Palm Oil Export 2025: Market Shift

Track Indonesia's palm oil export trends for HS code 1511 on yTrade. Data shows volatile growth and supplier dominance in 2025.

Global Palm Oil Export Market Landscape

Product Definition
Palm oil, classified under HS Code 1511, is a globally traded vegetable oil used in food manufacturing, biofuels, and consumer goods. As a high-volume commodity, it is sensitive to supply chain disruptions and shifts in agricultural policy.

Strategic Insights

  • Market Momentum: Global palm oil exports in 2025 showed volatile growth, peaking mid-year before moderating due to fluctuating demand and supply adjustments.
  • Geographic Power: Indonesia dominates supply (75% volume share), while demand is fragmented across India, Pakistan, and emerging Asian/African markets, creating a supplier-driven trade flow.
  • Supply Chain Structure: The market is highly consolidated, with top suppliers controlling 66% of export value, forcing buyers into volume-based contracts with limited negotiation power.

Global Palm Oil Export Trend in 2025 Whole Year

Global palm oil exports demonstrated significant volatility in 2025, supported by a robust market valuation [Coherent Market Insights].

  • Aggregate Performance: The observed trade flow showed strong aggregate value, reflecting dynamic shifts in both export earnings and shipment volumes throughout the year.
  • Period Dynamics: Momentum surged from early-year levels to a mid-year peak before moderating, indicating shifting global demand patterns and supply responses.

Table: Palm oil Export Trend in 2025 Whole Year

DateValueWeightUnit PriceValue MoMWeight MoMUnit Price MoM
2025-01-015.45B USD3.87B kg$1.41/kgN/AN/AN/A
2025-02-017.23B USD5.05B kg$1.43/kg+32.73%+30.38%+1.80%
2025-03-017.22B USD5.52B kg$1.31/kg-0.13%+9.30%-8.63%
2025-04-015.94B USD4.46B kg$1.33/kg-17.72%-19.22%+1.85%
2025-05-018.52B USD5.81B kg$1.47/kg+43.47%+30.28%+10.13%
2025-06-019.29B USD6.00B kg$1.55/kg+8.95%+3.30%+5.47%
2025-07-0114.44B USD11.62B kg$1.24/kg+55.47%+93.70%-19.74%
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2025-09-015.16B USD3.85B kg$1.34/kg***************
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Palm oil Global Market Structure: Supply vs. Demand

Top Origin Countries & Production Hubs

  • Indonesia dominates supply with 75.31% quantity share and 62.15% value share – commanding market control.
  • Market structure is monopolistic: Top 2 exporters (Indonesia & Malaysia) hold 86.79% quantity share; Indonesia alone exceeds 75%.
  • Malaysia is the only challenger (11.48% quantity), while others like Papua New Guinea (0.12%) are marginal.

Top Destination Countries & Consumption Markets

  • India and Pakistan drive demand: India leads in value (87.22% share), Pakistan in quantity (26.45%).
  • Demand split between consumption and processing: India's high-value imports suggest consumer goods manufacturing; Pakistan's bulk/low-value buys indicate industrial use.
  • Emerging markets dominate: Bangladesh, Kenya, Philippines, and Vietnam reflect rising Asian/African consumption.

Supply-Demand Dynamics

  • Severe supply concentration meets fragmented demand: Indonesia’s monopoly contrasts with 10+ major importers sharing demand.
  • South-to-South trade flow: Southeast Asian producers (Indonesia/Malaysia) supply Asian (India/Pakistan) and African (Kenya) markets.
  • Pricing power firmly with exporters: Indonesia’s supply stranglehold forces importers to accept market terms.

