Mexico Liquefied Petroleum Gas HS2711 Export Data 2025 Q3 Overview

Mexico Liquefied Petroleum Gas (HS 2711) 2025 Q3 Export: Key Takeaways

Mexico’s Liquefied Petroleum Gas (HS Code 2711) Export 2025 Q3 is heavily concentrated in the U.S., which accounts for 46.5% of total weight, reflecting a bulk commodity trade with high-volume, low-unit-price dynamics. The market shows extreme buyer concentration, with the U.S. and Puerto Rico dominating nearly 83% of shipments, creating significant supply chain reliance. Geographic risk is heightened by Mexico’s new export compliance rules, though LPG remains exempt for now. This analysis covers 2025 Q3 and is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database.

Mexico Liquefied Petroleum Gas (HS 2711) 2025 Q3 Export Background

Mexico Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG), classified under HS Code 2711 as petroleum gas and other hydrocarbons, is a critical energy source for heating, cooking, and industrial processes, driving steady global demand. As Mexico implements its Automatic Export Notice requirement for select goods starting July 2025 [Expeditors], exporters must navigate new compliance steps, though LPG remains a key export commodity. Mexico’s strategic role in 2025 Q3 exports is reinforced by its energy infrastructure and proximity to major markets like the U.S., ensuring its position as a reliable supplier.

Mexico Liquefied Petroleum Gas (HS 2711) 2025 Q3 Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

Mexico Liquefied Petroleum Gas HS Code 2711 Export 2025 Q3 concluded with a dramatic price surge, as September's unit price jumped to 0.43 USD/kg—a 59% increase from August—driving value to $121.81 million despite only a moderate rise in volume.

Price and Volume Dynamics

Q3 performance showed erratic swings, with unit prices holding steady near 0.28 USD/kg in July before dipping in August and then spiking sharply in September. Volume fluctuated between 237 million kg and 319 million kg, failing to align with typical seasonal LGP demand patterns where summer months often see softer pricing due to lower heating needs. This disconnect suggests supply-side constraints or logistical disruptions overrode usual market cycles, amplifying volatility.

External Context and Outlook

The rollout of Mexico's Automatic Export Notice requirement [Expeditors News] in early July likely introduced procedural delays, even though HS Code 2711 wasn't explicitly covered. Such regulatory friction can tighten export supply chains, potentially explaining the Q3 price instability. Looking ahead, sustained administrative hurdles could keep Mexico Liquefied Petroleum Gas exports prone to cost pressures, especially if global energy volatility persists.

Mexico Liquefied Petroleum Gas (HS 2711) 2025 Q3 Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In Mexico's Liquefied Petroleum Gas HS Code 2711 Export for 2025 Q3, the market is heavily concentrated on liquefied natural gas, specifically the product "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons; liquefied, natural gas". This sub-code holds over 33% of both value and weight shares, with a unit price of 0.33 USD per kilogram, highlighting its dominant and specialized role. An extreme price anomaly exists for gaseous state natural gas, which has a unit price of only 0.11 USD per kilogram and minimal value impact, so it is excluded from further analysis.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The non-anomalous sub-codes fall into two clear groups: liquefied natural gas and liquefied propane. Liquefied natural gas variants maintain unit prices around 0.33 USD per kilogram, while liquefied propane shows a similar low price of 0.12 USD per kilogram. This uniform pricing and bulk nature indicate a trade in fungible commodities, closely tied to global energy indices rather than differentiated or high-value products.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

For Mexico's Liquefied Petroleum Gas exports, the commodity-driven structure means limited pricing power for market players, emphasizing the need for competitive cost management and volume-based strategies. The low, consistent unit prices across categories suggest high market competition and dependence on external price benchmarks.

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Mexico Liquefied Petroleum Gas (HS 2711) 2025 Q3 Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Mexico's Liquefied Petroleum Gas HS Code 2711 Export 2025 Q3 is overwhelmingly concentrated with the United States, which accounts for 46.5% of the total weight and 40.15% of the total value. This significant gap between the value share and weight share confirms this is a bulk commodity trade, where large volumes are moved at a relatively low unit price. Puerto Rico is the second largest partner, holding a 36.87% weight share and an even higher 35.05% value share, reinforcing the pattern of high-volume, lower-value product movement.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The trade flows form three clear clusters. The first is the dominant US and Puerto Rico corridor, driven by geographic proximity and established energy logistics for bulk transport. The second cluster consists of the Netherlands and Brazil, which are major international hubs for petroleum product trading and redistribution within global supply chains. The final cluster includes very small, neighboring destinations like the US Virgin Islands, Guatemala, and Costa Rica, which represent minor, likely opportunistic or regional niche shipments.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

For shippers, the extreme reliance on the US market requires a focus on managing cross-border logistics and new compliance rules. Mexico's new Automatic Export Notice requirement, effective since July 2025, now mandates pre-shipment filings for covered goods [Expeditors]. While LPG is not explicitly listed among the 30 codes subject to this notice, exporters must stay vigilant for any regulatory updates. The strategy should prioritize securing reliable transport for high-volume routes to the US and Puerto Rico while monitoring for any policy changes that could impact this crucial trade lane.

