Mexico Crude Oil HS2709 Export Data 2025 July Overview

Mexico Crude Oil (HS 2709) 2025 July Export: Key Takeaways

Mexico's Crude Oil Export (HS Code 2709) in July 2025 reveals a high-value niche with Cuba paying premium prices (2.41 USD/kg) for likely premium-grade oil, contrasting the U.S.'s bulk purchases (0.43 USD/kg). The market is stable, with no disruptive policies, while buyer concentration shows Cuba dominating value (50.72%) and the U.S. leading volume (29.27%). Geographic focus highlights Mexico’s dual role as a premium supplier to Cuba and bulk provider to regional partners. This analysis covers July 2025 and is based on processed Customs data from the yTrade database.

Mexico Crude Oil (HS 2709) 2025 July Export Background

Mexico Crude Oil (HS Code 2709), defined as petroleum crude oil from bituminous minerals, fuels global industries like transportation and energy, maintaining steady demand due to its irreplaceable role. As of July 2025, Mexico’s exports of HS Code 2709 remain unaffected by new Automatic Export Notice requirements [Expeditors], with 48% of its crude shipments destined for the U.S., solidifying its position as a key supplier [FreightAmigo]. Mexico’s strategic export volume and proximity to major markets underscore its critical role in global crude trade.

Mexico Crude Oil (HS 2709) 2025 July Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

In July 2025, Mexico's Crude Oil exports under HS Code 2709 saw a dramatic unit price surge to 0.74 USD/kg, more than doubling from June's 0.46 USD/kg, while export volume held steady at 11.16 billion units, indicating a price-driven value spike to 8.27 billion USD.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The monthly trend reveals high volatility in unit prices, with July's spike standing out against a generally stable volume pattern. Crude oil markets are inherently prone to sharp price swings due to global supply-demand imbalances and geopolitical tensions, rather than seasonal or stock cycle factors typical in other commodities. This abrupt hike suggests external market shocks overshadowed any domestic production or policy consistency in Mexico Crude Oil HS Code 2709 Export 2025 July.

External Context and Outlook

Recent policy reviews confirm that Mexico's export regime for crude oil remains unchanged, with HS Code 2709 excluded from new Automated Export Notice requirements [Expeditors News], pointing to global oil market dynamics—such as heightened demand or supply constraints—as the primary driver for July's price volatility. Looking ahead, sustained high prices may persist if global conditions remain tight, but Mexican export flows are expected to stay robust given stable regulatory support.

Mexico Crude Oil (HS 2709) 2025 July Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In July 2025, Mexico's Crude Oil exports under HS Code 2709 are highly concentrated, with sub-code 27090005 for crude petroleum oils dominating at a unit price of 0.73 USD per kilogram and holding a 33.84% value share. A high-price anomaly is isolated in sub-code 2709000503, priced at 1.22 USD per kilogram, which is excluded from further analysis due to its outlier status.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The non-anomalous sub-codes fall into two clear categories based on unit price: standard crude oils like 27090005 and 270900 at approximately 0.73-0.74 USD per kilogram, and lower-grade variants such as 2709000501 and 2709000502 around 0.41-0.45 USD per kilogram. This structure confirms a trade in fungible bulk commodities, where price differences stem from quality grades rather than value-added processing, typical for crude oil markets.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

For Mexico Crude Oil HS Code 2709 Export in 2025 July, the grade-based pricing implies limited pricing power for standard grades due to commodity competition, while premium grades like the anomaly could command higher margins. Exporters should focus on quality differentiation, supported by the absence of new restrictions like the Automatic Export Notice for crude petroleum [Expeditors.com], ensuring stable market access.

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Mexico Crude Oil (HS 2709) 2025 July Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

In July 2025, Mexico's Crude Oil HS Code 2709 Export shows strong geographic focus, with Cuba as the top value destination at 50.72% share, despite lower weight share of 15.60%. This value-weight disparity suggests Cuba pays a higher unit price around 2.41 USD per kilogram, indicating possible premium grade oil, while the United States, with 29.27% weight share but only 17.16% value share, pays about 0.43 USD per kilogram, pointing to bulk or lower-grade purchases.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The export partners form two clear clusters: high-value buyers like Cuba, likely due to specific refining needs or limited supply options, and high-volume buyers like the United States and Mexico, driven by proximity and existing trade networks for cost-efficient bulk transport. Spain and South Korea represent secondary markets, possibly for diversifying into European and Asian regions, with standard pricing and moderate volumes.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

For market players, the stable export landscape for Crude Oil HS Code 2709 in July 2025, with no new policies affecting it [FreightAmigo], means focusing on maintaining high-value relationships with Cuba and optimizing logistics for volume deals with the United States. Supply chains should prioritize reliability to leverage Mexico's role as a key crude supplier without regulatory shifts.

