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2025 Mexico Corn (HS 1005) Export: Price Swings

Mexico's corn export (HS code 1005) saw extreme volatility in 2025, with prices spiking 293% before crashing 67%. Track the full analysis on yTrade data.

Key Takeaways

Corn, classified under HS Code 1005 (Corn (maize)), exhibited extreme volatility from January to October 2025.

  • Market Pulse: Export value peaked at $118.55M in March before collapsing to $3.77M by October, with unit prices swinging from a 293% spike to a 67% drop. Weight volumes were less erratic but still fell 41% post-June.
  • Structural Shift: Mexico Corn Export flows are heavily concentrated, with 58.22% of value tied to domestic re-importation (likely tax or logistics maneuvering) and 83.13% of trade controlled by a few High-Volume Repeaters like MOLINA AGRO-CLUSTERS OF USA, INC.
  • Product Logic: HS Code 1005 trade data reveals a stark divide—seed corn (73% of value at ~3 USD/kg) drives margins, while non-seed corn (0.02 USD/kg) operates as a low-value bulk commodity.

This overview covers the period from January to October 2025 and is based on verified customs data from the yTrade database.

Mexico Corn (HS Code 1005) Key Metrics Trend

Market Trend Summary

The Mexico Corn Export trend from January to October 2025 exhibited extreme volatility, marked by a sharp March surge followed by a steep decline. Exports peaked in value at $118.55M in March, driven by a 293% unit price spike, then contracted severely by October to just $3.77M as prices collapsed 67% month-on-month. Weight volumes showed less consistency, rising to a Q2 high of 92.36M kg in June before falling 41% by October, indicating a disconnect between volume and value dynamics.

Drivers & Industry Context

The March price spike likely reflects high-value seed corn shipments within HS Code 1005, as later data confirms premium products comprising over half of September’s export value [yTrade]. The subsequent crash aligns with bulk corn’s seasonal cycle and competitive pressure, exacerbated by Mexico’s exclusion of corn from June’s Automatic Export Notice list [Expeditors], which avoided permit delays but didn’t prevent oversupply effects. The hs code 1005 value erosion after mid-year underscores a shift from premium to commodity-grade trade, compressing margins despite stable export rules.

Table: Mexico Corn Export Trend (Source: yTrade)

DateValueWeightUnit PriceValue MoMWeight MoMUnit Price MoM
2025-01-0113.87M USD39.65M kg$0.35/kgN/AN/AN/A
2025-02-0117.71M USD33.71M kg$0.53/kg+27.64%-15.00%+50.16%
2025-03-01118.55M USD57.47M kg$2.06/kg+569.48%+70.49%+292.68%
2025-04-0162.54M USD74.32M kg$0.84/kg-47.25%+29.33%-59.21%
2025-05-0169.91M USD77.93M kg$0.90/kg+11.78%+4.85%+6.60%
2025-06-0178.20M USD92.36M kg$0.85/kg+11.86%+18.53%-5.62%
2025-07-0168.94M USD71.67M kg$0.96/kg-11.85%-22.41%+13.60%
2025-08-0134.84M USD58.57M kg$0.59/kg-49.46%-18.28%-38.16%
2025-09-0119.53M USD58.91M kg$0.33/kg-43.94%+0.58%-44.26%
2025-10-013.77M USD34.55M kg$0.11/kg-80.71%-41.35%-67.12%

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Mexico HS Code 1005 Export Breakdown

Market Composition & Top Categories

The Mexico HS Code 1005 Export market from January to October 2025 is dominated by seed corn, specifically under sub-code 10051001, which accounts for 73% of the total export value. According to yTrade data, this high-value category represents the bulk of trade, with seed corn shipments making up over 60% of the volume. The remaining sub-codes consist almost entirely of non-seed corn, which has minimal value contribution despite higher weight shares.

Value Chain & Strategic Insights

Unit prices reveal a stark divide: seed corn commands around 3 USD per kilogram, while non-seed corn trades at just 0.02 USD per kilogram or less, indicating a market split between specialized, quality-sensitive products and bulk commodities. This HS Code 1005 breakdown shows a dual trade structure where seed corn drives premium value, suggesting buyers prioritize genetic quality and certification over price. For exporters, focusing on seed corn can capture higher margins, whereas non-seed remains a volume-driven, price-competitive segment.

Table: Mexico HS Code 1005) Export Breakdown Details (Source: yTrade)

HS CodeProduct DescriptionValueFrequencyQuantityWeight
100510**Cereals; maize (corn), seed356.54M1.75K50.27M114.30M
100510****Cereals; maize (corn), seed75.76M1.80K11.63M25.07M
100510Cereals; maize (corn), seed45.70M271.006.90M16.44M
1005******************************************

Check Detailed HS Code 1005 Breakdown

Mexico Corn Destination Countries

Geographic Concentration & Market Risk

From January to October 2025, Mexico's Corn export value is overwhelmingly dominated by Mexico itself at 58.22%, but this self-referential flow indicates re-importation or bonded zone logistics, likely due to round-tripping for tax advantages or quality returns, not final consumption. Other significant Mexico Corn export destinations include Venezuela (12.18% value share) and Peru (7.96%), showing moderate diversification but high concentration risk in a few markets. This reliance on domestic staging and select partners exposes vulnerabilities to supply chain disruptions or policy changes in these regions.

Purchasing Behavior & Demand Segmentation

Mexico's Corn trade partners display clear segmentation: for Peru and Guatemala, value ratios (7.96 and 5.33) far exceed weight ratios (1.18 and 1.07), signaling quality-conscious demand for high-value specifications with strong margin potential. Conversely, the United States has a weight ratio of 71.54% dwarfing its value ratio of 1.70%, reflecting price-sensitive bulk processing for volume scale. The frequency ratios align with bulk or premium flows rather than retail fragmentation, confirming that trade partners for Corn prioritize either margin-driven quality or cost-efficient volume.

