Indonesia - Vietnam Trade 2025 Q3: $309.56M Surplus

Key Market Takeaways: Indonesia - Vietnam Trade

The bilateral trade relationship between Indonesia and Vietnam remains stable with a clear net exporter role for Indonesia in 2025 Q3.

• Indonesia holds a $309.56M trade surplus, exporting $827.47M to Vietnam while importing $517.91M, reflecting steady demand and supply chains.
• Indonesia - Vietnam trade statistics show a resource-for-tech exchange: Indonesia supplies iron/steel (16.02% of exports) and fuels, while Vietnam dominates in electrical machinery (17.72% of imports).
• Highly complementary economies, with Vietnam adding value through advanced manufacturing and Indonesia providing critical raw materials.

This bilateral trade snapshot is based on verified customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia-Vietnam Trade Trend in Q3 2025

Indonesia Export Performance: Shipments to Vietnam

• Total Volume: $827.47M in July 2025.
• Growth Trend & Context: YoY growth flat (0.0%), indicating stable demand. MoM rose 3.91%, suggesting mild recovery or seasonal uptick. No news to contextualize.
• Key Volatility: July’s MoM increase (3.91%) marks the only data point, limiting volatility assessment.

Indonesia Import Performance: Sourcing from Vietnam

• Total Volume: $517.91M in July 2025.
• Growth Trend & Context: YoY stagnant (0.0%), reflecting steady supply chains. MoM dipped -2.19%, possibly due to inventory adjustments. No news to explain.
• Key Volatility: July’s MoM decline (-2.19%) stands as the sole fluctuation.

Indonesia - Vietnam Trade Balance & Market Dynamics

• Net Position: Trade surplus of $309.56M (Exports $827.47M > Imports $517.91M).
• Relationship Status: Indonesia maintains a clear net exporter role, with exports 60% higher than imports. No signs of dependency shifts.

Indonesia Import Trend from Vietnam 2025 Q3 (Source: yTrade)**

Indonesia Export Trend to Vietnam 2025 Q3 (Source: yTrade)**

Get Historical Indonesia Vietnam Trade Records

Indonesia-Vietnam Top Trading Products in Q3 2025

Indonesia Export Profile: What Does Indonesia Sell to Vietnam

• Top Commodity: Iron and steel (HS 72) dominate exports, accounting for 16.02% of total value.
• Demand Driver: Vietnam uses these raw materials for industrial processing, likely in construction and manufacturing.
• Concentration: No single category exceeds 50%, but the top 4 exports (HS 72, 27, 87, 15) collectively make up 51.69%, indicating moderate concentration.

Indonesia Import Profile: What Does Indonesia Buy from Vietnam

• Top Commodity: Electrical machinery (HS 85) leads imports at 17.72% of total value.
• Dependency Nature: High-tech imports like electrical machinery and vehicles (HS 87) suggest critical technology dependency for Indonesia’s industrial and consumer sectors.

Indonesia - Vietnam Trade Relationship Dynamics

• The Exchange Model: Resource-for-Tech Complementarity. Indonesia exports raw materials (iron, steel, fuels) to Vietnam, while importing high-value tech and machinery.
• Value Chain Position: Vietnam holds the higher value-add position, supplying advanced goods (electronics, machinery), while Indonesia provides commodities (metals, fuels). Trade is asymmetrical but mutually beneficial.

Import Analysis by Product: Vietnam to Indonesia (Source: yTrade)

Export Analysis by Product: Indonesia to Vietnam (Source: yTrade)

Check Detailed Indonesia-Vietnam Trade HS Code Breakdown

Future Outlook & Strategic Recommendations

Forecast

Indonesia’s trade surplus with Vietnam is expected to hold steady in Q4 2025, supported by resilient demand for raw materials like iron and steel. However, the flat YoY growth signals a plateau, suggesting traders should prepare for potential stagnation unless new industrial projects in Vietnam drive renewed demand. The resource-for-tech exchange model will likely persist, but Indonesia must address its reliance on high-value imports to avoid long-term trade asymmetry.

Strategic Moves

• Lock in Commodity Contracts: Indonesian steel and fuel exporters should secure long-term agreements with Vietnamese buyers to stabilize revenue amid fluctuating global commodity prices.
• Diversify Tech Imports: Reduce dependency on Vietnamese electronics by exploring alternative suppliers in South Korea or Japan to mitigate supply chain risks.
• Push for Higher Value Exports: Invest in processing capabilities to upgrade Indonesia’s export profile—shifting from raw steel to semi-finished metal products could capture more value in the trade relationship.

Frequently Asked Questions

How did Indonesia - Vietnam trade perform in 2025 Q3?

Indonesia's exports to Vietnam totaled $827.47M in July 2025, with flat YoY growth but a 3.91% MoM increase. Imports from Vietnam stood at $517.91M, showing no YoY change but a -2.19% MoM dip.

What are the top exports from Indonesia to Vietnam?

Iron and steel (HS 72) dominate, making up 16.02% of exports. Other key exports include fuels (HS 27), vehicles (HS 87), and animal/vegetable fats (HS 15), collectively accounting for 51.69% of total exports.

What does Indonesia import from Vietnam?

Electrical machinery (HS 85) leads imports at 17.72% of total value, followed by vehicles (HS 87), reflecting Indonesia's reliance on Vietnam for high-tech and industrial goods.

What is the trade balance between Indonesia and Vietnam?

Indonesia holds a trade surplus of $309.56M (exports > imports), maintaining its role as a net exporter. The gap remains stable with no significant shifts in dependency.