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Mexico Liquefied Petroleum Gas (HS 2711) 2025 Q3 Export: Buyer Cluster

Buyer Market Concentration and Dominance

In the Mexico Liquefied Petroleum Gas Export 2025 Q3 under HS Code 2711, the buyer market is extremely concentrated among four segments of buyers. For Q3 2025, buyers with high purchase value and high frequency completely dominate, accounting for 100% of the export value and 74.19% of the transaction frequency. This indicates a market driven by large, regular bulk purchases typical for commodity products like LPG.

Strategic Buyer Clusters and Trade Role

The other buyer segments show minimal activity. Buyers with high value but low frequency represent only 6.45% of transactions with negligible value, suggesting occasional large orders that are not significant overall. Buyers with low value but high frequency make up 19.35% of transactions but contribute almost no value, likely consisting of small-scale or testing purchases by local distributors. There is no activity from buyers with low value and low frequency, highlighting the commodity's reliance on major players.

Sales Strategy and Vulnerability

For exporters in Mexico, the strategy must focus on maintaining strong relationships with the dominant bulk buyers to ensure steady demand, but this creates vulnerability to shifts in their purchasing patterns. The high concentration risks supply chain disruptions if key buyers reduce orders. Sales should prioritize direct, high-volume contracts. Additionally, Mexico's new Automatic Export Notice [Expeditors.com] requires compliance with export procedures, reinforcing the need for efficient logistics despite LPG not being explicitly listed among affected goods.

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Mexico Liquefied Petroleum Gas (HS 2711) 2025 Q3 Export: Action Plan for Liquefied Petroleum Gas Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Mexico Liquefied Petroleum Gas Export 2025 Q3 under HS Code 2711 operates as a bulk commodity market. Prices are driven by global energy indices and volume-based trade, not product differentiation. The supply chain implications are high-volume logistics and reliance on key corridors like the US and Puerto Rico. Mexico serves as a processing and distribution hub for these standardized energy products.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Liquefied Petroleum Gas Market Execution

• Monitor global propane and natural gas indices weekly to align contract pricing with real-time benchmarks. This prevents margin erosion from sudden index shifts.
• Use buyer transaction data to identify and secure long-term contracts with high-frequency bulk buyers. This ensures stable demand and reduces market volatility exposure.
• Analyze shipping routes to the US and Puerto Rico for cost-efficient transport options. This maintains competitiveness in your largest markets by controlling logistics expenses.
• Track regulatory updates like Mexico’s Automatic Export Notice rules even though LPG is not listed. This avoids unexpected compliance delays that could disrupt shipments.
• Diversify into minor neighboring markets like Guatemala using trade data to spot emerging opportunities. This reduces over-reliance on a few dominant partners.

Risk and Compliance Outlook

Market concentration on the US creates vulnerability to demand shifts or policy changes. The uniform pricing limits differentiation strategies. Compliance with Mexico’s export procedures remains essential for smooth operations, even without explicit LPG inclusion in new rules. Prioritize supply chain resilience through data-backed buyer and route diversification.

Take Action Now —— Explore Mexico Liquefied Petroleum Gas Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Mexico Liquefied Petroleum Gas Export 2025 Q3?

The September 2025 price surge to 0.43 USD/kg (+59% from August) reflects supply-side disruptions, likely tied to Mexico's new export compliance rules, overriding typical seasonal demand patterns.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Mexico Liquefied Petroleum Gas Export 2025 Q3?

The U.S. (40.15% value share) and Puerto Rico (35.05% value share) dominate, followed by the Netherlands and Brazil as secondary redistribution hubs.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Mexico Liquefied Petroleum Gas Export 2025 Q3 partner countries?

Price differences stem from product grade: liquefied natural gas trades at 0.33 USD/kg, while liquefied propane averages 0.12 USD/kg, reflecting bulk commodity pricing.

Q4. What should exporters in Mexico focus on in the current Liquefied Petroleum Gas export market?

Exporters must prioritize high-volume contracts with dominant U.S. buyers (46.5% weight share) and monitor regulatory changes, despite LPG not being listed under Mexico’s new export notice.

Q5. What does this Mexico Liquefied Petroleum Gas export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

U.S. and Puerto Rican buyers benefit from stable bulk supply but face vulnerability to Mexico’s logistical or regulatory disruptions due to extreme market concentration.

Q6. How is Liquefied Petroleum Gas typically used in this trade flow?

The fungible, low-price nature (0.12–0.33 USD/kg) indicates use as a bulk energy commodity, likely for heating or industrial processes rather than high-value applications.

Q7. What is yTrade?

yTrade is a global trade data platform that provides SaaS and API access to provide accurate, structured, and searchable import-export trade data for international business decisions. It enables users to access verified shipment records, analyse buyer and supplier activity, review company trade overviews, assess compliance risks, and monitor real market demand — all from a single, scalable system.

Q8. How can yTrade benefit my business?

yTrade helps businesses:

• Identify active and verified buyers through global import data
• Discover reliable suppliers with real shipment history
• Monitor competitor previous trade activity
• Reduce sourcing and compliance risk with worldwide export data
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• Save time by replacing manual research with structured trade data analysis

Q9. What features does yTrade offer?

yTrade provides practical, trade-focused tools including:

• Global shipment search by HS code, product, company name, port, or country
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• Basic compliance with background checks and sanctions risk screening
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• Global Trade Data API access for Internal Softwares like CRM, ERP, and SaaS integration All data is structured, verified, and cleaned to ensure consistency and reliability.

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