Indonesia - Vietnam Trade 2025 Q2: Resource-Tech Surplus
Key Market Takeaways: Indonesia - Vietnam Trade
The bilateral trade relationship between Indonesia and Vietnam showed volatile growth but maintained a strong surplus in Q2 2025.
- Economic Pulse: Indonesia posted a $1.04B trade surplus ($2.60B exports vs. $1.56B imports), though export momentum weakened by quarter-end.
- Exchange Structure: Indonesia - Vietnam trade statistics reveal a resource-for-tech complementarity—fuels and metals flow out, electronics and machinery flow in.
- Strategic Interdependence: Vietnam holds the higher value-add position, while Indonesia’s commodity exports anchor the partnership.
This bilateral trade snapshot is based on verified customs data from the yTrade database.
Indonesia-Vietnam Trade Trend in Q2 2025
Indonesia Export Performance: Shipments to Vietnam
- Total Volume: $2.60B in Q2 2025.
- Growth Trend & Context:
- YoY growth was volatile, starting strong at +31.47% in April but turning negative (-3.37%) in May and flat (0.0%) in June.
- Key Volatility: June saw a sharp MoM drop (-10.78%), the steepest decline in the quarter.
Indonesia Import Performance: Sourcing from Vietnam
- Total Volume: $1.56B in Q2 2025.
- Growth Trend & Context:
- YoY growth slowed to +9.92% in April, then nearly stalled (+0.07% in May, 0.0% in June).
- Key Volatility: June posted the highest MoM increase (+4.66%), while May had the lowest value ($505.92M).
Indonesia - Vietnam Trade Balance & Market Dynamics
- Net Position: Trade surplus of $1.04B (Exports $2.60B vs. Imports $1.56B).
- Relationship Status: Indonesia maintains a strong net exporter position, though export momentum weakened toward quarter-end.
Indonesia Import Trend from Vietnam 2025 Q2 (Source: yTrade)**
| Month | Value | MoM | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr | 521.64M | -4.27% | 9.92% |
| May | 505.92M | -3.01% | 0.07% |
| Jun | 529.49M | 4.66% | 0.0% |
| Total | 1.56B | - | - |
Indonesia Export Trend to Vietnam 2025 Q2 (Source: yTrade)**
| Month | Value | MoM | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr | 915.43M | -4.86% | 31.47% |
| May | 892.53M | -2.5% | -3.37% |
| Jun | 796.32M | -10.78% | 0.0% |
| Total | 2.60B | - | - |
Get Historical Indonesia Vietnam Trade Records
Indonesia-Vietnam Top Trading Products in Q2 2025
Indonesia Export Profile: What Does Indonesia Sell to Vietnam
- Top Commodity: Rank #1 export is Mineral Fuels (HS 27) at 19.36% of total exports.
- Demand Driver: Vietnam likely uses these for industrial energy needs or refining.
- Concentration: No single category dominates (>50%), but HS 27, 72, and 87 collectively account for 49.06% of exports.
Indonesia Import Profile: What Does Indonesia Buy from Vietnam
- Top Commodity: Rank #1 import is Electrical Machinery (HS 85) at 15.30% of total imports.
- Dependency Nature: Reflects reliance on Vietnam for electronics and industrial components.
Indonesia - Vietnam Trade Relationship Dynamics
- The Exchange Model: Resource-for-Tech Complementarity. Indonesia exports raw materials (fuels, metals) and imports high-value manufactured goods (electronics, machinery).
- Value Chain Position: Vietnam holds the higher value-add position, supplying finished or intermediate tech products, while Indonesia provides commodities.
Import Analysis by Product: Vietnam to Indonesia (Source: yTrade)
| HS Code | Value | Percent |
|---|---|---|
| 85 | 238.21M | 15.30% |
| 87 | 129.19M | 8.30% |
| 84 | 112.13M | 7.20% |
| 39 | 103.93M | 6.67% |
| 64 | 99.25M | 6.37% |
| 72 | 97.29M | 6.25% |
| 28 | 76.18M | 4.89% |
| 60 | 74.47M | 4.78% |
| 44 | 63.03M | 4.05% |
| 48 | 44.74M | 2.87% |
Export Analysis by Product: Indonesia to Vietnam (Source: yTrade)
| HS Code | Value | Percent |
|---|---|---|
| 27 | 504.06M | 19.36% |
| 72 | 396.42M | 15.22% |
| 87 | 377.14M | 14.48% |
| 15 | 186.76M | 7.17% |
| 85 | 133.68M | 5.13% |
| 74 | 129.90M | 4.99% |
| 03 | 120.14M | 4.61% |
| 48 | 89.64M | 3.44% |
| 84 | 60.32M | 2.32% |
| 39 | 59.43M | 2.28% |
Check Detailed Indonesia-Vietnam Trade HS Code Breakdown
Future Outlook & Strategic Recommendations
Forecast for Indonesia-Vietnam Trade
Indonesia’s trade surplus with Vietnam is expected to stabilize in Q3 2025, but export growth may remain subdued due to volatile demand for mineral fuels (HS 27) and metals. Vietnam’s steady imports of Indonesian commodities will likely persist, but traders should anticipate tighter margins as global energy prices fluctuate. Meanwhile, Indonesia’s reliance on Vietnamese electronics (HS 85) will continue, reinforcing the resource-for-tech exchange model. To mitigate risks, businesses must adapt to shifting demand patterns and explore value-added opportunities in key sectors.
Strategic Moves for Traders & Policymakers
- Lock in Long-Term Fuel Contracts: Given Vietnam’s industrial energy needs, Indonesian exporters should secure multi-year agreements to stabilize revenue amid price volatility.
- Diversify Tech Sourcing: Reduce overreliance on Vietnamese electronics by exploring alternative suppliers in ASEAN or India to strengthen supply chain resilience.
- Boost High-Value Exports: Shift focus from raw materials to processed goods (e.g., refined fuels, automotive parts) to capture higher margins and reduce trade asymmetry.
Frequently Asked Questions
How did Indonesia - Vietnam trade perform in 2025 Q2?
Indonesia exported $2.60B to Vietnam and imported $1.56B, with volatile YoY growth in exports and slowing growth in imports by quarter-end.
What are the top exports from Indonesia to Vietnam?
Mineral Fuels (HS 27) lead Indonesia's exports to Vietnam, followed by metals (HS 72) and vehicles (HS 87), collectively accounting for 49.06% of total exports.
What does Indonesia import from Vietnam?
Electrical Machinery (HS 85) is Indonesia’s top import from Vietnam, reflecting demand for electronics and industrial components.
What is the trade balance between Indonesia and Vietnam?
Indonesia maintained a trade surplus of $1.04B with Vietnam in Q2 2025, though export momentum weakened toward the quarter’s end.
Indonesia - Vietnam Trade 2025 Q1: $1.22B Surplus
Indonesia's $1.22B trade surplus with Vietnam in Q1 2025 highlights strong export growth. Explore Indonesia Vietnam trade trends and top trading products via yTrade data.
Indonesia - Vietnam Trade 2025 Q3: $309.56M Surplus
Indonesia's $309.56M trade surplus with Vietnam highlights a resource-for-tech exchange. Explore Indonesia Vietnam trade trends and top trading products via yTrade data.