Table: Mexico Corn (HS Code 1005) Top Destination Countries (Source: yTrade)

CountryValueQuantityFrequencyWeight
MEXICO284.05M39.16M56.0091.03M
VENEZUELA59.40M8.27M334.0023.94M
PERU38.83M5.51M114.007.07M
GUATEMALA25.99M5.31M321.006.41M
ECUADOR20.72M2.69M105.004.14M
EL SALVADOR************************

Get Mexico Corn (HS Code 1005) Complete Destination Countries Profile

Mexico Corn Buyer Companies Analysis

Buyer Concentration & Market Structure

According to yTrade data, the dominant Mexico Corn buyers from January to October 2025 are High-Volume Repeaters, capturing 83.13% of export value. This segment, including firms like MOLINA AGRO-CLUSTERS OF USA, INC, drives a stable, contract-based market where long-term supply chains prevail. The high value concentration underscores that these key accounts form the backbone of Mexico's corn export flow.

Purchasing Behavior & Sales Strategy

The HS Code 1005 buyer trends reveal that High-Volume Repeaters dominate, posing a concentration risk if any major account shifts. Sales strategy should prioritize securing contract renewals and offering value-added services to these loyal partners, while using digital marketing to tap into the fragmented low-value segments for balance. [yTrade] notes Mexico's focus on high-value exports, reinforcing this approach.

Table: Mexico Corn (HS Code 1005) Top Buyers List (Source: yTrade)

Buyer CompanyValueQuantityFrequencyWeight
MONSANTO COMPANY28.15M4.10M236.005.48M
FARMEX S.A12.34M1.99M30.002.14M
TECNICA UNIVERSAL, SOCIEDAD ANONIMA11.31M1.91M93.001.78M
SYNGENTA CROP PROTECTION AG************************

Check Full Mexico Corn Buyers list

Action Plan for Corn Market Operation and Expansion

  • Prioritize seed corn contracts: Focus on high-margin seed corn (HS 10051001) to capitalize on its 3 USD/kg premium, as non-seed corn offers negligible returns.
  • Lock in High-Volume Repeaters: Secure long-term agreements with top buyers like MOLINA AGRO-CLUSTERS to mitigate concentration risk—they drive 83% of export value.
  • Diversify geographic exposure: Reduce reliance on Mexico’s circular trade (58.22% of value) by targeting quality-conscious markets like Peru (7.96% value share) where value-to-weight ratios signal premium demand.
  • Hedge against price swings: March’s 293% price spike and subsequent 67% crash demand short-term contracts or dynamic pricing tools to manage volatility.
  • Audit logistics for bulk corn: For non-seed shipments, streamline costs to compete in the ultra-low-margin (0.02 USD/kg) bulk segment dominated by the U.S. (71.54% weight share).

Take Action Now —— Explore Mexico Corn HS Code 1005 Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Mexico Corn Export in 2025?

The Mexico Corn Export market saw extreme volatility in 2025, with a March value surge ($118.55M) driven by a 293% unit price spike for high-value seed corn, followed by a steep decline due to oversupply and seasonal shifts to bulk commodity trade.

Q2. Who are the main destination countries of Mexico Corn (HS Code 1005) in 2025?

Mexico itself dominates (58.22% of export value), likely due to re-importation logistics, followed by Venezuela (12.18%) and Peru (7.96%), indicating high geographic concentration.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across destination countries of Mexico Corn Export in 2025?

Seed corn (sub-code 10051001) commands ~3 USD/kg, while non-seed corn trades at 0.02 USD/kg, creating a premium-to-bulk split. Peru and Guatemala pay premium prices for quality, while the U.S. focuses on low-cost volume.

Q4. What should exporters in Mexico focus on in the current Corn export market?

Exporters should prioritize securing contracts with High-Volume Repeaters (83.13% of value) for seed corn, while diversifying to mitigate risks from over-reliance on Mexico and Venezuela.

Q5. What does this Mexico Corn export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers in Peru/Guatemala access high-margin seed corn, while U.S. buyers benefit from cheap bulk supply. However, Venezuela faces concentration risks if Mexican export flows shift.

Q6. How is Corn typically used in this trade flow?

Seed corn (73% of export value) is used for quality-sensitive agriculture, while non-seed corn serves bulk commodity purposes like animal feed or industrial processing.

Detailed Monthly and Quarterly Report

Mexico HS Code 1005 Export Data Snapshot 2025 JAN

Mexico HS Code 1005 Export Data Snapshot 2025 JAN

Mexico HS Code 1005 Export Data Snapshot 2025 FEB

Mexico HS Code 1005 Export Data Snapshot 2025 FEB

Mexico HS Code 1005 Export Data Snapshot 2025 MAR

Mexico HS Code 1005 Export Data Snapshot 2025 APR

Mexico HS Code 1005 Export Data Snapshot 2025 APR

Mexico HS Code 1005 Export Data Snapshot 2025 MAY

Mexico HS Code 1005 Export Data Snapshot 2025 JUN

Mexico HS Code 1005 Export Data Snapshot 2025 JUL

Mexico HS Code 1005 Export Data Snapshot 2025 AUG

Mexico HS Code 1005 Export Data Snapshot 2025 SEP

Mexico HS Code 1005 Export Data Snapshot 2025 Q1

Mexico HS Code 1005 Export Data Snapshot 2025 Q2

Mexico HS Code 1005 Export Data Snapshot 2025 Q3

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