Mexico Crude Oil HS2709 Export Data 2025 September Overview

Mexico Crude Oil (HS 2709) 2025 September Export: Key Takeaways

Mexico’s Crude Oil exports under HS Code 2709 in September 2025 reveal a highly concentrated buyer landscape, with the U.S. dominating 42.69% of trade value, reflecting both geographic proximity and standardized pricing. The market shows stable demand, with no new export restrictions, but heavy reliance on the U.S. underscores supply chain risks. This analysis, covering September 2025, is based on verified Customs data from the yTrade database.

Mexico Crude Oil (HS 2709) 2025 September Export Background

Mexico's Crude Oil (HS Code 2709: Petroleum crude oil from bituminous minerals) fuels global industries, from energy to transportation, with steady demand due to its role in refining and manufacturing. While recent 2025 policies like Mexico's Automatic Export Notice [APA Engineering] exclude HS 2709, the country remains a top exporter, supplying nearly half of U.S. crude imports as of September 2025. Its strategic pipelines and proximity to key markets reinforce this trade flow’s resilience.

Mexico Crude Oil (HS 2709) 2025 September Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

Mexico's Crude Oil exports under HS Code 2709 in September 2025 experienced a sharp unit price decline to $0.43 per kg, down 37% from August, while volume rose 12% to 8.47 billion kg, indicating increased supply amid weaker pricing pressures.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The September data shows a typical crude oil market reaction to oversupply, with the price drop from August's $0.68 per kg reflecting inventory build-ups and seasonal demand softness post-summer. Quarterly, Q3 average unit price of $0.62 per kg exceeded Q2's $0.43, driven by July's spike, but September's retreat suggests normalization. Volume fluctuations align with production cycles, where higher output in September met subdued global demand, common in autumn months for oil exports.

External Context and Outlook

Mexico's export policies remained stable for crude oil, as the new Automatic Export Notice effective July 2025 excludes HS Code 2709 [APA Engineering], ensuring no regulatory disruptions. The outlook for Mexico Crude Oil HS Code 2709 Export 2025 September hinges on global oil price volatility and OPEC production decisions, with potential rebounds if winter demand strengthens.

Mexico Crude Oil (HS 2709) 2025 September Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In September 2025, Mexico's Crude Oil exports under HS Code 2709 show strong concentration, with the sub-code 270900 ("Oils; petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude") leading at a 33% value share and 33% weight share, based on a unit price of $0.43 per kilogram. This low and consistent pricing across sub-codes confirms a specialized focus on bulk commodity trade, with no extreme price anomalies present in the data.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The remaining sub-codes, such as 27090005, 2709000501, and 2709000502, form a homogeneous group with unit prices ranging from $0.41 to $0.48 per kilogram, indicating minimal differentiation in quality or grade. This structure points to a fungible bulk commodity market, where all exports are crude oil variations tied to global price indices rather than value-added processing.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

For Mexico Crude Oil HS Code 2709 Export in 2025 September, the uniform low pricing implies limited pricing power for exporters, relying on volume and global oil market trends. [FreightAmigo] notes that crude petroleum dominates exports to the USA, and with no new regulatory changes like the Automatic Export Notice affecting this code (FreightAmigo), strategic focus should remain on cost efficiency and market access stability.

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Mexico Crude Oil (HS 2709) 2025 September Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Mexico's Crude Oil exports under HS Code 2709 in September 2025 show high concentration, with the UNITED STATES dominating at 42.69% of value and 43.19% of weight. The close match between value and weight ratios indicates a consistent product grade, typical for commodities like crude oil, with an estimated unit price around 0.43 USD per kilogram. This pattern suggests standardized pricing and quality across key markets.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The top partners form distinct clusters: first, the US and Mexico with over 72% combined value share, driven by geographic proximity and trade agreements like USMCA. Second, European countries like Spain and Italy account for smaller shares, likely due to refining demand or historical trade ties. Third, nations like South Korea and Cuba have minimal presence, possibly from niche agreements or limited infrastructure.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

For market players, the heavy reliance on the US market requires focus on supply stability and diversification. The absence of new export restrictions for HS Code 2709, as confirmed by [APA Engineering], supports continued smooth operations. Strategies should prioritize maintaining strong US ties while cautiously exploring secondary markets to mitigate geopolitical risks.