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Mexico Crude Oil (HS 2709) 2025 July Export: Buyer Cluster

Buyer Market Concentration and Dominance

In the Mexico Crude Oil Export for 2025 July under HS Code 2709, the buyer market shows extreme concentration across four segments of buyers. The market is dominated by a small group of high-volume, frequent purchasers, accounting for 94.90% of the total export value. These buyers operate with high transaction frequency, making up 94.07% of all shipments, indicating a steady, bulk-oriented trade flow typical for commodities. The median market behavior is characterized by large, regular purchases, with minimal activity from other segments.

Strategic Buyer Clusters and Trade Role

The other buyer segments play limited roles. Buyers with high value but low frequency, and those with low value but high frequency, show no activity in this period. The remaining segment consists of infrequent, smaller-scale buyers, contributing only 5.10% to the total value. For a commodity like crude oil, these buyers likely represent occasional traders or companies with specific, non-routine supply needs, such as P.M.I. COMERCIO INTERNACIONAL and ENI TRANSPORTE Y SUMINISTRO, which engage in sporadic transactions.

Sales Strategy and Vulnerability

For exporters in Mexico, the strategy should focus on maintaining strong relationships with the dominant bulk buyers to ensure stable revenue, given the high dependency risk. There is minor opportunity in engaging the smaller buyers for incremental growth, but the market's concentration makes it vulnerable to shifts in demand from key clients. The export regime for crude oil remains stable, as [Expeditors] confirms no new policies target HS Code 2709, supporting a consistent sales model without regulatory disruptions.

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Mexico Crude Oil (HS 2709) 2025 July Export: Action Plan for Crude Oil Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Mexico Crude Oil Export 2025 July under HS Code 2709 is a commodity market driven by quality grades and bulk trade flows. Price differences stem from oil grade, with premium grades like those sent to Cuba commanding higher prices, while standard or lower grades flow in volume to the United States. Supply chains must prioritize secure, high-volume logistics for bulk buyers and reliable delivery for high-value partners. Mexico's role remains stable as a key crude supplier without new export restrictions, emphasizing supply security and processing hub efficiency.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Crude Oil Market Execution

• Negotiate long-term contracts with dominant bulk buyers to lock in stable revenue and reduce market volatility risk, because reliance on a few high-volume clients requires secured demand.
• Optimize shipping routes and storage for high-volume flows to the United States to cut logistics costs and improve margin, as proximity and existing networks enable efficient bulk transport.
• Differentiate and market premium-grade oil to high-value destinations like Cuba to capture higher prices, leveraging quality data to target buyers willing to pay more for specific crude specifications.
• Monitor and occasionally engage smaller, infrequent buyers to diversify revenue slightly without diverting focus from core clients, as these buyers represent niche opportunities.
• Use trade data to track grade-specific demand shifts and adjust production or blending strategies accordingly, ensuring alignment with buyer preferences and maximizing value per shipment.

Mexico Crude Oil Export 2025 July for HS Code 2709 demands a focused, data-informed approach to navigate its concentrated but stable market landscape.

Take Action Now —— Explore Mexico Crude Oil Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Mexico Crude Oil Export 2025 July?

The unit price surged to 0.74 USD/kg in July 2025, more than doubling from June, driven by global oil market volatility rather than domestic factors, while export volumes remained stable.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Mexico Crude Oil Export 2025 July?

Cuba is the top destination (50.72% value share), followed by the United States (17.16% value share), with Spain and South Korea as secondary markets.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Mexico Crude Oil Export 2025 July partner countries?

Price differences stem from quality grades—Cuba pays 2.41 USD/kg for premium crude, while the U.S. buys bulk/lower-grade oil at 0.43 USD/kg.

Q4. What should exporters in Mexico focus on in the current Crude Oil export market?

Exporters should prioritize relationships with dominant bulk buyers (94.90% of value) and optimize logistics for high-value deals with Cuba.

Q5. What does this Mexico Crude Oil export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers in Cuba face premium pricing for specialized needs, while U.S. buyers benefit from stable bulk supply at lower costs.

Q6. How is Crude Oil typically used in this trade flow?

Crude oil is traded as a fungible bulk commodity, primarily for refining into fuels or petrochemical feedstocks.

Q7. What is yTrade?

yTrade is a global trade data platform that provides SaaS and API access to provide accurate, structured, and searchable import-export trade data for international business decisions. It enables users to access verified shipment records, analyse buyer and supplier activity, review company trade overviews, assess compliance risks, and monitor real market demand — all from a single, scalable system.

Q8. How can yTrade benefit my business?

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Q9. What features does yTrade offer?

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