paraguay Import Performance: Sourcing from Japan
- Total Volume: $86.87M in Q2 2025.
- Growth Trend & Context:
- YoY accelerated from -0.44% in April to +20.93% in June, signaling recovering demand.
- Key Volatility: June imports peaked at $29.62M (+3.16% MoM), with the highest YoY jump (+20.93%).
Paraguay - Japan Trade Balance & Market Dynamics
- Net Position: Trade deficit of $77.29M (Imports $86.87M > Exports $9.58M).
- Relationship Status: Paraguay heavily reliant on Japanese imports, with export volumes dwarfed 9:1.
Paraguay Import Trend from Japan 2025 Q2 (Source: yTrade)**
| Month | Value | MoM | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr | 28.54M | 6.69% | -0.44% |
| May | 28.71M | 0.59% | 5.78% |
| Jun | 29.62M | 3.16% | 20.93% |
| Total | 86.87M | - | - |
Paraguay Export Trend to Japan 2025 Q2 (Source: yTrade)**
| Month | Value | MoM | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr | 2.48M | 48.01% | -10.05% |
| May | 3.32M | 33.88% | 5.39% |
| Jun | 3.77M | 13.48% | -18.47% |
| Total | 9.58M | - | - |
Get Historical Paraguay Japan Trade Records
Paraguay-Japan Top Trading Products in Q2 2025
Paraguay Export Profile: What Does Paraguay Sell to Japan
- Top Commodity: Rank #1 export is HS Code 12 (Oil seeds and oleaginous fruits) with 60.53% share.
- Demand Driver: Japan imports these for industrial processing, likely for oil extraction or food production.
- Concentration: Trade is highly concentrated, with the top two commodities (HS 12 and 74) accounting for 96.35% of total exports.
Paraguay Import Profile: What Does Paraguay Buy from Japan
- Top Commodity: Rank #1 import is HS Code 87 (Vehicles) with 65.63% share.
- Dependency Nature: Critical technology dependency, as Japan supplies high-value machinery and transport equipment.
Paraguay - Japan Trade Relationship Dynamics
- The Exchange Model: Resource-for-Tech Complementarity. Paraguay exports raw materials (oil seeds, copper) while importing advanced manufactured goods (vehicles, machinery).
- Value Chain Position: Japan holds the higher value-add position, dominating with complex exports (vehicles, electronics) versus Paraguay’s commodity-heavy exports.
Import Analysis by Product: Japan to Paraguay (Source: yTrade)
| HS Code | Value | Percent |
|---|---|---|
| 87 | 57.01M | 65.63% |
| 84 | 8.74M | 10.06% |
| 85 | 7.29M | 8.39% |
| 30 | 4.66M | 5.37% |
| 40 | 2.70M | 3.10% |
| 90 | 1.55M | 1.79% |
| 27 | 1.27M | 1.46% |
| 39 | 1.11M | 1.28% |
| 33 | 532.98K | 0.61% |
| 29 | 257.27K | 0.30% |
Export Analysis by Product: Paraguay to Japan (Source: yTrade)
| HS Code | Value | Percent |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 5.80M | 60.53% |
| 74 | 3.43M | 35.82% |
| 85 | 257.45K | 2.69% |
| 22 | 37.67K | 0.39% |
| 44 | 23.73K | 0.25% |
| 84 | 10.45K | 0.11% |
| 39 | 8.22K | 0.09% |
| 03 | 6.80K | 0.07% |
| 08 | 5.55K | 0.06% |
Check Detailed Paraguay-Japan Trade HS Code Breakdown
Future Outlook & Strategic Recommendations
Forecast
The Paraguay-Japan trade relationship is expected to stabilize in Q3 2025, with imports from Japan likely to maintain their upward trajectory (+20% YoY in June) as demand for high-value vehicles and machinery persists. However, Paraguay’s exports to Japan will remain volatile due to their heavy reliance on a few commodities (HS 12 and 74), leaving them vulnerable to price swings. The trade deficit ($77.29M in Q2) may widen further unless Paraguay diversifies its export basket or secures more favorable terms for raw material shipments.
Strategic Moves
- Diversify Export Offerings: Paraguayan exporters must reduce dependence on oil seeds (HS 12) by exploring secondary commodities like processed foods or textiles to mitigate volatility risks.
- Lock in Long-Term Contracts: Given Japan’s steady demand for industrial inputs, Paraguayan suppliers should negotiate multi-year agreements to stabilize revenue streams and hedge against price fluctuations.
- Optimize Import Sourcing: Paraguayan importers should explore alternative suppliers for vehicles (HS 87) or negotiate bulk discounts with Japanese manufacturers to ease the trade deficit pressure.
Frequently Asked Questions
How did Paraguay - Japan trade perform in 2025 Q2?
Paraguay exported $9.58M to Japan, with volatile YoY growth, while imports from Japan surged to $86.87M, showing a recovery in demand.
What are the top exports from Paraguay to Japan?
Oil seeds and oleaginous fruits (HS Code 12) dominate, accounting for 60.53% of Paraguay’s exports to Japan.
What does Paraguay import from Japan?
Vehicles (HS Code 87) are the top import, making up 65.63% of Paraguay’s purchases from Japan.
What is the trade balance between Paraguay and Japan?
Paraguay has a trade deficit of $77.29M, with imports from Japan far exceeding exports. The gap widened in Q2 2025.
Paraguay - Japan Trade 2024 Q4: Deficit & Export Collapse
Paraguay's Japan trade trend shows a $73.84M deficit in Q4 2024, with exports plunging 89.99%. Top trading products: oil seeds (83% of exports) vs. vehicles (67% of imports). Data via yTrade.
2025 Apr Paraguay Leather hides (HS 4104) Export Snapshot: Price Rise
Paraguay's Leather hides Export (HS Code 4104) saw a 6.53% price rise in April 2025, with Italy leading demand. Track trends on yTrade.