Table: Global Palm oil Export —— Top Destination Countries

Destination CountryValueQuantityFrequencyWeight
INDIA338.60B3.45B15.41K15.27B
PAKISTAN9.81B9.09B31.53K2.60B
BANGLADESH3.84B1.21B2.08K3.55B
KENYA3.06B1.34B2.73K2.13B
CHINA MAINLAND2.93B2.26B1.15K83.76B
PHILIPPINES************************

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Table: Global Palm oil Export —— Top origin Countries

Origin CountryValueQuantityFrequencyWeight
INDONESIA241.40B26.38B58.77K25.81B
MALAYSIA84.46B4.02B51.12K21.62B
PAPUA NEW GUINEA23.13B42.04M514.00160.58M
THAILAND15.00B118.18M1.39K766.68M
SINGAPORE10.62B448.72M2.03K1.15B
GUINEA************************

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Global Palm oil Export Analysis: Key Suppliers & Buyers

Suppliers Concentration & Strategy

  • Power Center: Highly Consolidated. Dominators (44% of suppliers) control 66% of export value.
  • Operational Style: High-Frequency focus. 75% of suppliers (Dominators + Retail/JIT) ship frequently.
  • Risk/Opportunity: Buyers face supplier dependency. Dominators offer stability but limit negotiation leverage. Retail/JIT players (31% of shipments) provide flexible alternatives for smaller orders.

Oversea Buyers Procurement Patterns

  • Procurement Behavior: Bulk stockpiling dominates. Dominators (47% of buyers) handle 93% of volume through frequent, massive shipments.
  • Market Tier: Giant-driven. Dominators command 78% of import value. High-Value/Low-Frequency buyers (11% of players) account for 21% value via sporadic bulk purchases.

Market Entry & Negotiation Strategy

  • New Exporters: Target Dominator buyers first. Prepare for volume-based pricing and strict compliance demands.
  • New Importers: Secure contracts with High-Frequency suppliers for consistent supply. Use Bulk Movers (e.g., WILMAR NABATI) for spot fills.
  • Critical Caution: Avoid over-reliance on Niche/Occasional players. They represent under 3% of market value.

Table: Global Palm oil Export —— Top Buyers

Buyer CompanyValueQuantityFrequencyWeight
GOKUL AGRO RESOURCES LIMITED61.26B84.35M1.26K425.42M
PATANJALI FOODS LIMITED42.39B701.84M1.49K8.36B
EMAMI AGROTECH LIMITED31.52B128.79M971.00814.46M
KANPUR EDIBLES PRIVATE LIMITED************************

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Table: Global Palm oil Export —— Top Suppliers

Supplier CompanyValueQuantityFrequencyWeight
OLAM GLOBAL AGRI PTE LTD9.88B340.84M2.05K8.36B
WILMAR TRADING PTE LTD3.33B1.15B2.35K1.70B
FGV TRADING SDN BHD1.31B364.29M1.88K207.41M
KUTAI REFINERY NUSANTARA************************

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the HS Code for Palm oil?

The HS Code for Palm oil is 1511, covering crude and refined palm oil products traded globally.

Which country is the largest exporter of Palm oil in 2025 Whole Year?

Indonesia is the largest exporter, dominating global supply with 241.40B in export value.

Who are the top importers of Palm oil in 2025 Whole Year?

Top importers include India (338.60B), Pakistan (9.81B), and Bangladesh (3.84B), driven by high consumption in food and biofuels.

Who are the major suppliers and companies trading Palm oil in 2025 Whole Year?

Key buyers: Gokul Agro Resources Limited (61.26B) and Patanjali Foods Limited (42.39B). Top suppliers: Olam Global Agri Pte Ltd (9.88B) and Wilmar Trading Pte Ltd (3.33B).

Why do Palm oil import rankings sometimes differ from export destination lists?

Trade asymmetries occur because exports report intended destinations (FOB value), while imports record actual arrivals (CIF value). Trans-shipment hubs also cause discrepancies.

How to find reliable Palm oil suppliers and exporters in 2025 Whole Year?

Access verified shipment records, bill of lading details, and active suppliers for HS Code 1511 via yTrade, targeting key regions like Indonesia.

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