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Mexico Crude Oil (HS 2709) 2025 September Export: Buyer Cluster

Buyer Market Concentration and Dominance

In September 2025, Mexico's Crude Oil export market for HS Code 2709 is heavily concentrated, with one group of buyers dominating the trade. These buyers make frequent, high-value purchases, accounting for 96% of all transactions and nearly 96% of the total export value. This segment defines the market as highly reliant on a few key players for the bulk of sales. The analysis of the four segments of buyers shows that the median activity is skewed towards large, regular orders, with minimal diversity in buyer types.

Strategic Buyer Clusters and Trade Role

The only other active segment consists of buyers with low purchase values and low order frequency, contributing about 4% of the total value. These are likely smaller or occasional purchasers, such as regional distributors or spot market participants, which is common for commodity exports like crude oil. The remaining two segments—buyers with high value but low frequency, and those with low value but high frequency—show no activity in this period, indicating a market with limited buyer variety and no niche roles present.

Sales Strategy and Vulnerability

For exporters in Mexico, the strategy should focus on nurturing relationships with the dominant high-value, high-frequency buyers to maintain stable revenue, but this creates vulnerability to demand shifts from these few clients. The lack of buyer diversity increases risk, but the stable regulatory environment offers an opportunity, as recent news confirms no new export restrictions for HS Code 2709 [APA Engineering]. Sales efforts can prioritize long-term contracts with core buyers, avoiding the need for broad market diversification.

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Mexico Crude Oil (HS 2709) 2025 September Export: Action Plan for Crude Oil Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Mexico Crude Oil Export 2025 September under HS Code 2709 operates as a bulk commodity market. Price is driven by global oil indices, not product differentiation. All sub-codes show uniform low pricing near $0.43/kg. Supply chains face high concentration risk. The United States dominates as a buyer, taking over 42% of volume. A single buyer group accounts for 96% of transactions. This creates reliance on few clients and one market.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Crude Oil Market Execution

• Monitor global crude oil indices daily to time export contracts. This maximizes revenue by aligning sales with price peaks.
• Use trade data to track order frequency of top US buyers. This ensures production planning matches their demand cycles and avoids oversupply.
• Analyze port and logistics data for US-bound shipments. This secures reliable transport routes and minimizes delivery delays.
• Develop a risk dashboard tracking geopolitical events in key markets. This allows quick response to potential supply disruptions.
• Explore trade data for secondary markets in Europe to gradually diversify. This reduces over-dependence on the US buyer base.

Take Action Now —— Explore Mexico Crude Oil Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Mexico Crude Oil Export 2025 September?

The unit price dropped 37% to $0.43 per kg in September 2025 due to increased supply (12% volume rise) and weaker global demand, typical of post-summer crude oil market dynamics.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Mexico Crude Oil Export 2025 September?

The UNITED STATES dominates with 42.69% of export value, followed by Mexico (combined 72% with the US) and smaller shares to Spain and Italy.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Mexico Crude Oil Export 2025 September partner countries?

Prices are uniform (ranging $0.41–$0.48 per kg) as all sub-codes under HS 2709 represent bulk crude oil with minimal quality differentiation, tied to global indices.

Q4. What should exporters in Mexico focus on in the current Crude Oil export market?

Exporters must prioritize relationships with dominant high-frequency buyers (96% of transactions) while exploring secondary markets to reduce reliance on the US.

Q5. What does this Mexico Crude Oil export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers benefit from stable, low-cost supply but face competition for volume from the US, which commands nearly half of Mexico’s crude oil exports.

Q6. How is Crude Oil typically used in this trade flow?

Crude oil is traded as a bulk commodity for refining into fuels and petrochemicals, with no value-added processing in Mexico’s export structure.

Q7. What is yTrade?

yTrade is a global trade data platform that provides SaaS and API access to provide accurate, structured, and searchable import-export trade data for international business decisions. It enables users to access verified shipment records, analyse buyer and supplier activity, review company trade overviews, assess compliance risks, and monitor real market demand — all from a single, scalable system.

Q8. How can yTrade benefit my business?

yTrade helps businesses:

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Q9. What features does yTrade offer?

yTrade provides practical, trade-focused tools including:

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