Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil HS151329 Export Data 2025 July Overview

Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS 151329) 2025 July Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia's Palm Kernel Oil (HS Code 151329) exports in July 2025 reveal a commodity-grade product with stable pricing, dominated by China, which accounts for 43.17% of both value and weight shares. The market shows concentrated buyer risk, with secondary clusters like regional hubs and niche European markets offering diversification opportunities. This analysis, based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database, highlights the need to balance reliance on China with strategic expansion into secondary markets while maintaining cost-efficient logistics for this bulk agricultural export.

Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS 151329) 2025 July Export Background

Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS Code 151329), a refined vegetable oil derived from palm kernels, is vital for food processing, cosmetics, and biodiesel industries due to its high stability and versatility. Global demand remains strong, driven by its cost-effectiveness and wide applications. Recent policy shifts, like Indonesia's November 2025 export benchmark price adjustments for palm products [Global Trade Alert], highlight the country's strategic role as a top exporter, shaping 2025 July trade dynamics. Indonesia's dominance in this sector ensures its policies directly impact global supply chains.

Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS 151329) 2025 July Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

Indonesia's Palm Kernel Oil exports under HS Code 151329 in July 2025 reached $262.40 million in value and 158.42 million kilograms in volume, showing a steady performance amid seasonal shifts.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The July figures represent a modest month-over-month increase from June, with value rising by approximately 1.75% and volume by around 2.82%. This upward trend from May's low points aligns with typical mid-year seasonal patterns in palm oil derivatives, where production cycles often boost export availability. The March spike to $283.96 million appears as an outlier, likely driven by harvest timing, while the consistent recovery through June and July reflects resilient industrial demand and stock replenishment cycles common in this sector.

External Context and Outlook

Policy changes, such as the export levy increase in May 2025 [FAS USDA], may have contributed to earlier volatility but did not curb the July growth, underscoring strong global demand for Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil. Looking ahead, potential export regulations for biodiesel production, as noted in October (Hydrocarbon Processing), could influence future supply dynamics, emphasizing the need to monitor policy shifts for their impact on HS Code 151329 exports.

Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS 151329) 2025 July Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In July 2025, Indonesia's Palm Kernel Oil exports under HS Code 151329 were highly concentrated in a single product variant, specifically the sub-code 15132995, which held a 74% value share. This product is described as vegetable oils from palm kernel or babassu, not crude, refined but not chemically modified, with a unit price of 1.60 USD/kg, lower than other variants, indicating a bulk, standardized offering. An extreme price anomaly exists with sub-code 15132996 at 11.60 USD/kg, but it is isolated due to minimal volume and excluded from further analysis.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The non-anomalous sub-codes fall into two clear groups based on unit price: a standard grade (15132995 at 1.60 USD/kg) and slightly higher-grade variants (15132991 at 1.97 USD/kg and 15132994 at 1.68 USD/kg). The narrow price range and high volume shares suggest this market deals in fungible bulk commodities, traded primarily on price indices rather than product differentiation, with all variants being semi-refined oils.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

The dominance of the standard grade gives Indonesia significant pricing power in global Palm Kernel Oil exports, allowing for cost-driven strategies. Producers should prioritize volume efficiency and market index alignment to capitalize on this position, as the structure favors bulk trade over value-added differentiation.

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Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS 151329) 2025 July Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil HS Code 151329 Export 2025 July shows a highly concentrated market, with CHINA MAINLAND dominating as the top importer, accounting for 43.17% of both value and weight shares. The equal value and weight ratios indicate a stable, commodity-grade product with consistent unit pricing around 1.66 USD/kg, typical for bulk agricultural exports like palm oil.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The importers form three clear clusters: major consumers like China, Brazil, and the United States with high volume shares; regional neighbors such as Malaysia and Sri Lanka likely acting as processing or transit hubs due to geographic proximity; and smaller European markets like the Netherlands and Italy, which may serve niche demand or re-export roles, reflecting diversified but secondary trade routes.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

Exporters should prioritize maintaining strong ties with dominant markets like China while exploring growth in secondary clusters to mitigate over-reliance. Given the commodity nature, focus on cost-efficient logistics and monitor for any policy shifts that could impact export flows, though current data for July 2025 shows no immediate disruptions from recent news.

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Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil (HS 151329) 2025 July Export: Action Plan for Palm Kernel Oil Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil Export 2025 July under HS Code 151329 operates as a bulk commodity market. Price is driven by global index alignment and standard grade dominance, not product differentiation. Supply chain implications center on Indonesia's role as a volume-efficient processing hub. High buyer and geographic concentration creates supply security but also vulnerability to demand shifts or policy changes.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Palm Kernel Oil Market Execution

• Prioritize contract negotiations with high-frequency, high-volume buyers like SARI DUMAI SEJATI. This secures stable bulk orders and maintains market share dominance.
• Use trade data to identify and develop smaller, high-frequency buyers for diversification. This reduces over-reliance on a few major clients and builds a more resilient customer base.
• Monitor China's import patterns and policy updates monthly. This allows for rapid adjustment to demand changes or new trade barriers in the dominant market.
• Align production and pricing strictly with the standard grade (HS 15132995) and its benchmark price. This ensures competitiveness and maximizes volume efficiency in the bulk commodity trade.
• Track shipment data to secondary markets like Brazil and the Netherlands for growth opportunities. This helps mitigate risk by expanding into stable, smaller-volume destinations.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil Export 2025 July?

The July 2025 export growth (1.75% value, 2.82% volume) reflects seasonal demand recovery and resilient industrial needs, despite May’s export levy increase. Bulk commodity trade dynamics and stable pricing (1.66 USD/kg) further support this trend.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil Export 2025 July?

China dominates with 43.17% of exports by value and weight, followed by Brazil and the United States as major consumers. Regional hubs like Malaysia and niche European markets (Netherlands, Italy) play smaller roles.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil Export 2025 July partner countries?

Price differences stem from product grades: bulk-standard variants (e.g., 15132995 at 1.60 USD/kg) dominate, while rare higher-grade sub-codes (e.g., 15132996 at 11.60 USD/kg) are negligible in volume.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Palm Kernel Oil export market?

Prioritize bulk contracts with dominant buyers (95% of trade) like SARI DUMAI SEJATI, while cultivating smaller frequent buyers for stability. Diversify beyond China to mitigate over-reliance.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Palm Kernel Oil export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Major buyers (e.g., China) benefit from stable bulk supply, but smaller markets face limited leverage due to Indonesia’s pricing power. Niche buyers may access higher grades at premium prices.

Q6. How is Palm Kernel Oil typically used in this trade flow?

It’s traded as a semi-refined, fungible bulk commodity, primarily for industrial applications like food processing or biodiesel, with pricing tied to market indices.